每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 华鑫证券指出，创业板50指数所代表的成长风格在资金面边际松弛、风险偏好提升的背景下或略占 优。上周资金面边际松弛推动股牛债熊格局，成长风格继续跑赢价值，十债收益率上行3个基点至 1.88%，期限利差走扩至59个基点。在地方债发行规模明显放缓后，宏观流动性改善空间有限，权益市 场风险有所上升，但成长板块仍具备相对优势。 创业板50ETF国泰（159375）跟踪的是创业板50指数（399673），单日涨跌幅达20%，该指数从创 业板市场中筛选出流动性较优、日均成交额较高的50只证券作为指数样本，旨在反映创业板知名大市值 企业的整体市场表现。从行业分布来看，该指数重点配置于电力设备及新能源、医药生物、计算机等科 技创新领域，充分体现了创业板市场高成长性与高科技含量的核心特征。 风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个 ...

金融工程| 证券研究报告 —周报 2026 年 1 月 11 日 中银量化大类资产跟踪 股指突破关键点位，有色及贵金属行情持 续发酵 股票市场概览 本周 A 股市场整体上涨，港股市场整体上涨，美股市场普遍上涨，其 他海外权益市场普遍上涨。 A 股风格与拥挤度 成长 vs 红利：相对拥挤度及超额净值近期处于历史较高位置，需注 意成长风格的配置风险。 小盘 vs 大盘：相对拥挤度及超额净值均未处于历史高位，小盘风格 当前具有较高的配置性价比。 微盘股 vs 中证 800：相对拥挤度及超额净值持续处于历史高位，需注 意微盘股风格的配置风险。 A 股行情跟踪 A 股估值与股债性价比 A 股资金面 利率市场 本周中国国债利率上涨，美国国债利率不变，中美利差处于历史高位。 汇率市场 近一周在岸人民币较美元升值，离岸人民币较美元贬值。 商品市场 本周中国商品市场整体上涨，美国商品市场整体上涨。 风险提示 量化模型因市场剧烈变动失效。 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 金融工程 证券分析师: 郭策 (8610) 66229081 ce.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300 ...

