中小保险公司风险化解观察与思考—— 寻中国特色范式，筑金融强国根基 保险Ⅱ 证券研究报告/行业深度报告 2026 年 03 月 02 日 | | | 分析师：葛玉翔 执业证书编号：S0740525040002 Email：geyx01@zts.com.cn 分析师：蒋峤 执业证书编号：S0740517090005 Email：jiangqiao@zts.com.cn | | | | 上市公司数 | 5 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 34,070.69 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 34,070.69 | 股基累计劲增 1.6 万亿——4Q25 保 险资金运用分析》2026-02-15 预期，关注定增价格》2026-02-01 3、《保险观点更新：把握宽基抛压 2026-01-30 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 报告摘要 中小保险机构风险化解是"十五五"期间监管的重要课题，被列为 2026 年五大重点 任务之首。当前仍有 19 家人身险公司无法披露定期偿付能力报告，上述机构最近披 露报告期合计认可负债约为 4.31 万亿元，预计占 3Q25 全行业人规模约为 11.4%。从 ...

此外，有银行理财顾问表示，"儿童财商教育需循序渐进，不同年龄阶段的孩子，对金钱的认知和自控能力差异显著，压岁 钱的配置比例和方式可随之调整。"结合儿童认知发展规律和家庭实践，可将压岁钱理财分为三个核心阶段，每个阶段各有 侧重、可操作性强。 正月年味未散，孩子们的压岁钱如何打理这一话题已成为家长们上班之后讨论的热点。记者调查发现，越来越多的家长开 始将压岁钱作为孩子财商教育的"天然教材"，攒金、攒股、配置保险等多元化配置成为新趋势。业内专家表示，压岁钱理 财的核心是"分龄适配"，结合孩子成长阶段规划配置方案，兼顾财商启蒙与资金增值，才能让这笔资金在孩子的成长过程 中更好地发挥作用。 分龄规划： 各成长阶段理财重点不同 "和孩子一起打理压岁钱，最重要的是让孩子认识到金钱和时间的关系。"某股份制银行理财顾问表示，将压岁钱当作孩子 的"成长基金"，不妨将资金分为3份进行规划，按照"541原则"进行管理：50%用于长期增值，相当于提前给孩子养"金鹅"； 40%用来实现未来3—5年可预见的旅游、教育等目标，减轻未来资金压力；10%用于日常开销，即短期消费。 记者调查走访发现，随着近年来银行存款利率的走低，为孩子攒金豆、攒 ...

以下文章来源于阿尔法工场金融家 ，作者金妹妹 阿尔法工场金融家 . 追踪保险银行业圈内动态，剖析最新风向，分享有料、有价值的"内行人"洞察见解。 导语：能否将资本市场东风，转化为长期稳健"造血"机制，将是多笔资本"输血"措施是否具有最终价 值的关键。 在大多数同业普遍拥有充裕的资本安全垫时，光大永明人寿的核心偿付能力充足率，已滑落至最 接近监管"地平面"的位置。 据不完全统计，截至2025年第四季度末，已披露数据的人身险公司平均核心偿付能力充足率约为 110%-130%区间。 大型上市寿险公司核心偿付能力充足率普遍维持在140%-200%区间，综 合偿付能力充足率大多200%-250%区间。 核心偿付能力充足率，衡量的是保险公司高质量资本的充足程度。 光大永明人寿同期数据显示， 该公司核心偿付能力充足率为73.85%， 综合偿付能力充足率为129.01%，虽然在监管达标线以 上，但明显低于行业平均水平，揭示出公司在资本结构上面临的严峻挑战。 其综合偿付能力充足率129.01%，虽然略高于120%的监管重点核查线，但在行业内同样属于承 压区，且这一指标的计算还囊括了公司于去年12月发行的12亿元资本补充债券。 ...

