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6000亿中际旭创调入中证A50,指数基金被迫“高位”接盘?
Core Viewpoint - Zhongji Xuchuang is set to be included in the China Securities A50 Index, effective December 12, following the announcement of sample adjustments by the China Securities Index Company on November 28. This inclusion is expected to attract significant passive capital inflow from index funds tracking the A50 Index [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance and Market Position - Zhongji Xuchuang's stock price has surged to 538 yuan, with a total market capitalization nearing 600 billion yuan, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 336% [3][4]. - The company reported a revenue of 250.05 billion yuan for the first three quarters of the year, a 44% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 71.32 billion yuan, up 90% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue reached 102.16 billion yuan, a 57% increase, with net profit soaring 125% to 31.37 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Industry Context and Demand Drivers - The demand for optical modules is experiencing a significant increase, driven by major North American companies ramping up AI infrastructure investments. For instance, Google and Meta have raised their capital expenditure guidance for 2025 to between 91 billion to 93 billion USD and 70 billion to 72 billion USD, respectively [4]. - The global AI server market is projected to reach 125.1 billion USD in 2024, with expectations of growth to 222.7 billion USD by 2028. Additionally, there is a forecasted supply shortage for 800Gbps optical transceivers, which could reach 40% to 60% by 2027 [10][11]. Group 3: Shareholder Actions and Market Sentiment - Despite the positive market performance, there have been significant share reductions by major shareholders, including the chairman and other executives, raising concerns about potential high-level sell-offs [5][9]. - Market analysts remain optimistic about Zhongji Xuchuang, with HSBC and Goldman Sachs significantly raising their profit forecasts and target prices for the company, citing strong demand for its 800G and 1.6T products [12].