- The report focuses on the "Fixed Income+" (固收+) product, which aims to achieve absolute returns higher than pure fixed-income products, with risk-return characteristics between bond and equity products. The specific scope includes mixed bond funds with average convertible bond positions not exceeding 80% over the past eight quarters and equity positions (stocks + 0.5×convertible bonds) not exceeding 40% on average, with a maximum equity position of 60%[18] - The classification of "Fixed Income+" funds is based on long-term equity risk exposure, dividing them into three categories: conservative, balanced, and aggressive. The classification thresholds are set at 15% and 25% for average equity positions over the past eight quarters[21][20] - The report highlights the growth in "Fixed Income+" fund scale, with a total increase of 7700.41 billion yuan (63.50%) from the end of 2024 to Q3 2025. Among the categories, conservative funds grew by 3695.98 billion yuan, balanced funds by 2101.94 billion yuan, and aggressive funds nearly doubled with an increase of 1902.49 billion yuan[18][21] - The performance of "Fixed Income+" funds from 2020 to 2025 demonstrates strong stability and cross-cycle return capabilities. Even aggressive funds show significantly lower drawdowns compared to equity and convertible bond products. The products exhibit strong return elasticity during equity market uptrends and resilience during downturns[31][35] - The leverage ratio of "Fixed Income+" funds has been declining, from 1.24 at the end of 2023 to 1.10 by Q3 2025. Conservative funds generally maintain higher leverage, while aggressive funds rely more on equity asset elasticity for returns[57][60] - The duration of "Fixed Income+" funds has increased from 1.92 years in 2024 to 3.04 years by Q3 2025, reflecting a strategy to extend duration for bond yield enhancement amid declining bond yields[61][63]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of "bull stocks" in the A-share market over the past five years, highlighting changes in industry focus, market capitalization preferences, and performance metrics. Group 1: Yearly Analysis of Bull Stocks - In 2021, the new energy sector was a fertile ground for bull stocks, with midstream manufacturing and materials contributing 29% and 24% respectively. The market began shifting from large caps to "small high-tech" stocks, with 21 stocks entering the top 100 despite being in the bottom 20% by market cap at the start of the year [2] - In 2022, consumer services, machinery, and electric equipment sectors produced the most bull stocks. A notable trend was the preference for smaller companies, with 83 bull stocks having a market cap below 10 billion yuan at the beginning of the year. The median profit growth of these stocks was 157.99%, significantly higher than the overall A-share growth of 1.38% [3] - In 2023, the TMT sector contributed 50% of the bull stocks, with midstream manufacturing and essential consumption following. The trend towards smaller market caps continued, with only 4 stocks in the top 20% by market cap at the start of the year. The profitability of bull stocks was lower than the overall A-share market, indicating a shift in investor focus towards high elasticity and thematic opportunities [5] - In 2024, the TMT sector remained dominant, accounting for 37% of bull stocks. The number of stocks in the top 20% by market cap increased to 21, showing a shift from the previous year's small-cap focus. Profitability slightly improved compared to the overall market, with a median growth rate of 13.62% compared to 2.05% for A-shares [6] - In 2025, midstream manufacturing contributed 35% of bull stocks, with TMT at 27%. The trend of smaller market caps persisted, with over half of the bull stocks starting the year in the top 60% by market cap [8] Group 2: Market Trends and Preferences - The analysis reveals a significant shift in market preferences over the past five years, moving from a focus on large-cap stocks to a greater appreciation for mid and small-cap stocks. This reflects changing investor sentiment and market dynamics [8] - The profitability and growth metrics of bull stocks have fluctuated, with a notable increase in the emphasis on earnings growth over return on equity (ROE) in recent years. This indicates a broader market trend towards valuing high growth potential [2][3][5][6] - The article concludes that the search for bull stocks should adapt to changing market conditions, suggesting that relying on previous years' templates may not yield successful outcomes in the future [8]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index surged after the opening, breaking the high point from November 14, 2025, and reaching the highest level since July 2015, closing at 4047.37 points, up 0.6% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.69% to 13923.61 points, while the ChiNext Index increased by 0.46% to 3309.76 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index jumped 1.85% to 1429.42 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 567.525 billion yuan, with over 3500 stocks rising [1] Sector Highlights - The brain-computer interface sector continued to perform strongly, with several companies hitting the daily limit up, following a breakthrough in implant technology at Fudan University [3] - Semiconductor equipment stocks showed resilience, with companies like Jin Hai Tong hitting the daily limit up and others like Bei Fang Hua Chuang and Zhong Ke Fei Ce rising over 5%, reaching historical highs [3] - The solid-state battery concept saw significant gains, with Jin Long Yu hitting the daily limit up, as a Finnish company announced the launch of the world's first commercially viable all-solid-state battery [4] - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a rebound, with Lei Ke Defense achieving five consecutive limit-ups, following a capital increase announcement from China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation [4] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities expressed optimism about the spring market, suggesting a focus on growth sectors like electric equipment and renewable energy, as well as domestic demand improvement themes [5] - CITIC Securities noted that the cross-year market may exhibit characteristics of "growth leading and liquor accumulating," with a focus on sectors like snacks and dairy [5] - Huaxi Securities highlighted 2026 as a year of multiple positive factors, with a solid foundation for a bull market, driven by macro policies and improving corporate earnings [6] - Guojin Securities projected 2026 to be the year of recoverable commercial rockets, emphasizing the importance of cost reduction through recoverable technology in the aerospace sector [7] - Tianfeng Securities recommended focusing on cosmetics, gold jewelry, and duty-free sectors, which are expected to grow amid the recovery of high-end consumption [7]

Market Overview - The three major indices opened mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.06% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.01%, while the ChiNext Index opened down 0.45% [1] - The human brain engineering and lithium mining sectors showed significant gains, while commercial aerospace and CPO sectors experienced declines [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 4026.02, up 0.06%, with 1018 gainers and 808 losers [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 13830.30, up 0.01%, with 1318 gainers and 1066 losers [2] - ChiNext Index: 3279.81, down 0.45%, with 650 gainers and 552 losers [2] External Market - U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones reaching a record high, driven by strong financial stocks [3] - The Dow Jones increased by 594.79 points (1.23%) to 48977.18, the Nasdaq rose by 160.19 points (0.69%) to 23395.82, and the S&P 500 gained 43.58 points (0.64%) to 6902.05 [3] - Most Chinese concept stocks saw gains, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up 0.49% [3] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities anticipates a strengthening spring market, recommending investments in growth sectors such as electric equipment and renewable energy, as well as sectors related to domestic demand improvement [4] - CITIC Securities highlights a "growth first, liquor accumulation" trend in the cross-year market, with a focus on sectors like snacks and dairy that show clear growth potential [5] - Huaxi Securities predicts 2026 will be a significant year for the market, supported by favorable macro policies and improving corporate earnings [6] - Guojin Securities expects 2026 to be the year of recoverable commercial rockets, emphasizing the importance of cost reduction through recoverable technology [7][8] - Tianfeng Securities sees growth potential in cosmetics, gold jewelry, and duty-free sectors amid the recovery of high-end consumption [9]

