Core Viewpoint - The ongoing US-China technology war has reached a critical stage, with China making significant advancements in various technology sectors, raising questions about Taiwan's position and future opportunities in this context [1][17]. Group 1: China's Technological Advancements - According to the Australian Strategic Policy Institute's report, China has established a leading position in over 60 out of 70 key technology areas, significantly surpassing the US [5]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes six key areas for technological breakthroughs, including integrated circuits and advanced materials, while also identifying new economic growth points such as quantum technology and hydrogen energy [2][3]. - China's approach to technology development is characterized by a broad exploration of all available technologies rather than a selective focus, allowing for a diverse range of innovations [10][16]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investment - The success of Chinese tech companies like Cambricon and Moore Threads is attributed to market-driven investments rather than government funding, highlighting the importance of private capital in fostering innovation [7][21]. - The shift from government-selected winners to market-selected winners has led to a more dynamic and competitive tech landscape in China, enhancing the conversion of research into commercial applications [8][9]. Group 3: Implications for Taiwan - Taiwan's reliance on TSMC raises concerns about its long-term economic sustainability, as the island lacks other significant industries to support its economy if TSMC were to relocate [24][25]. - The historical investment in the semiconductor industry has created a strong foundation, but there is a pressing need for Taiwan to diversify its economic base beyond TSMC to avoid becoming overly dependent [22][26]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The ongoing technological competition suggests that the US's strategy of containment may be ineffective, as China's advancements continue to challenge the status quo [17][20]. - The potential for collaboration between the US and China is acknowledged, but the technology war is expected to persist, influencing global market dynamics and investment strategies [3][18].

Core Insights - The ongoing US-China tech war has reached a critical stage, with China making significant advancements in various technology sectors, indicating a shift in global power dynamics [1][9][26] Group 1: China's Technological Advancements - China has established a leading position in over 60 out of 70 key technology areas, significantly surpassing the US in many fields [5][21] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes six key areas for technological breakthroughs, including integrated circuits and advanced materials, while also identifying new economic growth points such as quantum technology and hydrogen energy [2][4] - The focus on artificial intelligence application is expected to accelerate, leveraging China's extensive supply chain and market size [4][12] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Innovation - The shift from government-led to market-driven selection of technology winners is crucial for fostering innovation in China, allowing for a more dynamic and competitive environment [8][10] - Young tech entrepreneurs are emerging as key players, with their success contributing to a cycle of investment and innovation within the tech sector [9][21] - The ability to convert academic research into commercial applications remains a critical factor for China's technological success [5][21] Group 3: Implications for Taiwan - Taiwan's reliance on TSMC as its primary technological asset raises concerns about its long-term economic sustainability, especially if TSMC's operations are relocated [22][24] - The historical investment in the semiconductor industry has positioned Taiwan well, but there is a need for diversification to avoid over-dependence on a single entity [24][25] - The changing geopolitical landscape necessitates a reevaluation of Taiwan's role in the tech ecosystem, as it faces competition from mainland China's rapid advancements [22][26]

今年父亲节临近时，一名美国TikTok博主发布视频，推荐来自中国义乌的太阳能风扇帽作为父亲节礼 物，在平台上收获900多万播放量，引发购买热潮。这个小小的案例，折射出中美贸易合作对民众福祉 的巨大增进作用。中美经贸关系的本质是互利共赢，而非你输我赢。经过40多年的发展，两国经济高度 互补，利益深度交融，双边贸易额约占世界1/5，产业链供应链早已形成"你中有我、我中有你"的格 局。在第八届进博会上，美国企业参展面积连续7年位居第一，美国商界用行动为中国市场投下信任 票。要人为砍断这种互利合作关系，既做不到，也不可取，只会导致双输。 "修昔底德陷阱"不是历史的宿命。中美共同走出一条前无古人的大国相处新路，是这个时代面临的最重 大命题之一。破题的关键，就是要树立正确战略认知，摒弃零和博弈的旧思维。中国不挑战、不取代美 国，乐见美国繁荣发展。事实上，中国的发展进步是美国的机遇，中美合作有利于美国更好应对自身面 临的挑战。包括美国政策制定者在内的各界人士都承认，对华贸易有助于美国缓解通胀压力，有利于改 善人民生活。过去一段时间，在两国元首共识引领下，双方经贸团队举行了5轮磋商，解决彼此关切问 题的思路逐步明晰。这充分表 ...

