转自：新华财经 新华财经上海7月14日电（记者 郭慕清）在光伏产业链价格持续探底的大背景下，行业龙头通威股份 （600438.SH）14日晚间披露半年度业绩预告，预计2025年上半年归母净利润亏损49亿元至52亿元，扣 非净利润亦同步亏损，亏损幅度较去年同期31.29亿元进一步扩大，这一数字也再次凸显光伏行业供需 失衡的严峻现实。 记者梳理通威股份季度数据发现，该公司一季度已亏损25.93亿元，以此推算，二季度亏损区间在23.46 亿元至26.07亿元之间，显示亏损并未出现收窄迹象。 对于业绩变动原因，通威股份表示，报告期内，虽国内外光伏新增装机规模持续增长，但行业供需失衡 状况仍未显著改善，各环节产品价格持续低迷，受此影响，公司报告期内经营业绩录得亏损。虽经营业 绩阶段性承压，但报告期内公司各项核心业务仍维持稳健经营，其中光伏业务持续保持多个环节核心竞 争优势，饲料业务稳定为公司贡献业绩；公司财务流动性储备充足，技术研发持续突破，为公司长期健 康发展提供有力支撑。 与业绩巨亏形成鲜明对比的是，通威股份近期在二级市场表现活跃。7月8日，该股强势涨停，截至7月 14日收盘报20.63元，6月底以来累计涨幅达38 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic glass industry is undergoing a significant reduction in production, with major companies planning to cut output by approximately 30% to address supply-demand imbalances and improve market conditions [2][6]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic glass industry is facing challenges, with a total reduction of 31,091 tons per day since July, achieving a reduction rate of about 26%, nearing the target of 30% [3]. - As of June, domestic supply of photovoltaic glass was approximately 54GW, with demand around 49-50GW, resulting in a monthly surplus of about 8-9GW, equating to a glass surplus of 350,000-400,000 tons [3]. - Current inventory levels are high, with stock estimated at 31-32 days, indicating a significant oversupply in the market [3]. Price Dynamics - The price of photovoltaic glass has dropped over 70% from its peak of 40 yuan per square meter in 2020, leading to financial strain on many companies [4]. - The market has seen continuous price declines since June, with some prices falling below 11 yuan per square meter, causing many companies to struggle to cover costs [3][4]. Company Responses - Major companies are adapting to the market conditions by either reducing production or focusing on long-term customer relationships rather than engaging in price wars [4][7]. - Companies like 福莱特 and 信义光能 hold over 50% of the market share, with 福莱特 reporting a revenue of 18.683 billion yuan in 2024, down 13.2% year-on-year, and a net profit decline of 63.52% [4]. - 亚玛顿 is planning to invest in a new production line in the UAE to leverage local resources and enhance its competitive edge in the photovoltaic glass sector [6][7]. Future Outlook - The anticipated production cuts are expected to stabilize prices and improve the supply-demand balance in the photovoltaic glass market [7]. - The industry is projected to gradually move towards a healthier and more sustainable development trajectory as supply conditions improve and relevant policies are implemented [7].

