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DRAM现货价狂飙600%:存储厂商股价冲顶,手机与PC巨头股价遭重创
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-02-10 06:47
Core Viewpoint - The DRAM spot prices have surged over 600% in recent months, leading to a "super cycle" narrative in the memory chip market, resulting in a stark divergence in stock performance between memory manufacturers and consumer electronics companies [1][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The global consumer electronics manufacturing index has dropped by 12% since the end of September, while memory manufacturers' stock index, including Samsung, has risen by over 160% in the same period [1]. - Market focus is on the duration of supply tightness, with Fidelity International's fund manager suggesting that the industry tightness may persist throughout the year, contrary to market expectations of normalization within one to two quarters [1][5]. Group 2: Impact on Terminal Manufacturers - Terminal manufacturers are facing profitability challenges due to memory chip shortages limiting production and rising product prices eroding margins [3]. - Major PC brands and Apple suppliers have seen stock declines due to concerns over profitability, while companies like Logitech are experiencing a bleak outlook due to higher chip prices suppressing PC demand [3]. Group 3: Performance of Memory Chip Manufacturers - Memory chip manufacturers have emerged as significant winners in the tech sector, with SK Hynix's stock soaring over 150% since late September, and companies like Kioxia and Nanya Technology seeing increases of approximately 280% and over 400%, respectively [3][4]. - The current memory chip cycle is noted to be longer and more pronounced than historical cycles, with no signs of demand momentum weakening [5].