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内含价值营运回报率(ROEV)
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2025上半年内含价值增长7.7%,期初内含价值预计回报影响2.8%、新业务价值创造影响2.6%、投资回报差异影响1.4%!
13个精算师· 2025-10-09 11:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the analysis of the embedded value changes of listed life insurance companies for the first half of 2025, highlighting a 7.7% growth in embedded value, driven by various factors including expected returns and new business value creation [2][14]. Summary by Sections Embedded Value Changes - The embedded value of listed life insurance companies increased by 7.7% in the first half of 2025, with the expected return on the initial embedded value contributing 2.8%, new business value creation contributing 2.6%, investment return differences contributing 1.4%, and operational experience deviations contributing 0.83% [14][26]. ROEV Analysis - The overall Return on Embedded Value (ROEV) for listed life insurance companies was 6.3%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year. Companies like China Life, Ping An Life, and Taiping Life saw a decline in ROEV, while New China Life, AIA, and Sunshine Life experienced improvements [29][30]. Factors Influencing Embedded Value - The factors influencing the embedded value changes are ranked as follows: expected return on embedded value, new business value creation, investment return differences, operational experience deviations, and changes in assumptions and models [16][18]. Detailed Breakdown of Influencing Factors - **Expected Return on Embedded Value**: Averaged 2.8%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, with most companies (except AIA) showing a decline [18]. - **New Business Value Creation**: Contributed 2.56%, down 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, with some companies like Ping An Life and New China Life showing improvements while others declined [18]. - **Operational Experience Deviations**: Averaged 0.83%, up 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, indicating positive impacts from actual operational experiences [23]. - **Investment Return Differences**: Averaged 1.4%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, with most companies reporting positive deviations [26]. Company-Specific Insights - Sunshine Life reported the highest ROEV at 11.1%, followed by AIA at 8.6% and Ping An Life at 7.5% [30].