Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Bullish on four major stock index futures contracts, suggesting a long position [2] - Recommend buying out - of - the - money long - term index call options [2] 2. Core View - The capital market's role as a multi - level "accelerator" and "stabilizer" in promoting consumption is becoming more prominent through a closed - loop policy design [1][2] - The market is expected to evolve into a trending upward market as the central financial commission promotes the construction of a unified national market and regulates disorderly low - price competition among enterprises [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Sections Market Review - On Wednesday, the main stock indices in the two markets showed divergent trends. Value - based indices were consolidating strongly, while growth - based indices were adjusting. The photovoltaic sector led the gains. The total trading volume of the two markets was 1.37 trillion yuan, showing a contraction. The CSI 1000 index closed at 6309 points, down 64 points (-1.01%); the CSI 500 index closed at 5892 points, down 41 points (-0.70%); the SSE 300 index closed at 3943 points, up 1 point (0.02%); the SSE 50 index closed at 2722 points, up 4 points (0.18%) [1] - Among industry and theme ETFs, steel ETF, photovoltaic leading ETF, building materials ETF, coal ETF, and new energy innovation ETF led the gains, while innovative drug ETF (Fuguo), aerospace ETF, and 5G communication ETF led the losses [1] - Among the sector indices in the two markets, the marine economy, general steel, photovoltaic equipment, cement, and BC battery indices led the gains, while the ground military equipment, components, military trade concept, communication equipment, and human brain engineering indices led the losses [1] - The net inflow of settled funds in the SSE 300 index futures (IH) was 300 million yuan [1] Important News - The automotive industry's "involution - style" competition has led to a continuous 10% - 15% decline in parts procurement prices, deteriorating the operations of upstream suppliers and downstream dealers [1] - Bond ETFs have become an important tool in asset allocation, with their total scale exceeding 350 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [1] - The prices of Chinese - made goods on Amazon in the US are rising faster than the overall US inflation rate, and tariffs are starting to impact US consumers [1] - The eurozone manufacturing sector showed signs of stabilization in June, with the PMI rising to 49.5, and Germany's manufacturing PMI reaching a 34 - month high [1] - US JOLTS job openings in May were 7.769 million, higher than the expected 7.3 million, and the number of voluntary quits increased from 3.215 million to 3.293 million [1][2] - Goldman Sachs expects the S&P 500 index to continue its upward trend in July and may start to decline in the next month [2] - Hedge funds' net buying of bank stocks last week reached the highest level in nearly a decade, supported by expectations of banking regulatory relaxation and Fed rate cuts [2] - Morgan Stanley reported that the US tariff revenue in June reached an annualized 327 billion US dollars, equivalent to 1.1% of the US GDP [2] - The US Senate passed the "big and beautiful" tax and spending bill by a narrow margin of one vote [2] Market Logic - The main stock indices in the two markets showed divergent trends on Wednesday. The central financial commission is promoting the construction of a unified national market and regulating disorderly low - price competition among enterprises, highlighting the capital market's role in promoting consumption [1][2] Future Outlook - The domestic supply - demand imbalance in the photovoltaic glass market will improve as domestic leading photovoltaic glass enterprises plan to cut production by 30% starting from July [2] - Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to cut interest rates three times by 25 basis points each in September, October, and December this year, and has lowered its terminal interest rate forecast [2] - Morgan Stanley said that technology giants hope to expand AI tools to the physical world through open - source, and China may take the lead in the "robot race" [2] - The global financial asset re - allocation trend of "de - Americanization" is expected to accelerate the inflow of international funds into A - shares [2] - The central financial commission's efforts to promote the unified national market and regulate disorderly competition are expected to boost listed companies' performance, and the market is expected to evolve into an upward - trending market [2] Trading Strategy - For stock index futures directional trading, be bullish on the four major stock index futures contracts, as growth - based indices have higher elasticity [2] - For stock index option trading, buy out - of - the - money long - term index call options as the market is expected to evolve into an upward - trending market [2]