Core Viewpoint - The significant surge in the stock price of Zhongji Xuchuang is primarily driven by its close ties with Google's AI strategy and the recent revaluation of Google's supply chain, particularly in the context of AI computing power [2][4]. Company Overview - Zhongji Xuchuang's stock price increased by over 13%, reaching a record high of 556.88 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization exceeding 600 billion CNY [1]. - The company has experienced a cumulative stock price increase of 339.82% year-to-date and over 1909% since the beginning of 2023 [2]. Partnership with Google - Zhongji Xuchuang is recognized as Google's largest optical module supplier, holding over 50% market share in 800G products [2]. - The partnership with Google began during the 400G era (2020-2022) and has strengthened, with market share increasing to over 40% in the 800G era [2]. - Google Capital held a 2.47% stake in Zhongji Xuchuang as of the end of 2021, although it has since exited the top ten shareholders [3]. Demand and Product Development - The demand for Zhongji Xuchuang's 1.6T optical modules is expected to rise due to Google's AI computing power needs, particularly with the deployment of TPU technology [4]. - The company has seen a continuous increase in orders for 800G products since Q1 of this year, with expectations for sustained growth in 1.6T shipments in the coming quarters [4]. Financial Performance - As of Q3, Zhongji Xuchuang's construction projects surged from 53 million CNY at the end of 2024 to 980 million CNY, marking a 1765.65% increase due to heightened investment in equipment and infrastructure [5]. - The company's cash flow improved significantly, with cash and cash equivalents increasing by 54.19% due to higher sales receipts [6]. Industry Outlook - Analysts indicate that the optical module industry is currently experiencing historical high demand, with confirmed needs for 2026-2027 [5]. - Zhongji Xuchuang is well-positioned to benefit from the expansion of AI computing power due to its technological leadership and capacity layout [5].

在产品布局方面，中际旭创不断推出高端产品。中际旭创11月23日在投资者互动平台表示，公司目前主 要产品涵盖400G、800G和1.6T产品，其中1.6T产品正在持续起量，3.2T产品尚在研发和完善中。 从财务数据来看，中际旭创也交出了一份亮眼的答卷。2025年前三季度，公司实现营业总收入250.05亿 元，同比增长44.43%；取得归母净利润71.32亿元，同比增长90.05%。第三季度，公司实现营业收入 102.16亿元，同比增长56.83%；归母净利润31.37亿元，同比增长124.98%。 高盛对中际旭创的未来发展也给出了乐观的预测。受益于ASIC芯片多样化趋势和高速连接需求激增， 高盛预计中际旭创2025-2028年净利润复合年增长率将达到59%。具体来看，高盛预计公司800G光模块 收入在2026年将同比激增104%，1.6T光模块收入在2027年将同比暴涨110%，支撑2025-2028年整体收入 实现52%的复合年增长率。 当然，光模块公司的暴涨并非偶然，与市场景气度的持续上升密不可分。根据Lightcounting的预测，全 球以太网光模块市场规模有望持续快速增长。2026年，该市场规模将同比 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongyuan Securities indicates that a series of AI industry catalytic events will occur in 2026, strengthening the leading position of top optical module manufacturers due to their technological, customer, and scale advantages. The current valuation of the communication industry index is below the ten-year average, and the industry maintains a "stronger than the market" investment rating based on performance growth expectations and valuation levels [1][2]. Summary by Sections Review of 2025 - In early 2025, the DeepSeek large model boosted market sentiment, and the three major operators completed the deployment of DeepSeek computing power private networks, enhancing their cloud service capabilities. Domestic cloud manufacturers provided positive capital expenditure guidance, leading to an increase in industry valuations. However, from February to April, the industry index experienced significant fluctuations due to concerns over U.S. tariff policies and future demand for optical modules. By mid-April, the easing of tariff policies and validation of AI computing power demand led to a gradual recovery in the industry index and valuations. In late July, North American cloud manufacturers raised their capital expenditure guidance, further catalyzing the industry. Since September, leading manufacturers faced short-term performance fatigue due to product iterations and customer structure adjustments, raising concerns about unclear downstream business models [2]. Outlook for 2026 - A series of AI industry catalytic events are expected, including the mass production of NVIDIA's next-generation Rubin GPU, the release of Google's new large model Gemini, and clear capital expenditure guidance from cloud manufacturers. AI smartphones equipped with large models are anticipated to become personalized smart assistants, potentially driving the next wave of smartphone upgrades. The development of key 6G technologies by telecom operators is expected to accelerate revenue growth from AI computing power. The report is optimistic about the high industry prosperity and strong growth potential of optical modules, optical devices, optical chips, and the increasing penetration of AI smartphones, as well