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2025上半年内含价值增长7.7%,期初内含价值预计回报影响2.8%、新业务价值创造影响2.6%、投资回报差异影响1.4%!
13个精算师· 2025-10-09 11:04
"13精"数据库第396周更新公告 13精资讯-增加2025年8月万能险结算利率2065条 13精资讯-增加2025年2季度保险公司增资情况数据 13精资讯-增加2024年各国保费、保险深度、人均保费 13精资讯-增加最近一周保险公司被处罚数据 13精资讯-增加最近一周保险公司投连险净值数据 在上述影响内含价值变动的因素中,一些公司剔除了投资波动、经济假设变化、注资和股东分红等因素影响,设计了ROEV指标。 内含价值营运回报率(ROEV)=(年初内含价值的预计回报+新业务价值创造+营运经验偏差+假设及模型变动)/期初内含价值 2025上半年度上市寿险公司合计ROEV为6.3%,同比下降了0.5个百分点! 从各家公司来看,中国人寿、平安寿险和太保寿险ROEV同比有所下降,而新华保险、友邦保险和阳光人寿的ROEV同比有所改善! 2、 "13精"给出了2025上半年度上市寿险公司内含价值变动科目与期初内含价值的比值,从中可以直观观察各个科目的影响程度。 | 变动项目 | 中国人寿 | 平安寿险 | | | 太保寿险 新华保险 友邦保险 阳光人寿 行业平均 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...
低利率时代寿险业迎大考,招商信诺总经理兼首席执行官常颖:“大健康”特色化经营驱动破局
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 09:16
智通财经9月29日讯(记者 邹俊涛)9月26日,由上海报业集团指导、智通财经主办的"2025上海全球金融・资管年会"在上海陆家嘴召开。招商信诺人寿保 险有限公司(以下简称"招商信诺")总经理兼首席执行官常颖在会上发表主题演讲指出,"中国寿险行业已进入利差损的风险化解攻坚期,行业必须共同面 对这一挑战。" 此外,健康险、医疗险等保障型产品,以及分红险、投连险等浮动收益产品,正成为行业发力重点。这类产品不仅降低了低利率对保险公司负债成本和盈利 能力的冲击,也更贴合客户在老龄化、慢病高发时代的保障需求。 招商信诺:从"负债成本管控"到"健康生态构建" 常颖表示,作为一家中外合资险企,招商信诺在应对利差损方面给出自己的策略。据他透露,公司近年来主要推动了多项业务转型,其中两大战略转型尤其 是值得关注。 一是严格控制负债成本。常颖表示,得益于逐年化解存量业务压力、精细化管理各项费用、优化资产负债匹配等积极举措,公司负债成本处于行业较低水 平,为公司稳健经营打下基础。 二是产品结构向分红险全面转型。2021年,招商信诺的分红险在银保新单业务中的占比仅为6%,而如今已提升至95%以上。"就像饮食结构从大鱼大肉转向 健康饮食 ...
人身险强劲增长!8月保费增超47%
券商中国· 2025-09-27 14:58
Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry in China has shown a strong recovery in premium income, with a total of 4.8 trillion yuan in original insurance premium income for the first eight months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.63% [1] Premium Income Performance - Property insurance premium income reached 1 trillion yuan, growing by 3.65% year-on-year, while life insurance premium income was 3.8 trillion yuan, with a significant growth of 11.32% [1] - In August alone, the insurance industry achieved original premium income of 591.4 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 35.61%, with life insurance premium income at 479.6 billion yuan, up 47.25% year-on-year [4] Market Demand and Trends - The strong demand for insurance and the reduction in the preset interest rate in September have driven the rapid growth in life insurance premiums [2] - Analysts predict that the premium growth rate will gradually decline after September, as the surge in August was largely influenced by the anticipation of rate adjustments [4] Product Structure Adjustment - The life insurance sector is experiencing a shift towards floating yield products, with the proportion of dividend insurance continuously increasing [7][8] - In the first half of the year, dividend insurance accounted for over 50% of the first-year premium income in individual insurance channels, indicating its importance in new premium income [7] Future Outlook - The industry consensus is to adjust product structures and increase the proportion of floating rate products to address challenges posed by low interest rates [8] - Dividend insurance is expected to contribute significantly to the industry's premium income growth for the year, supported by regulatory guidance and proactive transformation by insurance companies [9]
考验保险公司经营能力的时代来到:红利实现率披露已近收官,选公司重于选产品!