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsong Technology has officially applied for listing on the ChiNext board, aiming to raise approximately 1.053 billion yuan for various projects including the construction of a photovoltaic intelligent equipment production base and a research and development center [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Jiangsong Technology, established in 2007, specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-efficiency photovoltaic cell automation equipment, providing integrated solutions for major clients in the photovoltaic industry [2] - The company has reported significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 807 million yuan, 1.237 billion yuan, and 2.018 billion yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, alongside net profits of 85 million yuan, 128 million yuan, and 186 million yuan [2] Group 2: Industry Challenges - Despite Jiangsong Technology's strong performance, the overall photovoltaic industry is experiencing a downturn, with major clients reporting substantial revenue declines and losses in 2024 [3][4] - The financial struggles of key clients such as JinkoSolar and Longi Green Energy indicate potential pressure on Jiangsong Technology's future performance [5] Group 3: Financial Health - As of the end of 2024, Jiangsong Technology's contract liabilities decreased by 23.26% to 1.626 billion yuan, and cash reserves fell by 45.9%, indicating reduced demand and new orders [7] - The company reported a negative cash flow of -117 million yuan due to a decline in new orders, which may lead to a lag in revenue recognition [7] Group 4: Asset Risks - Jiangsong Technology has increased its provision for bad debts to 136 million yuan, a rise of 189.36%, reflecting concerns over customer contract cancellations and potential asset impairment [8] - New clients, such as Xinhao New Energy, have also shown signs of financial distress, leading to significant provisions for bad debts [9] Group 5: R&D and Profitability - Jiangsong Technology's R&D expenses have been relatively low compared to peers, with rates of 5.83%, 5.26%, and 2.86% from 2022 to 2024, while competitors maintain higher R&D investment levels [11][12] - Despite having superior technical specifications, Jiangsong Technology's gross margins are lower than the industry average, with rates of 26.11%, 24.08%, and 25.11% during the same period [13]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing price adjustments, prompting companies like Hongyuan Green Energy to optimize their business layouts by divesting from non-core assets [2][4]. Company Summary - Hongyuan Green Energy announced the sale of its 27.0737% stake in Inner Mongolia Xinyuan Silicon Material Technology Co., Ltd. for 1.245 billion yuan, which corresponds to an investment of 1.02 billion yuan [2]. - The company aims to focus on its core business and reduce investment risks, as it has established its own silicon material production capacity and the market supply is sufficient [2][4]. - This is the second time in 2023 that Hongyuan Green Energy has divested from silicon material assets, having previously sold a stake in Jiaxing Zhongping Guoyu Investment Partnership [3]. Financial Performance - Inner Mongolia Xinyuan is projected to generate 4.792 billion yuan in revenue for 2024, but it is also expected to incur a net loss of 477 million yuan [3]. - Hongyuan Green Energy's revenue for 2024 is expected to be 7.302 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 38.42%, with a net loss of 2.697 billion yuan [6]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.657 billion yuan, down 24.37% year-on-year, and a net loss of approximately 61.88 million yuan [6]. Industry Context - The silicon material prices are currently at a low point, with N-type dense material priced around 38,000 yuan per ton, leading to significant pressure on profitability for many companies in the sector [3][4]. - The photovoltaic industry is facing supply-demand imbalances, with some inefficient capacities needing to be eliminated [6]. - Analysts predict that the prices across the photovoltaic industry chain may see a rebound in 2026 as supply-demand dynamics improve [6].

Core Insights - In 2024, major photovoltaic companies experienced significant losses, with Longi Green Energy reporting a net loss of 8.62 billion yuan, JA Solar a loss of 4.656 billion yuan, and Trina Solar a loss of 3.443 billion yuan, while JinkoSolar was the only company to achieve profitability [1][2] Revenue Performance - JinkoSolar achieved revenue of 92.471 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.08% - Longi Green Energy reported revenue of 82.58 billion yuan, down 36.23% year-on-year - Trina Solar's revenue was 80.282 billion yuan, reflecting a 29.21% decline year-on-year - JA Solar's revenue stood at 70.121 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.02% year-on-year [1][2] Shipment Volumes - In 2024, Trina Solar shipped over 70 GW of photovoltaic modules - JinkoSolar's shipments reached 92.87 GW - Longi Green Energy shipped 82.32 GW of battery modules - JA Solar's battery module shipments totaled 79.447 GW, including 1.544 GW for self-use [1] Profitability Challenges - Only JinkoSolar reported a profit in 2024, with a net profit of 99 million yuan, down 98.67% year-on-year - Longi Green Energy's net loss was 8.62 billion