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非银行业周报(2025年第三十期):交投持续活跃,推动券商估值修复-20250825
AVIC Securities· 2025-08-25 07:52
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the growth level of the industry is expected to be higher than that of the CSI 300 index over the next six months [3][43]. Core Views - The securities sector has seen a significant increase in trading activity, with the average daily trading volume in the A-share market reaching 25,875 billion yuan, reflecting a 23.10% increase week-on-week. This heightened activity is expected to provide substantial support for brokerage firms' performance [2][13]. - The current price-to-book (PB) ratio for the brokerage sector is 1.58 times, which is near the 50th percentile of 2020 and indicates a historical low valuation [1][2]. - The ongoing market rally is characterized by enhanced sustainability and resilience, providing a stable growth foundation for brokerage firms [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Brokerage Weekly Data Tracking - The average daily trading volume for A-shares reached 25,875 billion yuan, with a week-on-week increase of 23.10% [13]. - The brokerage sector's direct financing scale for 2025 has reached 839.339 billion yuan, with IPOs contributing 65.3 billion yuan and additional financing of 733.5 billion yuan [15]. 2. Insurance Weekly Data Tracking - The insurance sector's total original premium income for May 2025 was 30,602.02 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.77% [29]. - The registration scale of debt investment plans has significantly decreased, with a 24.50% decline year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating a shift in investment strategies among insurance asset management institutions [8][9]. 3. Industry Dynamics - The regulatory environment is encouraging consolidation within the industry, with mergers and acquisitions seen as effective means for brokerages to achieve external growth and enhance overall competitiveness [3][34]. - The recent increase in securities transaction stamp duty, which reached 936 billion yuan in the first seven months of the year, indicates a recovery in investor confidence and market activity [34].