13个精算师· 2025-09-02 02:05
Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is experiencing a significant recovery in the dividend realization rate for participating insurance products, with many new products launched in 2024 achieving or exceeding a 100% realization rate [1]. Group 1: Dividend Realization Rates - As of September 1, 2024, 73 life insurance companies have reported the dividend realization rates for 3,285 participating insurance products, with a notable increase in overall rates [2]. - The average dividend realization rate for new products launched after the regulatory notice on August 2, 2024, is 106.8%, while older products have an average realization rate of 53.8% [3][4]. - Despite older products not reaching a 100% realization rate, their customer yield stands at 3.2% [3]. Group 2: Selection Criteria for Participating Insurance Products - Consumers are advised to focus on companies with a long-term stable dividend policy and strong operational capabilities, especially in a low-interest-rate environment [4]. - The regulatory guidance emphasizes that companies with high risks and negative reserves must justify their dividend levels [4]. Group 3: Evaluation of Insurance Companies - The evaluation of life insurance companies' dividend strength should consider long-term realization rates, historical data, investment returns, solvency ratios, and overall operational stability [7]. - A company like AIA Life has demonstrated strong performance, with new products achieving a realization rate of 143.0%, significantly above the industry average [8][11]. Group 4: AIA Life's Performance - AIA Life's 90 older products have an average realization rate of 74.2%, outperforming the industry average of 53.8% by 20.6 percentage points [11]. - The company has maintained a robust solvency ratio of 410% and has received the highest AAA risk rating for four consecutive quarters [13]. - AIA Life's future surplus ratio is 21.9%, ranking first among the 37 companies analyzed, indicating strong future profitability potential [15].
华创证券:寿险受益于政策调整景气度攀升 非车险提速增长
智通财经网· 2025-08-28 08:28
Group 1 - The insurance industry achieved original premium income of 42,085 billion yuan from January to July 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.8% and a month-on-month increase of 1.5 percentage points [1][2] - Life insurance continues to support the industry's accelerated growth, with life insurance premiums reaching 25,761 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.1% and a month-on-month increase of 2.5 percentage points [2][3] - Non-auto insurance premiums increased by 5.8% year-on-year, with specific growth rates for various segments: accident insurance +13%, health insurance +10.1%, liability insurance +3.8%, and agricultural insurance +3.2% [1][4] Group 2 - As of the end of July 2025, the total assets of the insurance industry reached 39.59 trillion yuan, an increase of 10.3% compared to the end of the previous year, with net assets of 3.84 trillion yuan, up 15.5% [5] - The growth of life insurance sales is expected to continue until August 2025, driven by the adjustment of the predetermined interest rate, although an overall slowdown is anticipated later in the year [6] - Property insurance growth is primarily driven by non-auto insurance, with the auto insurance sector expected to undergo transformation due to the gradual replacement of traditional fuel vehicles by new energy vehicles [6][7] Group 3 - Recommended stocks include China Pacific Insurance (02601), China Life Insurance (02628), Ping An Insurance (02318), and China People's Insurance Group (01339) [8]
国泰海通:7月寿险保费增长提速 财险表现持续稳健
智通财经网· 2025-08-28 06:57
Group 1: Life Insurance Performance - In the first seven months of 2025, the cumulative insurance industry premium income reached 420.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [1] - The life insurance sector's original premium income for the same period was 311.53 billion yuan, up 7.3% year-on-year, with life insurance, health insurance, and accident insurance premiums at 257.61 billion yuan, 51.50 billion yuan, and 2.42 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of 9.1%, 0%, and -6.7% respectively [1] - In July 2025, life insurance original premium income was 28.85 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 33.5% [1] Group 2: Non-Life Insurance and Auto Insurance - Cumulative non-life insurance premium income for the first seven months of 2025 was 109.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%, with auto insurance and non-auto insurance premiums at 52.43 billion yuan and 56.90 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of 4.4% and 5.8% respectively [2] - In July 2025, non-life insurance original premium income was 12.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.3% [2] - The growth in auto insurance premiums slowed due to a 7.3% year-on-year decline in passenger car sales [2] Group 3: Asset Management and Allocation - As of Q2 2025, the insurance industry's total investment balance was 36.2 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.9% since the beginning of the year [3] - The asset allocation showed a shift towards a barbell structure, with bond allocation increasing by 1.6 percentage points to 51.1% and stock allocation rising by 1.2 percentage points to 8.8% [3] - The decrease in fund allocation by 0.5 percentage points to 4.8% was attributed to efforts to smooth profit fluctuations [3]
东吴证券:7月寿险保费单月增速显著提升 财险业务保持稳健
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 02:45
