Core Insights - The article highlights the significant transformation of the Renminbi (RMB) on the international stage, marking its rise to become the fourth largest payment currency globally, surpassing the Japanese Yen [1][2]. Group 1: RMB's Internationalization Progress - The RMB's share in global payments has increased from 1.88% in 2015 to 6.93% in July 2025, reflecting a rapid ascent in its international status [2]. - The RMB's rise is attributed to its surpassing the Yen, which has a payment share of 6.71% [1][2]. - The RMB is now positioned behind only the US Dollar (42.68%), Euro (33.15%), and British Pound (7.64%) in the global payment hierarchy [2]. Group 2: Drivers of RMB Internationalization - The cross-border trade settlement in RMB has seen a robust growth, with a reported amount exceeding 23.7 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.8% [5]. - The attractiveness of RMB financial assets has grown, with overseas holdings of RMB-denominated assets reaching 10.2 trillion yuan, up 18.6% [5]. - China has signed currency swap agreements with 43 countries, totaling over 4 trillion yuan, facilitating RMB's international circulation [5]. - The development and pilot testing of digital RMB have expanded, with transaction amounts surpassing 1.5 trillion yuan and over 420 million personal wallets created [5]. Group 3: Implications of RMB's Rise - The increased internationalization of the RMB is expected to reduce exchange rate risks and transaction costs for Chinese enterprises, potentially saving hundreds of billions of dollars annually [8]. - The RMB's share in global foreign exchange reserves has reached 3.82%, positioning it as the third largest reserve currency, surpassing the Yen and Pound [8]. - The rise of the RMB contributes to a more diversified and stable global financial system, reducing reliance on the US Dollar and mitigating systemic risks [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Predictions indicate that the RMB may surpass the British Pound within the next 3-5 years, becoming the third largest payment currency globally [10]. - The expansion of digital RMB applications is anticipated to drive further internationalization of the currency [10]. - The RMB's usage is expected to grow in emerging markets, while its penetration in developed economies will focus on reserves and investment [12].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. debt crisis is exacerbated by political divisions between the Republican and Democratic parties, leading to a precarious financial situation and increasing risks of default [2][5][13]. Group 1: U.S. Debt Situation - As of early 2023, the U.S. national debt reached $31.4 trillion, prompting the Treasury to implement temporary measures to maintain operations [2]. - Interest payments on the debt amounted to $659 billion in 2023, a record high, primarily due to pandemic-related stimulus and military aid to Ukraine [2][4]. - The debt ceiling was temporarily suspended until January 1, 2025, following multiple delays and political negotiations [2][4]. Group 2: Political Dynamics - The ongoing conflict between the two parties has led to repeated adjustments of the debt ceiling, with nearly 80 adjustments since its establishment in 1917 [5]. - Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has repeatedly warned Congress about the risks of default, emphasizing the potential chaos in financial markets [4][13]. - The political stalemate has resulted in significant public discontent, with protests against rising prices and demands for wage increases [4][7][13]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, aimed at controlling inflation, have led to a stronger dollar and capital outflows from emerging markets, increasing their economic pressures [4][7]. - The U.S. debt has surpassed $33 trillion, with interest payments consuming a larger portion of the budget, raising concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability [7][15]. - The rising debt levels and interest rates could potentially trigger a global financial crisis, affecting countries reliant on foreign investment and international borrowing [7][9][15]. Group 4: International Relations and Trade - The U.S. has been providing substantial aid to Ukraine, which has strained its internal resources and led to decreased public trust in the government [7][13]. - Mongolia's decision to renew a currency swap agreement with China reflects a strategic move to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar amid rising economic instability [9][11][15]. - The U.S. faces challenges in maintaining its influence in global trade as countries like Mongolia prioritize financial stability and partnerships with China [11][15].