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反内卷加速全产业链价值重塑 通威股份等行业龙头或率先受益
新浪财经· 2025-08-29 09:24
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the transformation of the photovoltaic industry from "price wars" to "value reconstruction," driven by government policies aimed at regulating competition and promoting the exit of outdated capacities [2][6][12]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a significant shift due to a series of targeted policies that address "disorderly low-price competition," establishing a clear boundary for healthy industry development [6][7]. - The implementation of the revised Anti-Unfair Competition Law has set a price floor for products like silicon materials and modules, preventing sales below cash costs and curbing "suicidal price cuts" [6][7]. Company Performance - Tongwei Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 40.509 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a significant market share in multiple segments: 30% in polysilicon sales, 49.89 GW in battery sales, and 24.52 GW in module sales, maintaining its position as a market leader [3]. - The company has a strong financial position with cash and financial assets totaling 33.229 billion yuan, ensuring liquidity and access to various financing tools [3][7]. Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry is witnessing a recovery in prices across the supply chain, with polysilicon prices rising by 3.37% and module prices rebounding by 10.45% from their lows [9][11]. - The market is responding positively to the policy changes, with significant stock price increases for leading companies like Tongwei, reflecting strong expectations for industry recovery [11]. Strategic Positioning - Tongwei's advantages in technology, scale, and cost position it well to benefit from the new policies aimed at curbing low-quality competition, allowing it to consolidate its market share [7][12]. - The company's dual focus on "green agriculture and green energy" provides a stable cash flow that helps mitigate cyclical volatility, enhancing its attractiveness in the capital market [11][12].