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公允价值缺口(FVG)
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DLS外汇:澳元兑美元在美联储会议前突破 上涨空间即将扩大?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 09:47
Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) has broken through the 0.65325 level against the US dollar (USD), indicating a bullish trend ahead of the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cut [1][4][19] Group 1: Fundamental Drivers - The market has largely priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to a weaker USD and a stronger AUD [4][5] - Australia's third-quarter Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and stabilized at 3.2% year-on-year, supporting the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision to maintain interest rates [4][5] - The divergence in monetary policy between the Fed's easing stance and the RBA's stability enhances the attractiveness of the AUD relative to other major currencies [5][19] Group 2: Market Structure and Technical Analysis - The breakout above 0.65325 marks a transition from an accumulation phase to an expansion phase, characterized by increased liquidity and strong upward momentum [6][19] - The daily fair value gap (FVG) between 0.6559 and 0.6578 serves as a potential re-entry area for traders, with the next liquidity targets set at 0.6628 and 0.6700 [8][10] - If the price retraces to the FVG area and shows signs of support, it is expected to attract liquidity and continue the upward trend [10][19] Group 3: Trading Strategy - Traders are advised to wait for a price pullback to the daily FVG area before entering positions, with a target entry range of 0.6560 to 0.6575 [13][16] - A stop-loss should be placed below 0.6530 to maintain a bullish structure, while the primary targets for profit-taking are set at 0.66285 and 0.6700 [17][19] - The current market structure reflects a classic "smart money" cycle, indicating that institutional investors are likely to re-enter the market after a period of rebalancing [19][20]
BTC重回10.6刀!狗狗币(DOGE)价格跌破0.2美元,抄底良机?逃命信号?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 14:47
Group 1 - Dogecoin (DOGE) has recently fallen below the psychological level of $0.20, providing potential buying opportunities for investors amid an overall market correction in the cryptocurrency sector [2] - Analyst DecyX suggests that investors should wait for Dogecoin to drop below $0.187 before considering a buy, targeting an imbalance area between $0.213 and $0.215 [3] - If trading volume is sufficient, Dogecoin could break through $0.235 and challenge a strong high of $0.2597, although the fair value gap has not yet been filled, indicating long-term bullish potential [4] Group 2 - Dogecoin's price is highly correlated with Bitcoin, which recently closed below $106,800, indicating a potentially unstable market that could pose risks for Dogecoin [6] - Technical analysis suggests that Dogecoin may be nearing a bottom, with a possible double bottom formation on the 4-hour chart, indicating that the $0.18 area could serve as a reversal point [7] - As of June 3, 2025, Dogecoin's trading price is approximately $0.1906, showing a slight decline over the past 24 hours, consistent with Bitcoin's overall market trend [8] Group 3 - Key support levels for Dogecoin are identified between $0.1839 and $0.1901; a drop below this range could lead to further declines towards $0.17 [10] - Technical signals such as the double bottom formation on the 4-hour chart, RSI bullish divergence on the daily chart, and a symmetrical triangle breakout on the 1-hour chart are all considered bullish indicators [10][11] - The recent breakout of the symmetrical triangle on the 1-hour chart may push Dogecoin's price back towards the $0.20 mark [11]