Core Insights - The macroeconomic data for October indicates a short-term increase in economic downward pressure, with adjustments in policies focusing on stimulating domestic demand and repairing industrial product prices [1] CPI - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose from -0.3% to 0.2% year-on-year, marking a 0.5 percentage point increase from the previous month [4] - The month-on-month CPI increased by 0.2%, influenced by rising prices of fruits and vegetables, with food prices showing a higher growth rate compared to historical values [4] PPI - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, but saw a month-on-month increase for the first time this year, supported mainly by the mining industry [7] - Prices for production materials rose by 0.1%, with mining prices increasing by 1% [7] PMI - The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 49% from 49.8%, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [10] - The decline in PMI is attributed to high inventory levels, a significant drop in new export orders, and weakened investment demand due to debt repayment acceleration [10] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment (FAI) decreased by 1.7% year-on-year, with construction and real estate investments showing significant declines [14] - Factors contributing to the low performance in infrastructure include accelerated debt repayment, insufficient project reserves, and seasonal construction slowdowns [14] Credit - New credit issuance in October was 220 billion yuan, a decrease of 280 billion yuan compared to the previous year [17] - The total social financing (TSF) increased by 815 billion yuan, but the growth rate has slowed down [17] M2 - The M2 money supply grew by 8.2% year-on-year, a slight decrease from the previous month's growth rate of 8.4% [21] - The decline in M2 growth is influenced by a slowdown in social financing and an increase in fiscal deposits [21]