保险行业负债端转型

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招商证券:保险行业负债端转型深化 资产端哑铃型结构突出
智通财经网· 2025-06-30 02:02
Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is experiencing significant transformation in liabilities and optimization in asset allocation, with a notable increase in bond investments and equity investments expected to enhance long-term returns [1][5]. Group 1: Performance Overview - In the first half of the year, the insurance sector demonstrated resilience in a volatile market, with a 14.5% increase in the A-share insurance index, outperforming the broader market by 8.5 percentage points [1][2]. - Despite the strong performance, public funds' holdings in insurance stocks remain low, with a share of only 0.91% at the end of Q1, significantly below the benchmark of 1.99% [1]. Group 2: Liability Side Transformation - The transformation of participating insurance products has shown remarkable results, with the proportion of participating insurance in individual channels reaching 98.9% in January-February [2]. - The property insurance sector continues to grow steadily, with a 5.2% year-on-year increase in premiums from January to April, supported by stable demand and product innovation [2]. Group 3: Asset Side Structure - The insurance companies have increased their allocation to long-duration bonds, with bond investments reaching a historical high of 50.4% by the end of Q1 [3]. - Equity investments have also seen a net increase of 389.3 billion yuan, reflecting a strategic shift towards higher stock allocations [3]. Group 4: Outlook for the Second Half - The cost of liabilities in life insurance is expected to decrease in an orderly manner, with a potential adjustment in the preset interest rate window anticipated in Q3 [4]. - The property insurance sector is expected to see stable premium growth, particularly in the new energy vehicle insurance market, where leading companies are likely to achieve underwriting profitability [4]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities - The insurance industry is poised to increase its allocation to value-oriented and technology growth equities, which is expected to provide direct incremental capital to the market and enhance long-term returns [5].