yuan, compared to a net profit of 10.75 billion yuan in the previous year - JA Solar's net loss was 4.656 billion yuan, down from a net profit of 7.039 billion yuan the previous year - Trina Solar reported a net loss of 3.443 billion yuan, compared to a net profit of 5.531 billion yuan in the prior year [2] Factors Contributing to Losses - Longi Green Energy cited a 61% drop in silicon wafer prices and a 39% decline in module prices as key factors for its losses, along with asset impairment losses of 8.7 billion yuan and investment losses of 486 million yuan [2] - JA Solar attributed its losses to intensified market competition, significant price declines, and a challenging international trade environment, leading to substantial asset impairment provisions [2] - Trina Solar indicated that the continuous decline in photovoltaic module prices adversely affected its profitability [2] Asset Impairment - Trina Solar reported a total of 3.106 billion yuan in various credit and asset impairment provisions, including 508 million yuan in credit impairment losses and 2.598 billion yuan in asset impairment losses [3] Market Performance - The stock prices of these four companies fell significantly in 2024, with JA Solar experiencing the largest decline at 31.25% - Longi Green Energy and Trina Solar saw their stock prices drop by 30.56% and 30.09%, respectively - JinkoSolar, the only profitable company, had a relatively smaller decline of 17.63% [4]

Core Viewpoint - Longi Green Energy reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, primarily due to falling prices of key products like solar modules and silicon wafers, marking the first annual loss since 2013 [2][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Longi Green Energy achieved operating revenue of 82.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.23% [3]. - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -8.62 billion yuan, compared to a profit of 10.75 billion yuan in the previous year, representing a decline of 180.15% [3][12]. - The gross profit margin for the main business decreased to 7.44%, down nearly 11 percentage points from the previous year [12]. Industry Context - The solar industry faced severe supply-demand imbalances and price declines, with many leading companies, including JinkoSolar and Tongwei, also reporting significant revenue and profit drops [4][6]. - The average price of polysilicon dropped by 40% from 65 yuan/kg to 39 yuan/kg, while the price of mainstream N-type silicon wafers fell by over 50% [7]. - The overall price decline across various segments of the solar industry ranged from 60% to 80% compared to the 2023 peak, leading to widespread losses in the second half of 2024 [7][10]. Strategic Challenges - Longi Green Energy attributed its poor performance to irrational price competition and operational missteps, including a mismatch between production and market demand [12][13]. - The company faced significant inventory write-downs and increased credit impairment losses, with inventory losses amounting to 6.13 billion yuan [13]. - The operational model of "production based on sales" led to a severe disconnect in product launches, resulting in excess inventory and subsequent losses [13]. Future Outlook - Despite the challenges, Longi Green Energy has begun to implement reforms aimed at enhancing product competitiveness and optimizing cost management [13][14]. - The company reported a slight recovery in the first quarter of 2025, with revenue of 13.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.75%, but a narrowing of net losses to -1.44 billion yuan [16]. - The industry anticipates that solar prices may remain low in the short term, with potential improvements expected by the end of 2025 as capacity adjustments take place [15][18].

Core Viewpoint - Jingao Technology reported a significant decline in revenue and a net loss for 2024, primarily due to supply-demand imbalance and price drops across the solar industry [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 70.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.02% [1] - Net profit turned to a loss of 4.656 billion yuan, compared to a profit of 7.039 billion yuan in 2023 [1] - The gross margin for the solar module business was only 4.82% in 2024, with domestic market gross margin at -7.98% and European market gross margin at -3.51% [2] Group 2: Production and Capacity - In 2024, the company shipped 79.447 GW of battery modules, with overseas shipments accounting for approximately 49% [1] - The planned production capacity for 2024 was not fully achieved, with actual module capacity reaching 100 GW, while silicon wafer and battery capacities were only over 80% and 70% of module capacity, respectively [2] - The company did not disclose operational targets for 2025, which is unusual compared to previous years [2] Group 3: Industry Context and Challenges - The solar industry is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance due to the release of new capacities, leading to widespread losses across the supply chain [3] - The global solar industry policies significantly impact the development speed and quality of the sector, creating uncertainties in both domestic and international markets [3] - The industry is facing structural overcapacity, with domestic production capacities exceeding 1100 GW, far surpassing global installation growth [3]