Group 1: Insurance Industry Overview - The insurance industry's liability and asset sides are continuously improving, with significant upward valuation potential remaining [1] - The market's savings demand remains strong, and with ongoing regulatory guidance and proactive transformation by insurance companies, liability costs are expected to gradually decrease, alleviating pressure from interest rate spreads [1] - The ten-year government bond yield has recently fallen to approximately 1.76%, and it is anticipated that as the domestic economy recovers, long-term interest rates may rise, easing pressure on new fixed-income investment returns for insurance companies [1] Group 2: Life Insurance Sector Performance - In July, the life insurance sector's premium income increased by 26.2% year-on-year, significantly up from June's growth rate [1] - From January to July 2025, the original premium income for life insurance reached 33,203 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.5%, while the scale premium was 37,498 billion yuan, up 6.4% year-on-year [1] - The growth in July's premium income is attributed to the ongoing "deposit migration" phenomenon and the suspension of old products due to reduced preset interest rates [1] Group 3: Health Insurance Sector Insights - In July, health insurance premiums increased by 2.6% year-on-year, marking a return to positive growth after a decline in June [2] - From January to July 2025, health insurance premiums grew by 2.3% year-on-year, compared to a 7.8% increase in the same period of 2024 [2] - The long-term outlook for health insurance remains positive, with potential for growth through the establishment of a comprehensive health ecosystem integrating insurance, medical services, and wellness management [2] Group 4: Property Insurance Sector Developments - In July, property insurance premiums rose by 5.3% year-on-year, with non-auto insurance business showing improved growth [3] - From January to July 2025, property insurance premiums totaled 10,933 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [3] - The growth in non-auto insurance premiums in July was driven by health insurance, with significant increases in various segments such as health, accident, agricultural, and liability insurance [3]
非上市人身险公司业绩向好
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-19 03:31
Group 1: Industry Performance - The non-listed life insurance companies reported a total insurance business income exceeding 760 billion yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 4.7% [1] - The net profit reached nearly 30 billion yuan, doubling compared to the same period last year, with over 60% of companies achieving profitability [1] - The overall insurance industry, including listed companies, achieved original insurance premium income of 3.74 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.3% [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Leading companies such as Taikang Life, Zhongyou Life, and Xintai Life maintained strong positions, with Taikang Life leading with 130.973 billion yuan in premium income [1] - Bank-affiliated life insurance companies like Jianxin Life and Nongyin Life saw premium growth rates exceeding 20%, while foreign companies like MetLife experienced over 50% growth [1] - The industry is witnessing a mixed performance, with some companies like Hengqin Life and China United Insurance experiencing declines of over 20% due to channel and product adjustments [1] Group 3: Profitability and Structural Changes - Taikang Life led the profitability rankings with a net profit of over 10 billion yuan, while Zhongyou Life earned 5.177 billion yuan, indicating a broadening and deepening of profit recovery across the industry [1] - The industry is entering a "repricing" era for liabilities, with the predetermined interest rate for ordinary life insurance products dropping to 1.99%, prompting a structural adjustment in product offerings [2] - The improvement in investment returns and cost optimization is driving the upward trend in profits, reflecting a shift from high-speed growth to high-quality development in the industry [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The life insurance industry is expected to face challenges from low interest rates and a scarcity of quality assets in the second half of the year [3] - Companies are encouraged to enhance asset-liability management and innovate products and services to meet diverse customer needs, focusing on comprehensive solutions covering retirement, health, and wealth management [3] - Institutions with strong capital adequacy and stable operations are likely to gain a competitive edge in the upcoming market environment [3]
59家公司上半年收入同比增长约4.7%——非上市人身险公司业绩向好
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 21:16
Core Insights - The non-listed life insurance companies have shown significant improvement in their mid-year performance, with a total insurance business income exceeding 760 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of approximately 4.7% [1] - The net profit reached nearly 30 billion yuan, doubling compared to the same period last year, indicating a steady recovery in the industry [1] - Over 60% of the companies reported profits, with both the number and scale of profitable enterprises significantly increasing [1] Market Landscape - The leading companies in the market remain stable, with Taikang Life, Zhongyou Life, and Xintai Life ranking as the top three in premium income [1] - Taikang Life leads with 130.973 billion yuan, while Zhongyou Life surpassed 100 billion yuan with a year-on-year growth of 12.07% [1] - Bank-affiliated life insurance companies like