光通信一体化
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兆驰股份(002429):贸易争端拖累短期业绩 光通一体化拓升成长预期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 00:37
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to the impact of global trade disputes on its television ODM business, although improvements were noted in the third quarter [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 13.896 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.03% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1 billion yuan, down 27.13% year-on-year - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 0.886 billion yuan, a decline of 32.41% year-on-year - In Q3 alone, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.339 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.64% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 0.308 billion yuan, down 31.87% year-on-year [1]. Business Operations - The television ODM business is crucial for the company's stability, and the adjustment of supply sources is vital amid global trade disputes - The company accelerated the expansion of its overseas production bases, achieving an annual capacity of 11 million units by mid-2025, which is essential for meeting seasonal demand in Q3 [2]. - The company plans to enhance the automation of its overseas production facilities in Q4 2025 to reduce costs and improve operational efficiency [2]. Growth Opportunities - The integration of optical communication has become a significant growth point for the company, which has successfully implemented a closed-loop integration in the LED and television ODM sectors over the past 15 years - The company has recently ventured into the optical communication sector, with initial projects achieving production and customer onboarding, opening new growth avenues [2][3]. - The successful supply to leading industry clients in mid-2025 marks a milestone for the company's optical communication business, potentially leading to further investments in high-speed optical modules [4]. Revenue Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 19.9 billion, 25.6 billion, and 34.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -2.06%, 28.50%, and 36.20% respectively - Corresponding net profits are expected to be 1.598 billion, 2.085 billion, and 2.935 billion yuan, with current market valuations corresponding to PE ratios of 18, 14, and 10 times [4].