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兆驰股份(002429):贸易争端拖累短期业绩 光通一体化拓升成长预期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 00:37
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to the impact of global trade disputes on its television ODM business, although improvements were noted in the third quarter [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 13.896 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.03% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1 billion yuan, down 27.13% year-on-year - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 0.886 billion yuan, a decline of 32.41% year-on-year - In Q3 alone, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.339 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.64% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 0.308 billion yuan, down 31.87% year-on-year [1]. Business Operations - The television ODM business is crucial for the company's stability, and the adjustment of supply sources is vital amid global trade disputes - The company accelerated the expansion of its overseas production bases, achieving an annual capacity of 11 million units by mid-2025, which is essential for meeting seasonal demand in Q3 [2]. - The company plans to enhance the automation of its overseas production facilities in Q4 2025 to reduce costs and improve operational efficiency [2]. Growth Opportunities - The integration of optical communication has become a significant growth point for the company, which has successfully implemented a closed-loop integration in the LED and television ODM sectors over the past 15 years - The company has recently ventured into the optical communication sector, with initial projects achieving production and customer onboarding, opening new growth avenues [2][3]. - The successful supply to leading industry clients in mid-2025 marks a milestone for the company's optical communication business, potentially leading to further investments in high-speed optical modules [4]. Revenue Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 19.9 billion, 25.6 billion, and 34.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -2.06%, 28.50%, and 36.20% respectively - Corresponding net profits are expected to be 1.598 billion, 2.085 billion, and 2.935 billion yuan, with current market valuations corresponding to PE ratios of 18, 14, and 10 times [4].
兆驰股份(002429):公司信息更新报告:2025Q3传统业务承压,新兴业务驱动转型成长
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-10-23 14:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure in its traditional business while new businesses are driving transformation and growth. The revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 13.896 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.03%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1 billion yuan, down 27.13%. In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.413 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.51%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.72%, with a net profit of 339 million yuan, down 26.64% year-on-year but up 3.66% quarter-on-quarter. Due to low production efficiency and capacity utilization in overseas TV ODM, the profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 1.37 billion, 1.68 billion, and 2.02 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.30, 0.37, and 0.45 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 20.5, 16.7, and 13.9 times. The company is expected to see significant profit recovery driven by the intelligent transformation of overseas production capacity and the high-end transformation of LED products, as well as breakthroughs in the optical communication business [1][2]. Summary by Sections Traditional Business - In Q3 2025, the company adjusted its supply chain to ensure overseas TV sales during peak season, leading to lower revenue and profit growth rates in the short term. The company plans to begin automation upgrades in Q4 to improve efficiency and reduce costs [2]. LED Industry - The market share of high-end Mini/Micro LED products continues to rise, with the introduction of RGB Mini LED backlight solutions. The shipment of high-value-added products in the Mini LED backlight sector is expected to grow, reinforcing the company's competitive position in the high-end display market [2]. Optical Communication Industry - As of Q3 2025, the company has completed customer sample testing for 400G/800G optical modules and successfully produced 2.5G optical chips. The production line for optical modules is undergoing intelligent upgrades to enhance delivery capabilities. The company is also strategically developing next-generation optical communication technologies based on its expertise in Micro LED and optical components [2]. Emerging Business Contributions - In the first three quarters of 2025, profits from new businesses, primarily in the LED and optical communication sectors, as well as Beijing Fengxing, accounted for over 60% of total profits, becoming a significant driver of the company's transformation and growth [2]. Financial Metrics - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 14.39%, with a slight year-on-year increase. The increase in high-value LED products is expected to drive overall gross margin improvement. However, the low capacity utilization in the smart terminal business has negatively impacted gross margins. The operating expense ratio for Q3 2025 was 6.78%, with slight increases in sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios, leading to a net profit margin of 6.26%, down 0.69 percentage points year-on-year [3].
兆驰股份(002429):LED+光通信成长接力可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 02:33
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q2 and H1 2025, indicating challenges in the multimedia and LED segments, while showing growth in the LED industry chain and potential recovery in the optical communication sector [1][2][4]. Revenue Analysis - Multimedia audio-visual revenue for H1 was 5.68 billion (down 18.2% YoY), with TV ODM shipments of 5.23 million units (up 3% YoY) [2]. - LED industry chain revenue for H1 was 2.81 billion (up 8.7% YoY), with semiconductor revenue at 1.42 billion (up 4% YoY) [3]. - Optical communication revenue for H1 was 309 million, showing monthly improvement and potential for profitability in H2 [4]. Profit Analysis - Q2 net profit margin was 6.9% (down 2.3 percentage points YoY), with gross margin down 1.9 percentage points YoY [5]. - H1 gross margins for multimedia and LED segments decreased by 1.0 and 3.9 percentage points respectively, with net profit distribution being approximately 46% and 54% [6]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains a "buy" rating, anticipating improvements in the profitability of the TV ODM Vietnam factory, flexibility from the LED industry chain, and growth potential in optical communication [7]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 20.3 billion, 24.1 billion, and 28.4 billion respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.5 billion, 1.9 billion, and 2.4 billion [7].
兆驰股份(002429)25Q1点评:电视及LED业务稳健 拓展光通信赛道
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 06:38
Core Viewpoint - The company has a solid foundation in its TV ODM business, significant advantages in the LED industry chain, and is actively expanding into the optical communication sector, which is expected to open up long-term growth opportunities [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 20.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.9% [3]. - For Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 4.16 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 7.1%, and a net profit of 230 million, a year-on-year decrease of 27.4% [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company generated revenue of 3.72 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.33%, with a net profit of 330 million, a year-on-year decrease of 19.30% [3]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.07 per 10 shares, totaling 484 million, with a dividend payout ratio of 30.23% [3]. Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the smart display terminal business generated revenue of 15.0 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18.4%, with a gross margin of 13.1%, down 3.2 percentage points [3]. - The LED series business generated revenue of 5.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18.3%, with a gross margin of 28.6%, up 2.8 percentage points [3]. Profitability and Expense Ratios - In 2024, the overall gross margin decreased by 1.66 percentage points to 17.17%, with net profit margin down by 1.39 percentage points to 7.87% [4]. - For Q4 2024, the gross margin was 20.48%, with a net profit margin of 5.52%, down 1.55 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin increased by 0.56 percentage points to 18.34%, while the net profit margin decreased by 1.11 percentage points to 8.99% [4].