中美共同走出一条前无古人的大国相处新路，是这个时代面临的最重大命题之一。破题的关键，就是要 树立正确战略认知，摒弃零和博弈的旧思维 "从人造圣诞树、彩灯到装饰花环，如果你想在年底节日季到来之前装点家居，今年或许得早作打 算。"美国媒体日前报道说，由于贸易战和关税，美国市场圣诞商品库存紧张、价格上涨，不少美国民 众不得不调整节日预算。 在这个地球村时代，吹灭别人的灯，并不会让自己更加光明；阻挡别人的路，也不会让自己行得更远。 打着所谓"对等""公平"的旗号搞零和博弈，最终结果是损人不利己。美方滥施关税不仅没能解决其货物 贸易逆差和产业竞争力问题，反而让美国企业和消费者都付出了沉重代价。从美国港口因关税政策摇摆 出现物流拥堵，到美国科技企业因失去中国市场而蒙受巨额损失，现实的教训比比皆是。身处经贸第一 线的美国工商界一再呼吁取消加征关税，维护产业链供应链稳定。 今年父亲节临近时，一名美国TikTok博主发布视频，推荐来自中国义乌的太阳能风扇帽作为父亲节礼 物，在平台上收获900多万播放量，引发购买热潮。这个小小的案例，折射出中美贸易合作对民众福祉 的巨大增进作用。中美经贸关系的本质是互利共赢，而非你输我赢。经过4 ...

中美共同走出一条前无古人的大国相处新路，是这个时代面临的最重大命题之一。破题的关键，就是要 树立正确战略认知，摒弃零和博弈的旧思维 "从人造圣诞树、彩灯到装饰花环，如果你想在年底节日季到来之前装点家居，今年或许得早作打 算。"美国媒体日前报道说，由于贸易战和关税，美国市场圣诞商品库存紧张、价格上涨，不少美国民 众不得不调整节日预算。 2025年，从太平洋东岸涌起的一场关税海啸，给包括美国人民在内的各国人民福祉都造成严重损害。这 再次证明，在各国利益深度交融的今天，零和博弈寸步难行，互利共赢才是人间正道。 《人民日报》（2025年12月27日 第 03 版） 今年父亲节临近时，一名美国TikTok博主发布视频，推荐来自中国义乌的太阳能风扇帽作为父亲节礼 物，在平台上收获900多万播放量，引发购买热潮。这个小小的案例，折射出中美贸易合作对民众福祉 的巨大增进作用。中美经贸关系的本质是互利共赢，而非你输我赢。经过40多年的发展，两国经济高度 互补，利益深度交融，双边贸易额约占世界1/5，产业链供应链早已形成"你中有我、我中有你"的格 局。在第八届进博会上，美国企业参展面积连续7年位居第一，美国商界用行动为中国市场投 ...

2025年，从太平洋东岸涌起的一场关税海啸，给包括美国人民在内的各国人民福祉都造成严重损害。这 再次证明，在各国利益深度交融的今天，零和博弈寸步难行，互利共赢才是人间正道。 美方一些人执迷于零和博弈，这是中美经贸关系波折不断的重要原因。从无视国际经贸规则滥施关税、 单方面挑起经贸摩擦，到泛化国家安全概念，在科技领域出台严苛管制措施，种种扰乱正常经贸合作的 做法，背后都是"你输我赢""你兴我衰"的陈旧逻辑在作祟。 在这个地球村时代，吹灭别人的灯，并不会让自己更加光明；阻挡别人的路，也不会让自己行得更远。 打着所谓"对等""公平"的旗号搞零和博弈，最终结果是损人不利己。美方滥施关税不仅没能解决其货物 贸易逆差和产业竞争力问题，反而让美国企业和消费者都付出了沉重代价。从美国港口因关税政策摇摆 出现物流拥堵，到美国科技企业因失去中国市场而蒙受巨额损失，现实的教训比比皆是。身处经贸第一 线的美国工商界一再呼吁取消加征关税，维护产业链供应链稳定。 今年父亲节临近时，一名美国TikTok博主发布视频，推荐来自中国义乌的太阳能风扇帽作为父亲节礼 物，在平台上收获900多万播放量，引发购买热潮。这个小小的案例，折射出中美贸易合 ...

