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莱斯信息(688631):城市交管业务下降致业绩承压,持续以标杆项目为牵引打造低空体系生态
Huachuang Securities· 2026-01-31 13:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [1][22]. Core Insights - The company's performance is under pressure due to a decline in urban traffic management business, with projected revenue for 2025 expected to be between 1.2 billion to 1.35 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 16.14%-25.46% [5][6]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated to be between 40 million to 60 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 53.5%-69% year-on-year [5]. - The company continues to strengthen its leading position in the civil aviation management sector while advancing its integrated development in the low-altitude market, leveraging benchmark projects to build a comprehensive ecosystem [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 1.307 billion yuan, down 18.8% from 2024, with a net profit of 49 million yuan, a decrease of 62% [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.30 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 229 times [6]. - The company anticipates a recovery in 2026, with revenue expected to rise to 1.485 billion yuan and net profit to 128 million yuan, indicating a growth of 161% year-on-year [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leader in the low-altitude digital economy, with a focus on developing comprehensive solutions and establishing benchmark projects across multiple cities [5]. - The report highlights three key advantages that support the company's potential to excel in the low-altitude digitalization sector: its established expertise in civil aviation management, the systematic product offerings for low-altitude operations, and the support from its parent group [5]. - The company is actively involved in projects that enhance low-altitude flight management capabilities, including collaborations with universities and local governments to create integrated management platforms [5].