公司研究 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：梁婉怡 证 券 研 究 报 告 莱斯信息（688631）2025 年业绩预告点评 推荐（维持） 城市交管业务下降致业绩承压，持续以标杆项目为 牵引打造低空体系生态 行业应用软件 2026 年 01 月 31 日 当前价：68.67 元 华创证券研究所 邮箱：liangwanyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080001 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 联系人：刘邢雨 邮箱：liuxingyu@hcyjs.com 公司基本数据 | 总股本(万股) | 16,347.00 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股(万股) | 6,487.00 | | 总市值(亿元) | 112.25 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 44.55 | | 资产负债率(%) | 44.20 | | 每股净资产(元) | 11.08 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 122.03/61.13 | 市场表现对比图( ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [1][22]. Core Insights - The company's performance is under pressure due to a decline in urban traffic management business, with projected revenue for 2025 expected to be between 1.2 billion to 1.35 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 16.14%-25.46% [5][6]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated to be between 40 million to 60 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 53.5%-69% year-on-year [5]. - The company continues to strengthen its leading position in the civil aviation management sector while advancing its integrated development in the low-altitude market, leveraging benchmark projects to build a comprehensive ecosystem [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 1.307 billion yuan, down 18.8% from 2024, with a net profit of 49 million yuan, a decrease of 62% [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.30 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 229 times [6]. - The company anticipates a recovery in 2026, with revenue expected to rise to 1.485 billion yuan and net profit to 128 million yuan, indicating a growth of 161% year-on-year [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leader in the low-altitude digital economy, with a focus on developing comprehensive solutions and establishing benchmark projects across multiple cities [5]. - The report highlights three key advantages that support the company's potential to excel in the low-altitude digitalization sector: its established expertise in civil aviation management, the systematic product offerings for low-altitude operations, and the support from its parent group [5]. - The company is actively involved in projects that enhance low-altitude flight management capabilities, including collaborations with universities and local governments to create integrated management platforms [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-B" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has launched the "Jiugong Power Trading AI Agent," which is designed to provide intelligent and reliable power trading solutions, enhancing the efficiency of market decision-making [2][3] - The AI agent features four core capabilities: comprehensive situational awareness, deep strategy analysis, intelligent solution generation, and comprehensive risk control [3] - The company is expected to see revenue growth in 2025, with a projected net profit of 4.3 billion yuan, increasing to 10.6 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a dynamic P/E ratio of 30 times in 2026 [6] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 9.4%, but expects growth in Q4 due to seasonal revenue recognition [4] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 48.2%, an increase of 3.9 percentage points from the previous quarter [4] - The company has seen significant growth in its new business areas, with over 25 million registered users for its new electric charging platform and a trading volume of over 4 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 200% [4] Market Data - As of November 24, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock was 16.96 yuan, with a market capitalization of 18.287 billion yuan [5] - The company’s basic earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 0.40 yuan, with a net asset return rate of 6.3% [8] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 4.87 billion yuan in 2025, 6.1 billion yuan in 2026, and 7.979 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 8.6%, 25.4%, and 30.8% respectively [8] - The net profit is expected to recover from a loss of 250 million yuan in 2024 to 427 million yuan in 2025, and further increase to 1.061 billion yuan by 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][19]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated accelerated revenue growth, driven by AI empowerment and globalization, with a 24.22% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 1.303 billion yuan [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period grew by 14.55% year-on-year, amounting to 351 million yuan [2]. - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 460 million yuan, reflecting a 27.49% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 116 million yuan, up 34.93% year-on-year [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 1,438 million yuan, 1,783 million yuan, 2,201 million yuan, and 2,704 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.2%, 24.0%, 23.5%, and 22.8% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 401 million yuan, 502 million yuan, 609 million yuan, and 733 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 23.9%, 25.2%, 21.5%, and 20.2% respectively [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.86 yuan, 3.58 yuan, 4.35 yuan, and 5.23 yuan for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively [4]. Business Segment Performance - The C-end business, particularly the intelligent text recognition products, saw a revenue of 385 million yuan in Q3, marking a 32.40% year-on-year increase, driven by an increase in active users and paid users [8]. - The B-end business also showed steady growth, with Q3 revenue from B-end products reaching 20.6 million yuan, a 19.64% year-on-year increase [8]. - The company is enhancing its overseas market capabilities and user experience, which is expected to further strengthen its brand recognition and long-term growth potential [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the company's technological and product capabilities are building a competitive moat, with continuous improvements in AI capabilities [8]. - The target price for the company is set at 239 yuan, based on a projected market capitalization of 33.5 billion yuan, applying a 55x PE ratio for 2026 [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [3][9]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, achieving a revenue of 188 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.57%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 63 million yuan, up 25.28% year-on-year [4]. - The rapid development of China's commercial space industry presents significant market opportunities for space management services, with a notable increase in satellite launches both globally and domestically [4][5]. - The company is positioned as a leading provider of space management services, focusing on satellite tracking, measurement, and control, which are essential for the growing complexity of satellite constellations [5][6]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of 127 million yuan for 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 49.0% from 2025 to 2027. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.79 yuan in 2025, increasing to 1.27 yuan by 2027 [9][12]. - The revenue is expected to grow from 352 million yuan in 2025 to 762 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [12][13]. - The company maintains a gross margin above 50% and a net margin around 30%, indicating strong profitability [7][12]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is leveraging its proprietary "Observer" platform to integrate AI technologies into its space management services, enhancing operational efficiency and service offerings [6][8]. - The company plans to launch its own sensing satellite constellation to improve space situational awareness and provide comprehensive support for satellite collision avoidance and operational control [8]. - The revenue mix is balanced between special and commercial sectors, with a focus on expanding its client base and enhancing service capabilities in both areas [7][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 24.58 CNY over the next six months, indicating a potential upside from the current price of 22.07 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company has partnered with Ant Group to establish "Ant Chain Trust," focusing on green asset management and dynamic rating pricing using blockchain, IoT, and AI technologies [1][2]. - The collaboration aims to address the challenges in traditional green asset management, such as data silos and the inability to reflect real-time operational data and policy risks [2]. - The company is leveraging AI and Web3 technologies to enhance the lifecycle management of renewable energy assets, positioning itself as a core infrastructure provider in this sector [2][9]. - The report highlights the importance of real-world asset tokenization (RWA) as a growing category in the crypto market, with the company successfully completing the first RWA project based on renewable energy assets in China [3][9]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 51.73 billion CNY, 61.22 billion CNY, and 72.60 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 5.31 billion CNY, 6.73 billion CNY, and 8.11 billion CNY for the same years [10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.49 CNY, 0.62 CNY, and 0.75 CNY respectively, with a dynamic price-to-earnings ratio of 50 times for 2025 [12][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" investment rating for the company [1][9]. Core Viewpoints - The company has partnered with Ant Group to establish "Ant Chain Trust," focusing on green asset management and dynamic rating pricing using blockchain, IoT, and AI technologies [2][3]. - The collaboration aims to create a comprehensive service platform for the entire lifecycle of renewable energy assets, transforming fragmented green assets into measurable and tradable digital assets [3]. - The company is enhancing its "AI + Energy" strategy by establishing an AI research institute and launching its self-developed "Langxin Jiugong AI Energy Model," which achieved top rankings in international evaluations [4]. - The energy internet business continues to grow, with significant revenue from energy digitalization and internet services, including a 10% year-on-year increase in energy internet revenue [5][9]. Financial Performance and Projections - For the first half of 2025, the energy digitalization business generated revenue of 470 million yuan, while the energy internet business achieved 860 million yuan, with a gross margin of 54.4% [5]. - The company expects net profits of 300 million yuan, 460 million yuan, and 930 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating a dynamic P/E ratio of 78.5 for 2025 [9][11]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 5.126 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 14.4%, and is expected to reach 8.363 billion yuan by 2027 [11][13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 29.63 CNY, indicating a potential upside from the current price of 26.59 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 920 million CNY for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.72%, and a net profit of 135 million CNY, up 14.74% year-on-year. AI and computing-related revenue accounted for 177 million CNY, nearly 20% of total revenue [1][2]. - The company has made a strategic investment in Zhongke Kuyuan Technology, aiming to accelerate the development of atomic quantum computers and promote the industrial application of quantum computing technology [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 920 million CNY, a 17.72% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 135 million CNY, reflecting a 14.74% growth [1]. - The company’s AI-related revenue is divided into two main parts: over 100 million CNY from computing-related income and approximately 50-60 million CNY from AI application-related income [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has partnered with several funds to invest in Zhongke Kuyuan, which focuses on the research and development of atomic quantum computing technology, aiming to transition from laboratory research to industrial applications [3]. - The company maintains a low debt ratio of 15% and strong cash flow, which supports its strategic investments and business development in AI and computing [3]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI and intelligent solutions across various industries, including partnerships with major clients like China Mobile and China Southern Power Grid [2]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.98 billion CNY, 2.36 billion CNY, and 2.62 billion CNY, with net profits expected to be 297 million CNY, 366 million CNY, and 402 million CNY respectively [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [2][8][18]. Core Insights - The company achieved steady revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 502 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.01%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased significantly by 91.90% to 3 million yuan [2][3]. - The company's EDA software sales contributed 414 million yuan, growing by 7.41% year-on-year, while the technical services segment saw a notable increase of 28.37%, generating 67 million yuan [2][3]. - The company's global expansion efforts are showing positive results, with overseas revenue reaching 55 million yuan, a substantial increase of 90.39% year-on-year, indicating strong competitiveness in international markets [2][3]. - High R&D investment remains a priority, with 365 million yuan allocated in the first half of 2025, resulting in a R&D expense ratio of 72.84%. This investment supports the launch of seven new core EDA tools and the development of nine key solutions [2][3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the trend of domestic substitution in the semiconductor industry, aiming for comprehensive tool coverage in design by 2025, and focusing on advanced technologies like 3DIC and Chiplet [2][3]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company forecasts total revenue of 1.599 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 30.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 200 million yuan, reflecting an 82.5% increase [5][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.20 yuan in 2024 to 0.37 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding decrease in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 560 to 307 [5][9]. - The company's total assets are projected to grow from 5.629 billion yuan in 2024 to 6.612 billion yuan by 2027, with a steady increase in equity attributable to shareholders [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on its performance in the first half of the year, but its industrial AI and robotics business is progressing rapidly [2][5] - The company has implemented comprehensive budget control and increased cost reduction efforts, resulting in a 2.28% year-on-year decrease in sales, management, and R&D expenses [5] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 3.83 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.92% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 354 million yuan, down 31.46% year-on-year [6][8] Financial Performance - The company achieved a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.45 yuan and a diluted EPS of 0.45 yuan as of June 30, 2025 [3] - The net asset return rate (ROE) was 3.47% [3] - The company’s gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 32.08%, a decrease of 1.15 percentage points compared to the same period last year [7] Business Development - The company is accelerating its product integration and market layout in industrial AI, with the launch of the TPT 2 platform, which can provide solutions for industrial problems [5] - The robotics business has seen significant growth, with revenue of 1.10 billion yuan and new orders of 200 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [5] - The company has successfully implemented over 110 projects in various production scenarios, including major clients like Sinopec and Wanhua Chemical [5] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected EPS of 1.45, 1.61, and 1.77 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][8] - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas market while enhancing its industrial AI and robotics business [6]