华泰证券研报称，看好春季行情进一步强化，技术模型显示多数宽基指数的得分回升、市场处于修复通 道，上证指数已进入看多区间；宏观层面，1月份全天候策略亦押注增长超预期并增配股票。配置上建 议沿两条主线布局：一是成长风格，看好电力设备及新能源行业；二是围绕"十五五"开局之年的内需改 善主题，推荐社会服务、房地产、家电及饮料行业。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The expectation for the spring market may further strengthen, with A-share indices showing signs of recovery and entering a bullish phase [2][3] Technical Analysis - The A-share technical scoring model indicates that most broad indices have seen a slight rebound in technical scores, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing the bullish threshold [3][10] - The model's performance for 2025 shows a timing return of 12.54%, while the overall return for the Wind All A index is 27.65%, resulting in an underperformance of -15.11% [10] Market Strategy - The macro strategy for January is focused on an optimistic growth outlook, with an increased allocation to equities [2][6] - Recommended investment themes include: - Growth style, particularly in the electric equipment and new energy sectors - Domestic demand improvement themes, focusing on consumer services, real estate, home appliances, and beverages [2][5] Style Timing Model - The style timing model has shifted from neutral to bearish on dividend style since December 22, 2025, favoring growth style instead [4][14] - The model indicates a preference for small-cap stocks, operating in a low crowding zone, which suggests a bullish outlook for small-cap stocks [20][23] Industry Rotation Model - The industry rotation model, which utilizes genetic programming techniques, has identified consumer services, electric equipment and new energy, real estate, home appliances, and beverages as favorable sectors [5][24] - The model achieved an absolute return of 40.34% in 2025, outperforming the industry equal-weight benchmark by 15.88 percentage points [24] All-Weather Strategy - The all-weather enhanced portfolio strategy for 2025 has yielded an absolute return of 13.86%, with a Sharpe ratio of 2.22 and a maximum drawdown of 2.67% [6][34] - The strategy has significantly over-allocated to the "growth exceeding expectations" quadrant and slightly to the "inflation below expectations" quadrant [34][35]

深成长ETF大成(159906)紧密跟踪深证成长40指数，深证成长40指数反映深市成长风格突出的上市公司 的股价变化情况。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，深证成长40指数前十大权重股分别为新易盛、胜宏科技、宁德时代、 阳光电源、盐湖股份、沪电股份、思源电气、汇川技术、云铝股份、藏格矿业，前十大权重股合计占比 72.12%。 相关产品：深成长ETF大成(159906)，场外联接(A类：090012；C类：019254)。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 有色板块成为最大亮点，盐湖股份强势涨停，凭借锂电池原材料核心优势领涨，该公司日前发布2025年 度业绩预告，预计实现归母净利润82.9亿元至88.9亿元，同比增长77.78%至90.65%。藏格矿业同步涨超 6%，印证顺周期反内卷赛道的高景气。 TMT科技股表现强势，胜宏科技上涨2.43%，汇川技术盘中涨幅一度达5%。兴业证券此前表示，避险 情绪缓解叠加三季报景气验证，市场对于科技成长景气主线的共识有望再一次凝聚。 新能源龙头稳健发力，宁德时代涨近2%。宁德时代1月4日晚间发布公告称，截至2025年12月31日，公 司通过深圳证券交易所股票交易系 ...

每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 中信建投指出，创业板50作为科技成长主线的代表性指数，12月涨幅达4.93%，在跨年行情中表现 突出。行业主要围绕半导体、AI和未来产业热点展开，其中国补新增智能眼镜、智能家居，国家创业 投资引导基金正式启动，重点聚焦集成电路、人工智能等领域的早期项目，利好科技成长赛道。全球科 技股共振上行，半导体、AI芯片是行情核心，国内政策支持与估值修复推动科技板块表现。中长期看 好工业金属、小金属等资源品价格上行趋势，全球流动性宽松、AI和新能源等新兴需求是核心逻辑。 市场情绪高涨，主题热点活跃，跨年行情有望继续演绎。 创业板50ETF国泰（159375）跟踪的是创业板50指数（399673），单日涨跌幅限制达20%，该指数 从深圳证券交易所创业板中筛选出50只日均成交额较大、流动性良好的证券作为成分股，旨在反映创业 板市场内知名 ...