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【机构策略】A股市场有望延续震荡上行走势
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a slight upward trend after initial declines, with sectors such as coal, photovoltaic equipment, batteries, and liquor performing well, while banking, gaming, communication services, and internet services lagged behind [1] - Long-term capital inflow into the market is accelerating, with steady growth in ETF sizes and continuous inflow of insurance funds, providing significant support [1] - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in June, but uncertainty remains regarding the path of potential rate cuts, which could significantly boost global risk appetite if clear signals are released [1] Group 2 - The A-share market's three major indices continued to show upward momentum, with the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing above 3500 points and approaching 3600 points [2] - The current core pricing logic in the equity market is increasingly reflected in policies such as "domestic circulation" and "anti-involution," alongside active thematic investment opportunities, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend [2] - Despite external uncertainties, the overall market is expected to maintain a strong upward trajectory [2]
【机构策略】预计下半年A股市场有望呈现震荡上行趋势
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a rebound in the first half of the year, supported by valuation, while the profit side showed a certain degree of negative contribution [1] - Small-cap and low-valuation stocks outperformed, while high-profitability combinations only performed well in the first quarter [1] - The upcoming mid-year performance window in July and August is expected to lead to a temporary recovery in profit factors [1] Group 2 - The market has maintained a rebound trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year, but trading volume has been decreasing [2] - Short-term operations should focus on the rotation rhythm among hot sectors, while a clear trend in the market may require waiting for significant changes in economic fundamentals, incremental policies, and liquidity [2] - The market's downside space is relatively limited due to the ongoing function of central Huijin's "stabilization fund" [2]