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金荣中国:黄金关注百日线支撑力度
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 05:01
Group 1 - The gold market is currently experiencing narrow fluctuations as investors await the outcome of the tariff agreement expiration and significant economic data releases, leading to a cautious sentiment and continuation of the previous day's pullback pressure [1] - The US dollar index maintains its rebound momentum, which is expected to limit bullish trends in gold prices. The weekly chart indicates that the dollar index has rebounded above the middle track, with clear bullish signals in the indicators, suggesting a potential strengthening in August that could exert pressure on gold prices [3] - Despite the strengthening of the dollar index, the long-term trend of gold prices remains uncertain, with expectations of either continued fluctuations or a potential upward trend. Key economic data to watch includes the US unemployment rate and non-farm employment figures, with market expectations indicating a rise in unemployment and a decrease in non-farm employment, which could be favorable for gold prices [3][4] Group 2 - The daily chart shows that gold prices closed higher yesterday, remaining above the 100-day moving average and forming a bottoming pattern, indicating potential for further strength towards the $3,400 level. However, there is still downward pressure, and a return above the 60-day moving average is necessary to increase bullish momentum [4] - If gold prices fall below the 100-day moving average support, they may decline to the $3,100 or $3,000 levels. Therefore, the market is expected to experience a period of consolidation before making a decisive move either upwards or downwards [4]