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“稀土核弹”炸响后,对华断供光刻机的阿斯麦,这次天真的塌了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 03:49
Core Insights - China's recent export controls on rare earths and related technologies represent a significant shift in global trade dynamics, impacting high-tech industries worldwide [1][5][9] - The new regulations particularly affect ASML, the only company capable of producing advanced EUV lithography machines, which are essential for chip manufacturing [3][5] Group 1: Impact on ASML - ASML's reliance on Chinese rare earths for critical components like laser systems and precision lenses makes it vulnerable to China's export restrictions [3][5] - Reports indicate that ASML may face shipment delays of weeks or months for products containing Chinese rare earths, as exports will require Chinese approval [3][5] - The company's previous alignment with U.S. policies, including halting the supply of advanced EUV machines, has backfired, leaving it exposed to supply chain disruptions [3][5][9] Group 2: Strategic Implications - China's export controls are not merely economic maneuvers but strategic actions that reshape global supply chains and power dynamics, particularly in the context of U.S.-China relations [5][7][9] - The timing of the new regulations coincides with upcoming U.S.-China talks, signaling China's intent to assert its influence and counter U.S. efforts to restrict technology access [7][9] - This situation illustrates a broader realization among Western industries that control over technology does not equate to control over essential raw materials, which are predominantly sourced from China [5][9] Group 3: Global Supply Chain Dynamics - China's dominance in rare earth production, accounting for over 70% of global supply, underscores its critical role in the high-tech supply chain [3][5] - The recent developments highlight a shift in perception, where China is seen as a key player capable of dictating global rules rather than merely reacting to external pressures [7][9] - The situation serves as a wake-up call for Western industries, emphasizing the importance of securing stable access to essential materials for technological advancement [5][9]