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高盛:料今年内地餐饮销售增长加快至同比升4.2% 调整古茗(01364)与蜜雪集团(02097)目标价
智通财经网· 2026-02-25 06:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Goldman Sachs expects a faster growth in mainland China's restaurant sales, projecting a year-on-year increase of 4.2% this year, surpassing last year's growth of 3.2% [1] - Despite the overall consumption not showing significant improvement, the restaurant demand has stabilized over the past few months, with price increases observed in the industry to cope with rising operational and raw material costs, as well as an increase in the proportion of takeout orders supported by recovering demand [1] - For ready-to-drink beverage companies, the second to third quarters of this year will face challenges due to high comparable same-store sales growth, but the current level of takeout subsidies remains higher than expected, along with product variety expansion and richer consumption scenarios supporting same-store sales growth [1] Group 2 - The increase in the proportion of takeout orders may negatively impact profitability and store performance, potentially leading brands to provide support or subsidies [1] - The company continues to be optimistic about leading players in the ready-to-drink beverage industry, including Gu Ming (01364) and Mixue Group (02097), with target prices raised to HKD 34 for Gu Ming and adjusted to HKD 493 for Mixue, maintaining "Confident Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively, with particular optimism for Gu Ming [1]
高盛:料今年内地餐饮销售增长加快至同比升4.2% 调整古茗与蜜雪集团目标价
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 06:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Goldman Sachs expects a faster growth in mainland China's restaurant sales, projecting a year-on-year increase of 4.2% this year, surpassing last year's growth of 3.2% [1] - Despite the overall consumer spending not showing significant improvement, the restaurant demand has stabilized over the past few months [1] - The industry is experiencing price increases, which are believed to be a response to rising operational and raw material costs, as well as an increase in the proportion of takeaway orders supported by recovering demand [1] Group 2 - For ready-to-drink beverage companies, the second to third quarters of this year will face challenges due to high comparable sales growth from the previous year [1] - However, the current level of takeaway subsidies is higher than expected, along with product variety expansion and richer consumption scenarios, which support same-store sales growth [1] - The rising proportion of takeaway orders may negatively impact profitability and store performance, potentially requiring brands to provide support or subsidies [1] Group 3 - The company continues to be optimistic about leading players in the ready-to-drink beverage industry, including Gu Ming (01364) and Mixue Group (02097) [1] - The target price for Gu Ming has been raised to 34 HKD, while the target price for Mixue has been adjusted to 493 HKD, with ratings of "Confident Buy" and "Buy" respectively, particularly favoring Gu Ming [1]
大行评级丨高盛:预期今年内地餐饮销售增长加快至4.2%,看好古茗及蜜雪集团
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-25 03:11
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs expects a faster growth in mainland China's restaurant sales this year, projecting a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, surpassing last year's growth of 3.2% [1] Industry Summary - The restaurant industry is experiencing price increases to cope with rising operational and raw material costs, as well as an increase in the proportion of takeaway orders, supported by a recovery in demand [1] - For ready-to-drink beverage companies, the second and third quarters of this year will face challenges due to high same-store sales growth comparisons, but current takeaway subsidies are higher than expected, alongside product variety expansion and richer consumption scenarios, which will support same-store sales growth [1] Company Summary - Goldman Sachs maintains a positive outlook on leading companies in the ready-to-drink beverage sector, including Gu Ming and Mixue Group, raising the target price for Gu Ming to HKD 34 and for Mixue to HKD 493, with ratings of "Confident Buy" and "Buy" respectively [1] - The company is particularly optimistic about Gu Ming due to its strong historical performance in expanding consumption scenarios and launching new products, as well as significant potential for store expansion, with core earnings estimates for 2025 to 2027 raised by 4% to 6% [1]