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通威股份上半年“失血”超49亿元 能否借政策东风穿越“最冷周期”?
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-07-14 14:37
Core Viewpoint - Tongwei Co., Ltd. is facing significant losses in the first half of 2025, with expected net losses ranging from 49 billion to 52 billion yuan, highlighting the severe supply-demand imbalance in the photovoltaic industry [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported a loss of 25.93 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with Q2 losses estimated between 23.46 billion and 26.07 billion yuan, indicating no signs of narrowing losses [1]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are -31.18 billion yuan, 28.79 billion yuan, and 57.88 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 55.7%, 192.3%, and 101.0% respectively [5]. Industry Context - Despite the losses, the photovoltaic industry is experiencing growth in new installations, but the supply-demand imbalance remains unresolved, leading to continued low prices across the industry [1][2]. - Recent policy measures, including production cuts and addressing low-price dumping, have raised market expectations for industry recovery, although analysts remain cautious about the timing of a turnaround [2]. Strategic Adjustments - Tongwei has successfully completed a strategic capital increase of 49.16 billion yuan, attracting 11 investment institutions, including several with state-owned backgrounds, which is expected to provide sufficient cash flow to navigate current industry challenges [3]. - The company is also increasing its investment in technology, showcasing advancements in TOPCon technology with solar modules achieving a bifacial rate of 94.3% and a power output of 722W [4]. Future Outlook - The company expresses confidence in the long-term growth potential of the photovoltaic industry, emphasizing the importance of addressing current supply-demand issues for sustainable development [5]. - The company plans to maintain its technological leadership while exploring new technologies to enhance product competitiveness and meet diverse market demands [4].