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H&H国际控股(01112):婴配粉修复加速,国内保健品维持良性增长:H&H国际控股(01112):H&H国际控股2025年前三季经营数据点评
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-24 09:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for H&H International Holdings is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 10.81 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.3%. All business segments recorded positive growth, with the adult nutrition and care products segment increasing by 6.0%, the infant nutrition and care products segment by 24.0%, and the pet nutrition and care products segment by 8.2% [2][4][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Revenue Performance - Total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 10.81 billion RMB, up 12.3% year-on-year. The adult nutrition and care products segment saw a 6.0% increase, while the infant nutrition and care products segment grew by 24.0%. Specifically, infant formula revenue surged by 33.3%, and the decline in infant probiotics and nutritional supplements narrowed to 2.3%. The pet nutrition and care products segment also experienced an 8.2% increase [2][4][6]. Business Segment Analysis - The adult nutrition and care (ANC) segment's revenue increased by 6.0%, with domestic revenue rising by 15.7%. Cross-border e-commerce revenue grew by 23.1%, and Douyin revenue surged by 77.7%. However, Australian revenue declined by 19.4%, primarily due to the company's proactive adjustment of purchasing channels. In contrast, Australian local revenue increased by 8.9%, maintaining market leadership for the Swisse brand. Other regions saw a 19% revenue increase, driven by high growth in nine emerging Asian markets. The infant nutrition and care (BNC) segment's revenue rose by 24.0%, with infant formula revenue increasing by 33.3% (domestic revenue up 35.2%). The market share of the company's premium infant formula brand reached 16.4% in 2025 Q3, with a quarterly increase to 17.3%. The probiotics segment's revenue decline was mitigated by new product promotions and online channel stabilization. The pet nutrition and care (PNC) segment's revenue grew by 8.2%, with North American Zesty Paws revenue up 12.4%, while Solid Gold revenue fell by 18.3% due to channel and product structure adjustments. In China, pet nutrition revenue increased by 8.0%, with high-margin products rising to 33.7% [6]. Financial Position - The company has a strong cash position, with a cash balance of 1.74 billion RMB at the end of Q3 2025, following the early repayment of 150 million RMB equivalent in USD debt. Overall, the performance across multiple business segments is positive, indicating a favorable outlook for H&H as a supplier of nutritional products for all family members. The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 518 million RMB, 672 million RMB, and 781 million RMB, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 16, 12, and 11 times [6].