as the stable operations of quality dividend assets in telecom operators [3][4]. Capital Expenditure Outlook for Leading Cloud Manufacturers - The demand for 800G is increasing, and the industry is transitioning from 800G to 1.6T technology. Leading optical module manufacturers are expected to further highlight their advantages due to technological leadership, stable customer relationships, and scalable delivery capabilities. The development of AI is driving the construction of large data centers, benefiting optical device manufacturers. The long R&D and expansion cycles for optical chips create high barriers in technology, talent, customer validation, and capital, leading to a persistent supply-demand gap for certain optical chips. The increasing demand for domestic controllable solutions is expected to translate into performance for domestic computing power. Recommended companies to watch include: NewEase, Huagong Technology, Guangxun Technology, Yuanjie Technology, Shijia Photon, and Taicheng Light [4]. AI Smartphones and Market Trends - Generative AI smartphones are set to provide users with new interactive experiences, multimodal content generation capabilities, personalized services, and innovative application ecosystems. The continuous improvement of edge AI computing power and large model capabilities is expected to further increase the market penetration of AI smartphones. Innovations and upgrades in AI smartphones are likely to lead to higher average selling prices and improved profit margins. The growth in edge AI shipments will drive sustained growth in core product lines of consumer electronics components [5]. Telecom Operators' Performance - The three major telecom operators are considered quality dividend assets with high dividend yield potential, offering cash dividends twice a year. The quality of traditional business revenue is improving, and a decrease in capital expenditure is expected to lower future depreciation and amortization costs, maintaining stable operations. Additionally, telecom operators are likely to leverage their advantages in data centers, big data, and network infrastructure to reconstruct business models with the help of AI. Investment recommendations include focusing on the optical module, optical device, and optical chip sectors, as well as AI smartphone and telecom operator sectors [6].

Core Insights - The report maintains a "stronger than market" investment rating for the communication industry, highlighting its growth potential and favorable valuation levels [1][5][12] - The communication industry index has shown significant performance, ranking second among 30 major industry indices with a 60.87% increase as of November 20, 2025 [12][14] - The report emphasizes the optimistic outlook for AI-related developments, particularly in AI computing and cloud services, which are expected to drive industry growth [4][5][45] Market Review and Industry Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the communication industry achieved a total revenue of CNY 19,753.67 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.30%, while net profit reached CNY 1,886.40 billion, up 6.95% [18] - The overall gross margin for the communication industry was 28.45%, with a net margin of 10.19% for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating stable profitability [19] - The telecommunications operators segment reported a revenue of CNY 14,819.21 billion, growing by 0.57%, and a net profit of CNY 1,548.98 billion, increasing by 4.30% [35] Segment Performance - The optical communication segment (including optical modules, devices, and chips) saw a revenue of CNY 795.38 billion, a year-on-year increase of 56.14%, with net profit soaring by 116.86% [41] - The telecommunications equipment segment recorded a revenue of CNY 1,390.0 billion, growing by 11.2%, while the consumer electronics components segment also grew by 11.1% [21] - The cable segment achieved a revenue of CNY 464.54 billion, reflecting a growth of 6.99%, driven by increasing demand across multiple applications [46] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the optical module/device/chip sector, such as NewEase, Huagong Technology, and Guangxun Technology, due to their strong growth prospects [5][41] - For AI mobile phones, companies like Xunwei Communication and ZTE are highlighted as key players to watch [5][41] - The telecommunications operators, including China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, are recommended for their stable operations and high dividend yields [5][41]

每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：1、据近期美沙会晤，沙特、迪拜等海湾中东国家对算 力需求强劲，还处于开始建设阶段，请问未来公司产品在中东地区、欧洲国家，是否有销售渠道或计 划？ 2、公司目前主要产品是400G，还是800G光模块及相关配件？1.6T、3.2T进展怎样？ （记者 胡玲） 中际旭创（300308.SZ）11月23日在投资者互动平台表示，1、公司产品能够跟随客户覆盖到上述区域； 2、公司目前主要产品涵盖400G、800G和1.6T产品，1.6T产品在持续起量，3.2T产品尚在研发和完善 中。 ...