中美共同走出一条前无古人的大国相处新路，是这个时代面临的最重大命题之一。破题的关键，就是要 树立正确战略认知，摒弃零和博弈的旧思维 "从人造圣诞树、彩灯到装饰花环，如果你想在年底节日季到来之前装点家居，今年或许得早作打 算。"美国媒体日前报道说，由于贸易战和关税，美国市场圣诞商品库存紧张、价格上涨，不少美国民 众不得不调整节日预算。 2025年，从太平洋东岸涌起的一场关税海啸，给包括美国人民在内的各国人民福祉都造成严重损害。这 再次证明，在各国利益深度交融的今天，零和博弈寸步难行，互利共赢才是人间正道。 美方一些人执迷于零和博弈，这是中美经贸关系波折不断的重要原因。从无视国际经贸规则滥施关税、 单方面挑起经贸摩擦，到泛化国家安全概念，在科技领域出台严苛管制措施，种种扰乱正常经贸合作的 做法，背后都是"你输我赢""你兴我衰"的陈旧逻辑在作祟。 今年父亲节临近时，一名美国TikTok博主发布视频，推荐来自中国义乌的太阳能风扇帽作为父亲节礼 物，在平台上收获900多万播放量，引发购买热潮。这个小小的案例，折射出中美贸易合作对民众福祉 的巨大增进作用。中美经贸关系的本质是互利共赢，而非你输我赢。经过40多年的发展，两 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses China's strategic approach in global politics, emphasizing a low-key, cautious, and steady method akin to a Go master, focusing on strategic depth rather than superficial displays of power [1] - China possesses the necessary elements for leadership, being the world's second-largest economy with significant advancements in technology and military strength, yet it refrains from self-proclaiming as a leader of a new world order, instead advocating for concepts like "peaceful development" and "community of shared future" [1][2] - The foundation of China's approach is rooted in its historical memory and philosophical traditions, emphasizing harmony, social hierarchy, and restraint, which shape its unique strategic mindset [1] Group 2 - China avoids direct involvement in global conflicts, opting instead to expand its influence through multilateral institutions, such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and the BRICS+ mechanism, while constructing a system where it plays a central role without direct confrontation [2] - The ambitious Belt and Road Initiative serves as a tool for building global interconnectedness, positioning China as an indispensable economic partner for numerous countries across Asia, Europe, and Africa, contrasting with Western military deployments [2] - Domestically, China is transitioning its economy from export and investment-driven growth to a model based on domestic consumption and high technology, addressing challenges like aging population and environmental pressures [2] Group 3 - A key element of China's strategy is to avoid the "Thucydides Trap," which refers to the potential conflict between a rising power and an established hegemon, by pursuing asymmetric competition rather than direct military confrontation with the U.S. [3] - China's influence is expanding into regions traditionally overlooked by the West, such as Africa, Latin America, and Central Asia, recognizing that the concept of leadership is evolving in the 21st century [3] - The country aims to control the "arteries" of the global economy rather than the "political map," reflecting a strategic confidence in its long-term plans to accumulate influence through economic interdependence and institutional building [3] Group 4 - China is seen as a creator of a new world order, focusing on gradually constructing a system that integrates its values and interests into global governance rather than seeking to dominate the existing world [4]

作为一个拥有漫长陆地边界与广阔海洋疆界、曾历经战争苦难的国家，中国对和平与安全有着刻骨铭心 的珍视。中国的国防政策始终是防御性的。我们加强国防和军队现代化建设，是主权国家的合法权利和 必然要求，是应对复杂安全挑战、履行大国国际责任的需要，是维护国家统一和尊严的基础，而非为了 寻求霸权或挑战任何国家。正如中国反复阐明的，无论发展到哪一步，中国永不称霸、永不扩张、永不 谋求势力范围。中国军队的发展始终以能打赢防御性战争、慑止冲突为限度，其军力增长与国家的综合 国力发展相适应，与所承担的安全义务和国际责任相匹配，而不是"对标"某个大国来发展。 来源：环球 当地时间12月23日，美国五角大楼发布的年度《中国军事与安全发展报告》（"中国军力报告"）呈现了 看似矛盾的叙事：一方面报告延续过去数年对中国军力的误解误读逻辑，炒作中国军事力量的"历史性 扩张"，贩卖"美国本土日益脆弱"的焦虑情绪，也就是说，把中国视为"挑战"和"对手"仍是这份报告的 主轴；但另一方面，报告强调，"在特朗普总统的领导下，美中关系比多年来任何时候都更加牢固"，并 承诺"与解放军拓展更广泛的军事沟通渠道"。报告的这种双重性，为审视当前中美关系的复杂现 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes China's role as a forward-looking nation that contributes to global stability and development, showcasing its unique predictability and governance model [2][4][8] - China is recognized for its long-term strategic planning, exemplified by its 15th Five-Year Plan, which integrates economic, technological, and social goals, setting a clear direction for future development [3][5][6] - The stability and predictability of China's policies are seen as crucial for global economic cooperation, allowing international partners to plan and invest without fear of sudden policy reversals [4][8] Group 2 - China's approach to governance, combining strong government direction with active market participation, has been pivotal in maintaining its status as a stabilizing force in global trade [5][8] - The international community increasingly views China's development model as a viable alternative, especially in the context of rising global uncertainties and the need for sustainable growth [11][12] - The shift in global dynamics, with the rise of the Global South, positions China as a key player in shaping a new international order, moving from a historical participant to a shaper of global governance [13]