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全球大变局
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周其仁:大变局下的未来机会
和讯· 2025-10-10 09:35
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant changes in the global competitive landscape, particularly focusing on the decline of the United States and its implications for China and the world [2][10]. Historical Context - The establishment of Sino-American relations began in 1978 with agreements on student exchanges and trade, leading to China's entry into the World Trade Organization in 2000 [3]. - The 1990s marked the peak of U.S. dominance post-Cold War, but subsequent years have seen a decline in its global influence [5][9]. Economic Challenges - The article highlights the issue of "Rust Belt" in the U.S., where traditional industries have faced decline, contrasting with countries like Switzerland that have maintained economic stability despite high wages [6][7]. - The U.S. economy is burdened by a significant trade deficit of $1.2 trillion and a national debt of $36 trillion, raising concerns about its sustainability [9]. Global Dynamics - The article references the "Thucydides Trap," suggesting that as China rises, the potential for conflict with the U.S. increases, although there are examples of countries avoiding such outcomes [10][11]. - The shift in global power dynamics indicates that the U.S. can no longer maintain its previous level of global engagement without addressing domestic issues [12][14]. Future Outlook - The article posits that regardless of the direction the world takes, economic considerations will remain central, with historical examples showing that crises can lead to new economic opportunities [15][16].
长江商学院举行论坛 聚焦全球大变局与AI崛起驱动中资企业变革
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-09-28 09:45
Group 1 - The forum held by Changjiang Business School emphasized the need for Chinese enterprises to adopt a global mindset to navigate uncertainties in the current global landscape [1] - Chinese companies are increasingly focusing on the outward spillover of business models and innovation capabilities, with successful implementations in emerging markets like India, Indonesia, and Mexico, often outpacing the adoption of American models [1] - The future economic growth of China will rely on two main forces: the rebalancing of production and consumption driven by consumer upgrades, and the vast market potential of the "Global South," which encompasses 6 billion people [1] Group 2 - The CEO of Zero One Everything, Dr. Kai-Fu Lee, highlighted the arrival of the "Reasoning Agent Era," where AI Agents evolve from workflow assistants to intelligent decision-making tools for enterprises [2] - AI Agents are expected to become the smallest unit of organization, working alongside humans, and offer advantages such as 24/7 operation, replicability, and low cost, thus shifting the focus of AI value from cost reduction to efficiency enhancement [2] - Over the coming decades, AI Agents are projected to be a key engine driving overall economic growth [2]