Workflow
光伏行业自律控产限价
icon
Search documents
通威股份(600438):计提减值业绩承压 海外拓展顺利
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 04:29
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with a net loss of 70.4 billion yuan, indicating a challenging operating environment and pressure on profitability due to industry conditions [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 919.9 billion yuan and a net loss of 70.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 33.9% and 151.9% respectively, falling at the lower end of the profit forecast [1] - For Q4 2024, revenue was 237.2 billion yuan, down 14.3% year-on-year and 3.1% quarter-on-quarter, with a net loss of 30.7 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase in losses [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue was 159.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 18.6% year-on-year and 32.8% quarter-on-quarter, with a net loss of 25.9 billion yuan, which was worse than expectations [1] Group 2: Industry Position and Product Performance - The company maintained its leading position in the silicon material market, with sales of 467,600 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.76%, capturing approximately 30% of the national market share [3] - The company’s silicon material and related businesses generated revenue of 198.97 billion yuan in 2024, down 55.59% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 2% [3] - In 2024, the company sold 87.68 GW of batteries, a year-on-year increase of 8.70%, and 45.71 GW of components, a 46.93% increase, expanding its market share and optimizing shipment structure [4] Group 3: Future Outlook and Valuation - The company expects a slow recovery in industry supply and demand balance, leading to a downward adjustment in price, shipment volume, and gross margin assumptions for silicon materials and battery businesses [6] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are -35.19 billion yuan, 50.71 billion yuan, and 70.45 billion yuan respectively, with a significant decrease in expectations for 2025 and 2026 [6] - The company is assigned a target price of 19.33 yuan for 2026, based on a PE ratio of 17.11x, reflecting its strong position in the silicon material and battery markets [6]