优质中国资产重估

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业绩集体回暖老牌私募“王者归来”
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-06 21:09
● 本报记者 王宇露 曾经的百亿级私募大佬,正在上演资本市场的"王者归来"。在经历了前几年的业绩低谷后,国内老牌私 募机构正迎来新一轮业绩爆发,有的半年收益率突破40%,有的重获募资端青睐。这些穿越多轮市场周 期的私募机构,通过深度价值挖掘和成长赛道布局实现业绩反转。 值得关注的是,不少老牌私募格外注重投研体系的改革建设,展现出与时俱进的战略眼光。展望后市, 在市场回暖背景下,机构普遍看好中国优质资产重估和科技创新带来的机遇。 业内人士表示,有的老牌私募坚持深度价值投资,在低估值蓝筹方向上持续重仓投入;有的偏向景气度 成长投资,人工智能(AI)赋予了其新的机遇。没有一种投资策略可以适应所有的市场环境,每个策 略都有其适合的周期。今年以来各类资产轮番表现,给老牌私募的业绩回暖营造了条件。 此外,在市场环境低迷时,积极推动公司投研体制改革,进行策略和组织的升级,也是老牌私募在积极 探索、持续迭代方面作出的努力。例如,淡水泉投资曾在前几年开始推动投研组织变革,抽调一部分有 经验的基金经理到基础研究部,打造中台的通识能力,成立新兴产业研究院前瞻理解新兴产业方向等。 在今年的交流会上,淡水泉投资表示,过去两年基于不同经 ...
业绩集体回暖 老牌私募“王者归来”
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-06 21:09
● 本报记者王宇露 曾经的百亿级私募大佬,正在上演资本市场的"王者归来"。在经历了前几年的业绩低谷后,国内老牌私 募机构正迎来新一轮业绩爆发,有的半年收益率突破40%,有的重获募资端青睐。这些穿越多轮市场周 期的私募机构,通过深度价值挖掘和成长赛道布局实现业绩反转。 值得关注的是,不少老牌私募格外注重投研体系的改革建设,展现出与时俱进的战略眼光。展望后市, 在市场回暖背景下,机构普遍看好中国优质资产重估和科技创新带来的机遇。 老牌私募业绩回暖 看好后市结构性机会 展望后市,近期股指持续上行提振市场预期的同时,也引发了短期技术性回调的担忧。 淡水泉投资认为,虽然存在不确定性因素,但政策预期、资金活跃度等支撑市场的关键因素依然稳固, 结构性机会仍是主导。在这样的背景下,可重点关注三类机会。第一,优质中国资产的价值重估。在高 端制造、互联网等领域,存在一批具备全球竞争力的中国头部企业,有望迎来价值重估的机遇。第二, 中国优势产业的全球化。除了具备显著优势的工业制造企业之外,一些消费娱乐行业的优秀公司正将平 价、普惠型的产品推向全球。第三,科技创新。本土芯片设计及制造商有望进一步扩大市场份额,国产 第三方平台数据显示 ...
从 “哑铃型” 到 “新主线”:淡水泉投资解构A股结构性机会
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-26 11:01
Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article is that淡水泉投资 (Fountainhead Investment) is optimistic about the second half of 2025, focusing on three structural investment opportunities: the revaluation of quality Chinese assets, the globalization of advantageous industries, and technological self-sufficiency [2][7]. Market Performance Overview - Since late September last year, risk appetite in the A-share and Hong Kong markets has been rising, with structural opportunities emerging despite limited overall index volatility [3]. - The market has shown a "dumbbell" distribution of investment opportunities, with value dividend assets performing relatively poorly this year, while emerging growth assets have experienced rapid rotation [3]. - Economic indicators show that while government efforts to stabilize growth are ongoing, confidence among businesses and consumers still needs improvement [3]. Global Perspective - The loosening of the "American exceptionalism" narrative may lead to a global capital rebalancing, with investors regaining enthusiasm for stock markets across the U.S., Europe, and emerging markets [4]. - Global fund allocation to Chinese markets has stabilized after a decline since 2021, with future overseas capital inflows dependent on the certainty of China's economic recovery [4]. Investment Gains and Losses -淡水泉 acknowledged capturing investment opportunities in certain areas but also missing some due to strict research criteria [5]. - The firm successfully identified new consumption opportunities with overseas characteristics but missed some domestic demand-driven opportunities due to high weight requirements for overseas exposure [5]. - In the technology sector, the first quarter was driven by AI confidence, while the second quarter saw a return to overseas computing power themes [6]. Structural Investment Opportunities -淡水泉 identified three main structural opportunities for the second half of the year: revaluation of quality Chinese assets, globalization of advantageous industries, and technological self-sufficiency [7]. - The firm also highlighted the importance of marginal improvements in fundamentals and incremental policies as potential catalysts for economic-sensitive assets [7]. Sector-Specific Insights - In the automotive sector, opportunities are concentrated in high-end, intelligent, and export-oriented segments, with domestic brands experiencing a golden period of growth [9]. - The firm sees significant potential in the AI industry, focusing on overseas computing power, domestic computing capabilities, and AI application fields [8]. Conclusion -淡水泉's analysis indicates a cautiously optimistic outlook for the second half of 2025, emphasizing the need for quick responses to external changes while capitalizing on identified structural opportunities [7][8].