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石头科技(688169):25Q3收入持续高增,利润恢复增长
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 12.07 billion for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 72.22%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.04 billion, a decrease of 29.51% [3][11] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a quarterly revenue of RMB 4.16 billion, up 60.71% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 0.36 billion, which is a 2.51% increase year-on-year [3][11] - The company continues to expand its revenue in both domestic and international markets for robotic vacuum cleaners, with significant growth in overall sales volume [4][12] Financial Performance Summary - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 42.1%, down 11.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 8.7%, a decrease of 4.9 percentage points [4][12] - The overall gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 43.7%, down 10.1 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 8.6%, down 12.4 percentage points [4][13] - The company has maintained good expense control, with selling, general and administrative expenses, and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenue showing slight decreases [4][12] Valuation - The company is expected to maintain its leading position in the global robotic vacuum cleaner market, with rapid growth anticipated in the floor washer segment [5][14] - Projected EPS for 2025-2027 is RMB 7.41, 8.74, and 10.34 per share, respectively, with a target price of RMB 222.30 based on a 30x PE valuation for 2025 [5][14]