Jianxin Life and Nongyin Life saw premium growth exceeding 20%, while foreign companies like MetLife experienced over 50% growth [1] - Some companies, such as Hengqin Life and China United Insurance, faced declines of over 20% due to adjustments in channels and products [1] Profitability - Taikang Life topped the profitability chart with a net profit in the hundred billion range, followed by Zhongyou Life with a net profit of 5.177 billion yuan [1] - Other companies like ICBC-AXA, Zhongyi Life, and CITIC Prudential achieved net profits exceeding 1 billion yuan, with CITIC Prudential turning from loss to profit, indicating a broad and deep recovery in profitability [1] Industry Trends - The insurance industry, including listed companies, achieved original insurance premium income of 3.74 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, with life insurance premium income at 2.77 trillion yuan, up 5.4% [2] - The recovery in performance is attributed to improved investment returns, as many insurance companies increased their stock and fund allocations, leading to better overall investment income [2] - The industry is entering a "repricing" era for liabilities, with the predetermined interest rate for ordinary life insurance products dropping to 1.99%, prompting a new round of structural adjustments [2] Company Performance - Zhongying Life reported an insurance business income of 14.268 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31%, and a net profit of 681 million yuan [3] - The significant growth in net profit and the narrowing of losses reflect the dual impact of improved investment and cost optimization [3] - The industry is transitioning from high-speed growth to high-quality development, with leading companies leveraging their advantages to grow stronger, while smaller companies must accelerate their transformation in capital strength, governance, and investment strategies [3] Future Outlook - The life insurance industry will continue to face challenges from low interest rates and a scarcity of quality assets [3] - To maintain growth resilience, the industry must focus on asset-liability management, optimizing duration and funding costs with flexible liabilities like dividend insurance [3] - Companies with strong capital and stable operations are expected to leverage their solid solvency and cash flow advantages in the upcoming competitive landscape [3]
牛市保险主角光环显现,行业贝塔之上透视中国平安的三重阿尔法
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-14 05:54
Core Viewpoint - The insurance sector is gaining prominence in the ongoing bull market, with significant upward momentum observed in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, particularly for major players like Ping An [1][3][9]. Market Performance - A-shares have shown strength with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a nine-day winning streak and nearing the 3700-point mark [1]. - Hong Kong stocks have also performed well, with the Hang Seng Index rising over 2% recently and breaking previous highs since October 2021 [3]. Sector Analysis - The insurance sector in A-shares experienced a recent pullback but rebounded with a rise of over 2.8% in a single day, indicating a potential new upward trend [5]. - In Hong Kong, the insurance sector has shown a clear upward trend, with gains exceeding 6% over the past three trading days [6]. Individual Stock Performance - Ping An has performed notably well, with A-shares and H-shares both rising by approximately 3% in a single day. Since the low in April, A-shares have increased by 28%, while H-shares have surged nearly 50% [10][11]. - Technical analysis suggests that Ping An's A-shares are poised for further gains after a recent correction, with expectations of breaking out of a consolidation pattern [11][15]. Investment Sentiment - The current bull market has led to increased interest in the insurance sector, which is seen as a "slow bull ballast" due to its low valuation, high dividend yield, and growth potential [17]. - The insurance sector's valuation remains low, with a dynamic valuation of 0.67x PEV as of Q2 2025, indicating significant room for growth compared to historical levels [18]. Trading Activity - The trading environment is heating up, with average daily stock fund turnover reaching 15,703 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 63% [21]. - Margin trading balances have returned to over 2 trillion yuan, the highest in a decade, reflecting increased investor participation [21]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict a potential market correction in mid-August, followed by a return to an upward trend, with expectations of new highs [22]. - Foreign institutions are increasingly optimistic about Chinese assets, with several maintaining positive ratings and outlooks for the insurance sector [23]. Ping An's Competitive Advantages - Ping An is expected to benefit from a strong growth trajectory in new business value, with projections of a 39% year-on-year increase in the first half of 2025 [24]. - The company is also enhancing its asset side flexibility, with a significant increase in equity investments, which are expected to improve investment returns [25]. - Ping An's unique "insurance + service + technology" ecosystem is seen as a competitive advantage, providing significant customer retention and differentiation [27][28]. Conclusion - The insurance sector, particularly Ping An, is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing bull market, with strong fundamentals, asset flexibility, and a unique value proposition that could lead to substantial market rewards [30].