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“反超”日元,人民币成全球第4大货币?前3名是谁?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 05:27
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant transformation of the Renminbi (RMB) on the international stage, marking its rise to become the fourth largest payment currency globally, surpassing the Japanese Yen [1][2]. Group 1: RMB's Internationalization Progress - The RMB's share in global payments has increased from 1.88% in 2015 to 6.93% in July 2025, reflecting a rapid ascent in its international status [2]. - The RMB's rise is attributed to its surpassing the Yen, which has a payment share of 6.71% [1][2]. - The RMB is now positioned behind only the US Dollar (42.68%), Euro (33.15%), and British Pound (7.64%) in the global payment hierarchy [2]. Group 2: Drivers of RMB Internationalization - The cross-border trade settlement in RMB has seen a robust growth, with a reported amount exceeding 23.7 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.8% [5]. - The attractiveness of RMB financial assets has grown, with overseas holdings of RMB-denominated assets reaching 10.2 trillion yuan, up 18.6% [5]. - China has signed currency swap agreements with 43 countries, totaling over 4 trillion yuan, facilitating RMB's international circulation [5]. - The development and pilot testing of digital RMB have expanded, with transaction amounts surpassing 1.5 trillion yuan and over 420 million personal wallets created [5]. Group 3: Implications of RMB's Rise - The increased internationalization of the RMB is expected to reduce exchange rate risks and transaction costs for Chinese enterprises, potentially saving hundreds of billions of dollars annually [8]. - The RMB's share in global foreign exchange reserves has reached 3.82%, positioning it as the third largest reserve currency, surpassing the Yen and Pound [8]. - The rise of the RMB contributes to a more diversified and stable global financial system, reducing reliance on the US Dollar and mitigating systemic risks [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Predictions indicate that the RMB may surpass the British Pound within the next 3-5 years, becoming the third largest payment currency globally [10]. - The expansion of digital RMB applications is anticipated to drive further internationalization of the currency [10]. - The RMB's usage is expected to grow in emerging markets, while its penetration in developed economies will focus on reserves and investment [12].