全球金融权力转移
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美国担心的事发生了,多国排队运出在美黄金,中国是热门存储地
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-08 21:09
Core Insights - A significant shift in the global financial landscape is occurring as countries move their gold reserves from Western financial centers to China, driven by a loss of trust in the Western financial system [1][3][5] Gold Flow Trends - Since the 2023 U.S. elections, 393 tons of gold have been transferred to New York, increasing its inventory by 75% to 926 tons, while emerging market countries are moving gold to China [3] - The direct cause for countries repatriating gold is a sharp decline in trust towards U.S. financial systems, exacerbated by the freezing of Russian assets and concerns over U.S. debt levels exceeding $36 trillion [3][11] New Storage Locations - China's appeal as a gold storage destination is attributed to its geopolitical neutrality, cost advantages, and the infrastructure supporting the internationalization of the renminbi [5] - The storage process has become more efficient, with delivery times reduced from two weeks to three days and costs dropping from 5% to 1.2% for ASEAN countries [5] Central Bank Behavior - The increase in gold holdings and the shift in storage locations reflect a growing awareness of financial sovereignty among countries [6] - The implementation of Basel III regulations has classified physical gold as a tier-one asset, prompting central banks to accumulate gold significantly [6] Traditional Financial Centers' Response - In response to the outflow of gold, Western financial institutions like Citigroup and Morgan Stanley are reviving gold storage services, but trust issues remain [8] - The London market is experiencing a rare shortage of gold bars, with withdrawal times extending significantly due to the outflow to New York [8] Changes in Gold Custody - The relocation of gold storage is reshaping global trade settlement methods, allowing Southeast Asian countries to pledge gold for renminbi, facilitating trade with China [9] - The integration of digital renminbi is enhancing transaction efficiency, with significant reductions in transaction times and costs compared to traditional systems [9] Concerns Over Gold Security - The escalating U.S. debt crisis is intensifying fears regarding the safety of gold stored in the U.S., with significant implications for global gold flows [11] - The U.S. debt has surged by over $1 trillion in just two months, raising concerns that the U.S. may utilize foreign gold reserves to alleviate its debt burden [11]