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德业股份(605117):降价冲击业绩规模,工商储新品有望增添活力
Great Wall Securities· 2025-08-28 05:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][17]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 135.22 billion yuan, 159.69 billion yuan, and 184.44 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. Corresponding net profits are projected to be 34.36 billion yuan, 39.15 billion yuan, and 45.11 billion yuan, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 16.1%, 13.9%, and 15.2% [4][5]. - The company is actively expanding its product offerings in the inverter segment and enhancing its overseas distribution channels, which is expected to strengthen its competitive position in the solar storage niche [4][5]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 7,480 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.6%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1,791 million yuan, reflecting an 18.0% increase [1][4]. - The company achieved a revenue of 55.35 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 16.58% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 15.22 billion yuan, up 23.18% [1][2]. - The inverter segment shipped 763,800 units in the first half of 2025, contributing 26.44 billion yuan in revenue, a 13.9% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 47.83% [2][3]. - The energy storage battery pack business saw a remarkable revenue increase of 85.8% year-on-year, contributing 14.22 billion yuan in the reporting period [3]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates that the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 30.3 in 2023 to 12.0 by 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation as earnings grow [1][4]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 10.4 in 2023 to 3.4 in 2027, indicating potential for value appreciation [1][4].