Core Insights - The AI optical module market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by the increasing demand for high-speed interconnects in data centers due to the rise of generative AI technologies [1][4] - The global AI optical module market is projected to reach 42.8 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 23.8 billion yuan from 2023, and is expected to grow to 71.6 billion yuan by 2025 [1][4] - China's AI optical module market is also expanding, with a forecasted growth to 17.8 billion yuan by 2025, up from 10.6 billion yuan in 2024 [1][5] Industry Definition and Barriers - AI optical modules are essential for meeting the ultra-high bandwidth and low latency requirements of AI computing clusters, acting as the "nervous system" of the AI era [2][4] - The market barriers include technological research and development, supply chain management, product comprehensiveness, customer loyalty, and globalization [4] Current Industry Status - The AI optical module market is a hot sector within the semiconductor and communication fields, with sustained high demand due to the ongoing global AI arms race [4] - The rapid development of generative AI technologies has significantly increased the demand for optical modules in data centers [4] Industry Chain - The upstream of the AI optical module industry includes optical devices, chips (optical and circuit chips), PCB boards, and structural components [5] - The midstream involves the production and system integration of AI optical modules, while the downstream consists of cloud service providers utilizing these modules in AI data centers [5] Cost Structure - The cost structure of AI optical modules shows that optical devices account for 74% of the total cost, followed by integrated circuit chips at 19% and printed circuit boards (PCBs) at 4% [7] Development Environment and Policies - The Chinese government has implemented various policies to support the AI optical module industry, recognizing its importance in the AI computing infrastructure [9] - Key policies include initiatives aimed at enhancing network infrastructure, computing power layout, technological research, and application scenarios [9] Competitive Landscape - The Chinese AI optical module market is characterized by significant differentiation among companies, with leading firms such as Zhongji Xuchuang and NewEase occupying dominant positions [11][12] - Major companies in the sector include Wuhan Guangxun Technology Co., Ltd., Zhongji Xuchuang Co., Ltd., and Huagong Technology, among others [12][13] Future Trends - The demand for AI optical modules is expected to grow explosively due to the increasing competition in artificial intelligence and the unprecedented requirements for data transmission rates and bandwidth in data centers [14][15] - Continuous innovation and commercialization in technology will further drive the growth of the AI optical module market [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - The recent significant drop in the ChiNext AI sector, primarily driven by a sharp correction in optical module and computing hardware, has led to notable declines in key stocks, while AI application stocks have shown resilience with some experiencing gains [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - On November 21, the ChiNext AI sector experienced a nearly 5% drop, with stocks like Xinyisheng falling over 8%, Tianfu Communication down more than 7%, and Zhongji Xuchuang declining over 5% [1]. - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363), which has over 54% exposure to optical modules, closed down 4.83%, marking a new low since the correction began in October, with a daily trading volume of 920 million yuan [1]. - The cumulative decline for the ChiNext AI sector was 1.18% for the week, with a more than 12% drop from the peak at the end of October [3]. Group 2: Optical Module Market Dynamics - Nvidia's better-than-expected earnings report confirms the high demand for global computing power, suggesting that short-term fluctuations will not alter the overall positive trend in computing power demand [3]. - The retail price of 1.6T optical modules has increased from approximately $1200 at launch to over $2000 currently, while the price decline for 800G and lower-speed optical modules has slowed, indicating a shift to a "volume and price increase" scenario in the optical module industry [3][4]. - Projections indicate that global demand for 800G optical modules could reach 40 million units next year, with 1.6T optical modules expected to exceed 7 million units [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook for AI Applications - The launch of Alibaba's "Qianwen APP" signals a new phase in AI applications, moving towards an "ecological integration" model, which may lead to a rebound in AI application stocks [4]. - International developments, such as Google's new multimodal AI model, are accelerating the commercialization of AI, reinforcing the positive industry trend [4]. - The AI application sector, despite its limited recent gains compared to other segments, is expected to experience a rebound due to the ongoing evolution of the AI industry [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on the first ChiNext AI ETF (159363) and its associated funds, which have a significant allocation to optical module leaders, particularly "Yizhongtian" [5]. - The ETF's portfolio is heavily weighted towards computing power, with over 70% allocated to this sector and more than 20% to AI applications, positioning it to effectively capture AI thematic trends [5].

