公司研究 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：梁婉怡 证 券 研 究 报 告 莱斯信息（688631）2025 年业绩预告点评 推荐（维持） 城市交管业务下降致业绩承压，持续以标杆项目为 牵引打造低空体系生态 行业应用软件 2026 年 01 月 31 日 当前价：68.67 元 华创证券研究所 邮箱：liangwanyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080001 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 联系人：刘邢雨 邮箱：liuxingyu@hcyjs.com 公司基本数据 | 总股本(万股) | 16,347.00 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股(万股) | 6,487.00 | | 总市值(亿元) | 112.25 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 44.55 | | 资产负债率(%) | 44.20 | | 每股净资产(元) | 11.08 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 122.03/61.13 | 市场表现对比图( ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [1][22]. Core Insights - The company's performance is under pressure due to a decline in urban traffic management business, with projected revenue for 2025 expected to be between 1.2 billion to 1.35 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 16.14%-25.46% [5][6]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated to be between 40 million to 60 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 53.5%-69% year-on-year [5]. - The company continues to strengthen its leading position in the civil aviation management sector while advancing its integrated development in the low-altitude market, leveraging benchmark projects to build a comprehensive ecosystem [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 1.307 billion yuan, down 18.8% from 2024, with a net profit of 49 million yuan, a decrease of 62% [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.30 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 229 times [6]. - The company anticipates a recovery in 2026, with revenue expected to rise to 1.485 billion yuan and net profit to 128 million yuan, indicating a growth of 161% year-on-year [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leader in the low-altitude digital economy, with a focus on developing comprehensive solutions and establishing benchmark projects across multiple cities [5]. - The report highlights three key advantages that support the company's potential to excel in the low-altitude digitalization sector: its established expertise in civil aviation management, the systematic product offerings for low-altitude operations, and the support from its parent group [5]. - The company is actively involved in projects that enhance low-altitude flight management capabilities, including collaborations with universities and local governments to create integrated management platforms [5].

Group 1 - Jiangsu Province has officially released the first provincial-level guidelines for low-altitude infrastructure planning, marking a new phase in the standardization and normalization of low-altitude economic development [1][4] - The release of these guidelines has led to a significant increase in the stock prices of low-altitude economy-related companies, with the Shanghai-Shenzhen-Hong Kong low-altitude economy index rising by 1.73% [1] - The guidelines include a four-level classification system for take-off and landing sites, which aims to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of low-altitude transportation [4] Group 2 - The central economic work conference has recognized "low-altitude economy" as a strategic emerging industry, prompting various regions to accelerate the introduction of related policies [2] - The lack of unified standards and clear departmental responsibilities at the national level has created bottlenecks in the infrastructure development of the low-altitude economy [3] - The guidelines propose a three-category airspace and four-level route classification system to improve the efficiency of airspace reporting [4] Group 3 - The infrastructure for the low-altitude economy includes both hard infrastructure (such as airports and navigation systems) and soft infrastructure (such as flight service platforms and maintenance services) [5] - Companies like Lais Information are actively developing comprehensive low-altitude solutions and have established a provincial-level low-altitude service management platform in Jiangsu [6][7] - Sujiao Technology has entered the low-altitude project space, focusing on planning and consulting services related to low-altitude transportation infrastructure [7][8]