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国轩高科(002074):装机份额稳固增长,固态电池进展如期推进
Dongxing Securities· 2025-09-12 03:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Guoxuan High-Tech [3][7]. Core Views - Guoxuan High-Tech has shown solid growth in installed capacity and is making significant progress in solid-state battery technology, positioning itself as a leader in the industry [2][3]. - The company achieved a revenue of 19.394 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.5%, and a net profit of 367 million yuan, up 35.2% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company is expanding its product offerings and customer base, particularly in the high-end market segment, which is expected to drive further revenue growth [3][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, Guoxuan High-Tech's total shipments reached approximately 40 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 48% [1]. - The revenue from power batteries was 14.034 billion yuan, up 19.9% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 14.2%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points [1]. - The company’s domestic and global market shares reached 5.2% and 3.2%, respectively, both up by 1.6 percentage points and 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Product Development - The solid-state battery segment is progressing rapidly, with the "Jinshi" battery's pilot production line achieving a yield rate of 90% [2]. - The company has initiated the design work for a 2 GWh production line for the first generation of solid-state batteries, accelerating its industrialization [2]. - The "Guan" quasi-solid-state battery has an energy density of 300 Wh/kg and a range of 1,000 kilometers, showcasing the company's technological advancements [2]. Global Expansion - Guoxuan High-Tech is enhancing its global supply capabilities with production bases in North America, Europe, and Southeast Asia now operational [3]. - The company has increased its production capacity for standard battery cells from 20 GWh to 28 GWh in anticipation of optimistic sales to Volkswagen [3]. - The establishment of local production capabilities is expected to improve the company's competitive advantage in overseas markets [3]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 45.886 billion yuan, 59.501 billion yuan, and 70.454 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.7% [7][8]. - The net profit is expected to reach 1.654 billion yuan, 2.409 billion yuan, and 3.125 billion yuan for the same years, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [7][8].