机构分析认为，光模块"量价齐增"受益于供需两端的多重因素共振：需求侧，全球云厂商资本开支持续 上修，算力建设需求旺盛；供给侧，技术迭代加速，头部厂商积极扩产满足增长需求。随着全球算力投 资规模不断扩大、技术迭代持续加速，光通信产业链将维持高景气度。 把握光模块等算力、AI应用核心机会，建议重点关注全市场首只创业板人工智能ETF（159363）及场 外联接（A类023407、C类023408），标的指数重点布局光模块龙头"易中天"，光模块含量超54%。从 赛道分布看，逾七成仓位布局算力，超两成仓位布局AI应用，能够高效捕捉AI主题行情。（截至 2025.10.31） 数据来源：沪深交易所等。注："全市场首只"是指首只跟踪创业板人工智能指数的ETF。 风险提示：创业板人工智能ETF华宝被动跟踪创业板人工智能指数，该指数基日为2018.12.28，发布日 期为2024.7.11。创业板人工智能指数2020-2024年年度涨跌幅分别为：20.1%、17.57%、-34.52%、 47.83%、38.44%，指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表 现。文中指数成份股仅作展示，个股描述不 ...

【跟踪牛人动态】超3000名"专业选手"如何调仓？最牛选手单只标的浮盈超400% 【头条要闻】 美股"过山车式"大跳水！标普创4月来最惨一日，降息疑虑与避险情绪笼罩市场 美股周四高开低走并大幅收跌。道指与纳指均出现超1100点宽幅震荡。市场继续评估英伟达的财报以及 延迟发布的美国9月非农数据。同时投资者已不再预期美联储12月再次降息。美股分析师Hannah Erin Lang表示，美股大幅高开后迅速转跌，动能丧失的首要原因是人工智能的提振似乎是短暂的。尽管英 伟达的财报似乎恢复了对AI交易的一些信心，但这种信心提振仅是昙花一现，信息技术板块今天在标 普500指数中领跌。 9月"迟到"非农数据超预期 美联储内部分歧难消 12月降息的可能性继续下降 数据显示，美国9月季调后非农就业人口新增11.9万人，预期5万人。美国9月平均每小时工资年率 3.8%，预期3.7%，前值由3.7%修正为3.8%；9月平均每小时工资月率0.2%，预期0.3%，前值由0.3%修 正为0.4%。失业率数据则表现不佳，9月失业率为4.4%，预期4.3%，前值4.3%。美联储政策制定者现在 面临的重大决策是：就业市场这种方向不确定的信号，能 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs expresses strong confidence in the growth prospects of Zhongji Xuchuang, raising the target price by 62% to RMB 762 and maintaining a "Buy" rating based on the company's robust growth potential in the 800G/1.6T optical module and silicon photonics technology sectors [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Goldman Sachs forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 59% for Zhongji Xuchuang's net profit from 2025 to 2028, with 800G optical module revenue expected to surge by 104% year-on-year in 2026 and 1.6T optical module revenue projected to skyrocket by 110% in 2027, supporting an overall revenue CAGR of 52% during the same period [3] - The net profit estimates for 2026 and 2027 have been raised by 23% and 28%, reaching RMB 21.645 billion and RMB 29.944 billion, respectively, driven by higher revenue and gross margin expectations [3] - Operating profit margin is anticipated to increase from 25% in 2024 to 39% in 2028, reflecting sustained growth supported by long-term demand trends in AI networks [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The diversification of ASIC chips is reshaping the demand landscape for optical modules, with ASIC chips expected to account for 38%, 40%, and 45% of the AI chip market from 2025 to 2027 [4] - The architectural differences between GPU and ASIC servers lead to a significant increase in the dependency on multiple chips, servers, and rack connections, thereby driving stronger demand for high-speed connections [5] Group 3: Technology and Product Upgrades - The transition from 400G to 800G is becoming a major driver for the optical module upgrade cycle, with expectations for continued trends in the coming years, including the deployment of 1.6T optical modules starting in the second half of 2025 [6] - As optical modules upgrade to higher speeds, market competition is expected to decrease due to higher technical barriers in design, testing, and production efficiency, benefiting technologically advanced companies [6] - Revenue contribution from 800G and 1.6T products is projected to increase significantly, from 64% and 8% in 2025 to 71% and 16% in 2026, respectively, making this product structure upgrade a core engine for revenue growth [6] Group 4: Margin Expansion - Gross margin is expected to rise from 41.6% in 2025 to 46.4% in 2027, primarily due to faster speed migration and the transition from EML to silicon photonics technology [7] - Silicon photonics technology offers better gross margin performance compared to EML, with reduced component costs and improved production efficiency [7] Group 5: Valuation Adjustments - Goldman Sachs has significantly raised its revenue forecasts for 2026 and 2027 by 24% and 35%, respectively, reflecting accelerated growth in mainstream products [8] - The target price has been adjusted from RMB 470 to RMB 762, applying a target price-to-earnings ratio of 31 times, consistent with recent trading averages [8]