Core Insights - The report reveals that 57 non-listed life insurance companies achieved a total insurance business revenue of 1.20 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 12.0%, and a net profit of 666.24 billion yuan, which represents a significant increase of 162.4% [1] - The growth in insurance business revenue is attributed to operational model reforms, product structure adjustments, and a decrease in liability costs, while the net profit increase is driven by a recovering capital market, rising investment returns, and cost reductions from the "reporting and operation integration" policy [1][3] Revenue Performance - In 2025, major companies such as Taikang Life, China Post Life, and ICBC-AXA Life reported insurance business revenues exceeding 50 billion yuan, with figures of 238.66 billion yuan, 159.17 billion yuan, and 50.86 billion yuan respectively [2] - Out of the 57 companies, 42 reported a year-on-year increase in insurance business revenue, while 47 companies achieved profitability, totaling a net profit of 686.81 billion yuan, with 10 companies incurring losses amounting to 2.06 billion yuan [2] Profitability Analysis - The net profit of the leading companies includes Taikang Life, China Post Life, and China CITIC Prudential Life, with net profits of 271.59 billion yuan, 83.47 billion yuan, and 50.00 billion yuan respectively [2] - Experts indicate that the profitability growth is a result of overcoming market challenges through product structure and channel strategy adjustments, as well as optimizing asset allocation [2] Investment Returns - The average financial investment return rate for the 57 non-listed life insurance companies was 4.65%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.35 percentage points, while the average comprehensive investment return rate was approximately 2.92%, showing a decline of 5.97 percentage points [4] - The disparity in investment return performance is attributed to accounting classification adjustments in bond investments and differences in market performance [4] Future Outlook - The predetermined interest rate for ordinary life insurance products has shown a declining trend, with the latest value at 1.89%, down from previous values of 2.34%, 2.13%, 1.99%, and 1.90% [5] - Experts suggest that insurance companies should reduce reliance on interest rate spreads and focus on value competition by developing dividend insurance and universal insurance, as well as leveraging technology for cost reduction and efficiency [5]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源 | 独角金融 在行业整体"狂欢"中，中华联合人寿保险股份有限公司（以下简称"中华联合人寿"）却始终游离在聚光 灯之外，这家险企不仅跻身10家亏损险企之一，更是身陷9年亏损的泥潭，累计亏损额超过21亿元。 持续亏损下，中华联合人寿的偿付能力承压，为了挽救持续"失血"，2025年上半年，第一大股东中华保 险集团与第二大股东中华联合财险按8：2的比例共同向中华人寿"输血"12亿元，截至2025年末核心偿付 能力充足率94.18%，同比增长23.76%；综合偿付能力充足率126.11%，同比反而下降1.4%。 1 作者 | 谢美浴编辑 | 付影 2025年的人身险行业，堪称一片丰收盛宴。金融监管总局数据显示，2025年人身险公司原保费收入升至 4.36万亿元，同比增长8.9%，稳稳扛起保险业增长的"大旗"。盈利能力也全面爆发，据保险垂类自媒 体"13个精算师"统计，57家非上市人身险公司的净利润合计为666亿，较上年同期大涨约168%。 9年亏损21亿，转型分红险优化负债结构 根据偿付能力报告，2025年，中华联合人寿实现保险业务收入45 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - The net profit of listed insurance companies is expected to continue rapid growth in 2025, with a total net profit of 426 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.5% [1] - The new business value (NBV) of life insurance is projected to maintain high growth in 2025, with total premium income expected to reach 4,362.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [2] - The property insurance sector is anticipated to see steady premium growth, with total premium income expected to reach 1,757 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.9% [6] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - The life insurance sector is expected to see a robust performance in 2025, driven by strong demand and the transformation of the bancassurance channel, with new premium income from bancassurance channels increasing by 42.0% year-on-year [2] - The adjustment of the upper limit of the life insurance interest rate is expected to improve the NBV margin, with the rates for traditional savings insurance set at 2.0% and for participating insurance at 1.75% [2] Property Insurance - The property insurance sector is projected to achieve steady premium growth, with car insurance and non-car insurance premiums expected to reach 940.9 billion yuan and 816.1 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 3.0% and 5.0% [6] - The combined ratio (COR) is expected to improve due to a decrease in natural disaster-related economic losses, which fell by 39.8% year-on-year [6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields, such as China Ping An, New China Life, China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and ZhongAn Online [8]

Core Viewpoint - The insurance sector has seen a rebound in stock prices and premium growth, but future growth drivers remain uncertain as the industry shifts focus towards risk management and long-term stability [1][6]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The insurance industry is experiencing a recovery in premium growth during the "opening red" period, with banks and individual insurance channels accelerating sales [1][6]. - The emphasis on the insurance protection function is being reinforced, as the industry adapts to complex lifecycle risks such as longevity, health, and long-term care [1][4]. Group 2: Regulatory and Market Insights - Former China Insurance Regulatory Commission Vice Chairman Wei Yingning highlighted the importance of maintaining the essence of insurance, warning against products that lack substantial protection and are merely for capital absorption [7][9]. - The rapid growth of products like investment-linked and universal life insurance, which saw annual growth rates exceeding 50%, has been linked to market volatility, raising concerns about risk exposure for consumers and the industry [4][9]. Group 3: Demographic and Strategic Shifts - The aging population is an irreversible trend, prompting the government to prioritize strategies for addressing aging and developing pension finance, positioning life insurance as a crucial component of the pension system [4][9]. - The life insurance sector is transitioning towards "new life insurance" models, integrating insurance with services like elder care and health management to provide comprehensive solutions throughout the lifecycle [5][9]. Group 4: Investment and Economic Impact - Insurance funds are characterized by long durations and strong stability, with diversified investment strategies across various asset classes, which can effectively support the real economy and promote innovation [10]. - The current bull market is expected to be one of the longest in Chinese capital market history, providing a significant opportunity for insurance companies to enhance profitability and transform their product structures [10].

