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稳健医疗(300888):国内外核心品高增,品牌价值强化
Huafu Securities· 2025-10-28 10:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][16]. Core Insights - The report highlights strong growth in core products both domestically and internationally, with an emphasis on brand value enhancement [3][8]. - The company achieved a revenue of 79 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 30.1%, and a net profit of 7.3 billion yuan, up 32.4% year-on-year [8]. - The medical segment saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 38.3 billion yuan, a 44.4% increase year-on-year, driven by high-value core products and rapid channel expansion [8]. Financial Data and Valuation - Projected revenue for 2023A is 8,185 million yuan, with a growth rate of -28%. By 2027E, revenue is expected to reach 15,212 million yuan, with a growth rate of 15% [4]. - Net profit is projected to be 580 million yuan in 2023A, with a growth rate of -65%. By 2027E, net profit is expected to reach 1,448 million yuan, with a growth rate of 20% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.00 yuan in 2023A, increasing to 2.49 yuan by 2027E [4]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 38.6 in 2023A to 15.5 in 2027E [4]. Company Dynamics - The medical segment's revenue from surgical consumables, high-end dressings, and health personal care products showed significant increases, with surgical consumables revenue growing by 185.3% year-on-year [8]. - International sales revenue reached 21.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 81.7%, with strong performance in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [8]. - The consumer goods segment also performed well, with revenue of 40.1 billion yuan, a 19.1% increase year-on-year, driven by e-commerce and supermarket channels [8]. Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 48.3%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, with expectations for further improvement due to high-value products [8]. - The net profit margin for the first three quarters was 9.3%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points [8]. - The report indicates that the company is optimizing its expenses, with a reduction in sales expense ratio and a slight increase in management expense ratio due to acquisitions [8].