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华尔街银行为“大漂亮”法案站台:这是美国经济的福音
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-01 08:53
Core Viewpoint - The "OBBBA" bill, which focuses on comprehensive tax reform and targeted incentives, has passed the Senate with a narrow vote of 51-49, expected to expand the federal deficit, drawing warnings from rating agencies and criticism from various parties, while some banks believe it could boost the U.S. economy [2] Advantages - The OBBBA is seen as crucial for extending the expiration of key tax provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which, if left unaddressed, could suppress household consumption and business investment [3] - The bill allows for faster capital investment deductions, potentially enhancing investment in the coming years, although it may sacrifice future investment [3] - Analysts from Citigroup anticipate that the passage of the bill, along with recent trade agreements, will improve growth sentiment, and they expect the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy [3] Disadvantages - Critics highlight concerns over the projected increase of at least $3 trillion in the deficit over the next decade, as estimated by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office [4] - Morgan Stanley points out that while the tax provisions may benefit key sectors, they could raise concerns about fiscal sustainability [4] - Erica York from the Tax Foundation criticizes the bill as irresponsible fiscal policy that will significantly increase budget deficits and debt, noting that many tax cuts are poorly designed and may create administrative burdens for the IRS [4]