Core Viewpoint - MGM China (02282) shares rose over 5%, reaching HKD 15.05, with a trading volume of HKD 87.37 million, indicating positive market sentiment ahead of earnings announcement on October 30 [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - Citigroup forecasts a 7% year-on-year increase in EBITDA for the Macau gaming operators in Q3, with MGM China expected to achieve a 13% year-on-year growth [1] - The anticipated higher EBITDA growth for MGM China compared to the industry may provide positive stock momentum before the earnings report [1] Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Citigroup maintains a "Buy" rating for MGM China, setting a target price of HKD 19 and including it in the positive catalyst watchlist for 30 days [1] - Credit Lyonnais believes MGM China has revaluation potential, with its 2026 EV/EBITDA and P/E ratios remaining low among six Macau gaming companies [1] - Following an assessment of market share, profit margins, return on capital, and dividend growth, Credit Lyonnais raised its target price from HKD 18.3 to HKD 22.7 while maintaining an "Outperform" rating [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that MGM China has revaluation potential based on forward-looking indicators such as market share, profit margins, return on capital, and dividend payout growth [1] - MGM China's current price is equivalent to 7.7 times the 2026 EV/EBITDA, which is 15% lower than the industry average [1] - The target EV/EBITDA multiple has been raised from 8.8 times to 10.6 times, which is still 0.5 standard deviations below the long-term average [1] - The target price has been increased from HKD 18.3 to HKD 22.7, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]