Core Insights - The article discusses the increasing trend of banks promoting insurance products, driven by the ongoing "deposit migration" and the urgent need for banks to boost their intermediary business revenue [2][6] - The insurance industry is witnessing a competitive landscape in the bancassurance channel, with significant growth in premium income, particularly among leading insurance companies [3][6] Group 1: Industry Trends - In 2025, the bancassurance channel for life insurance is expected to see an overall premium growth rate of approximately 10%, with leading insurers outperforming the industry average [3] - The "old seven" life insurance companies (including Ping An Life and China Life) achieved over 40% growth in bancassurance premiums, with Ping An Life leading at a remarkable 163% year-on-year increase [3][6] - The total premium income of the insurance industry surpassed 6 trillion yuan in 2025, marking a 7.4% year-on-year growth, with life insurance companies contributing significantly [6] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - There is a clear division among bank-affiliated insurance companies, with some experiencing significant growth while others face declines; for instance, Everbright Life Insurance saw a 111% increase, while others like China Merchants Life faced negative growth [4][5] - Foreign and joint venture insurers, although smaller in size, are achieving impressive growth rates by focusing on high-net-worth clients and long-term value services [5] Group 3: Strategic Developments - The removal of restrictions on the number of insurance companies a single bank branch can partner with has expanded product selection and improved matching with customer needs [7] - Insurers are actively enhancing their bancassurance channel strategies, with predictions indicating that new business value growth will be primarily driven by this channel in 2026 [8][11] - Major insurers are establishing extensive partnerships with banks, with China Life collaborating with over 100 banks and other companies also expanding their banking partnerships [9][11]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" for the insurance sector, indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [4][24]. Core Insights - The insurance industry achieved a total premium income of 61,194 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.4%. The growth rate has slightly decreased compared to the previous month [7][6]. - Life insurance premiums reached 35,557 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 11.4%. Health and accident insurance also showed growth, while the overall premium growth rate for life insurance has been gradually declining [7][6]. - The total assets of the insurance industry reached 41.3 trillion yuan by the end of December 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.1% [7][6]. - The report anticipates that the new business for life insurance will see rapid growth due to the dual benefits of high deposit flow and the expansion of bank insurance channels [7][6]. Company Summaries - **China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH)**: Expected EPS for 2025E is 5.68 yuan, with a PE ratio of 7.21 and a PB ratio of 1.41. The stock is rated as "Recommended" [3]. - **China Life Insurance (601628.SH)**: Expected EPS for 2025E is 6.34 yuan, with a PE ratio of 11.79 and a PB ratio of 2.18. The stock is rated as "Recommended" [3]. - **Ping An Insurance (601318.SH)**: Expected EPS for 2025E is 8.02 yuan, with a PE ratio of 7.48 and a PB ratio of 1.14. The stock is rated as "Strongly Recommended" [3]. - **China Property & Casualty Insurance (02328.HK)**: Expected EPS for 2025E is 2.07 yuan, with a PE ratio of 6.54 and a PB ratio of 1.09. The stock is rated as "Recommended" [3].

Core Insights - The insurance industry is projected to achieve a total original insurance premium income of 6.12 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.43%, which is a slowdown compared to the double-digit growth in 2024 [1] Group 1: Life Insurance Sector - The life insurance sector is expected to generate original insurance premium income of 4.65 trillion yuan, accounting for 75.97% of the total, with a year-on-year growth of 9.05%, making it the main driver of growth [3] - The growth in life insurance premiums is primarily driven by savings demand, with a notable increase in the sales of participating insurance products, which are favored for their dual role in protection and savings [4] - The total premium income from life insurance companies reached 4.36 trillion yuan, with specific segments showing varied performance: traditional life insurance at 3.56 trillion yuan (up 11.4%), accident insurance at 368 billion yuan (down 9.8%), and health insurance at 769.9 billion yuan (down 0.41%) [3][4] Group 2: Investment and Policy Changes - New policy changes, such as the reduction of the maximum guaranteed interest rate for ordinary life insurance products from 2.5% to 2%, have led to a surge in demand as consumers rushed to secure higher returns before the policy took effect [4] - The demand for universal life insurance products remains stable, with new investment contributions increasing by 3.84%, indicating a strong interest in products that offer both returns and flexibility [4] Group 3: Property Insurance Sector - The property insurance sector achieved original insurance premium income of 1.76 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.92%, while the growth rate for auto insurance premiums slowed to 2.98%, accounting for 53.55% of total premiums [6] - Non-auto insurance premiums grew by 5%, with specific segments such as liability insurance, agricultural insurance, health insurance, and accident insurance showing positive growth rates [7] - The health insurance premium income from both life and property insurance companies reached 9.973 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.04%, nearing the 1 trillion yuan milestone [7][8] Group 4: Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - The growth in health insurance premiums shows a significant divergence between life and property insurance companies, attributed to differences in legal attributes, product structures, and regulatory adaptability [8] - Property insurance companies have seen rapid growth in short-term health insurance products, benefiting from government-backed initiatives and the ability to leverage online sales channels [8]