免税资产+高股息权益
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债券增值税恢复征收,险资继续增配银行股?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-06 10:34
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the announcement by the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration to resume the collection of value-added tax on interest income from government bonds, local government bonds, and financial bonds starting from August 8, which is expected to impact the attractiveness of high-dividend assets [1][3] - The new tax regulation is anticipated to decrease the after-tax yield of bond investments, thereby slightly enhancing the relative appeal of high-dividend assets, particularly in the banking sector [3][6] - Insurance capital is likely to shift towards investment products with better tax advantages or higher returns, reinforcing the trend of "tax-exempt assets + high-dividend equities" in their investment strategy [3][8] Group 2 - Bank stocks are seen as suitable for insurance capital allocation due to their high dividend yields, with major state-owned banks maintaining yields above 5% [6][10] - The implementation of the new financial instrument standards (IFRS 9) has led insurance capital to prefer including bank stocks in their FVOCI accounts, allowing for stable dividend income while mitigating the impact of stock price fluctuations on profit statements [7][8] - The shift in regulatory assessment standards for insurance companies towards long-term evaluations encourages a preference for holding high-dividend bank stocks rather than frequent trading [8][10] Group 3 - The insurance sector's holdings in bank stocks have increased significantly, with a reported market value of 265.78 billion yuan, representing a 45.05% share of their total holdings [8][10] - The trend of rising premium income from dividend insurance products since 2024 is expected to further enhance insurance capital's allocation to bank stocks [10][14] - The Bank AH Index, which includes both A-shares and H-shares of banks, has shown a cumulative increase of 96.57% since its inception, outperforming the broader banking index [14][16]
新政落地,险资“免税资产+高股息权益”配置风格强化
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 02:32
Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced the resumption of value-added tax on interest income from government bonds, local government bonds, and financial bonds starting from August 8, which is expected to impact the attractiveness of high-dividend assets, particularly in the banking sector [1][3]. Group 1: Tax Policy Impact - The resumption of value-added tax on bond interest income is likely to decrease the after-tax yield of bond investments, thereby slightly enhancing the relative attractiveness of high-dividend assets, especially in the banking sector [3][6]. - Despite the tax changes, the fundamental impact on the banking sector is considered manageable, as bank stocks continue to offer significant dividend yields [3][10]. Group 2: Insurance Capital Allocation - Insurance capital is expected to shift towards investment products with tax advantages or higher returns, leading to an increased focus on high-dividend stocks [3][8]. - The preference for bank stocks among insurance capital has been longstanding, with a trend towards long-term holdings due to regulatory changes in performance assessment [7][8]. Group 3: Bank Stock Performance - Bank stocks generally exhibit high dividend yields, with major state-owned banks maintaining yields above 5%, making them attractive alternatives to bonds in a low-interest-rate environment [6][10]. - The insurance sector's holdings in bank stocks have increased significantly, with a market value of 265.78 billion yuan, representing 45.05% of their total holdings [8][10]. Group 4: Market Trends and ETF Performance - The AH bank stock index has shown a cumulative increase of 96.57% since its inception, outperforming the broader banking index [13][15]. - The Bank AH Preferred ETF (517900) has attracted significant capital inflow of 840 million yuan this year, with a share increase of 644%, indicating strong investor interest [2][15].