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“港股三姐妹”,齐创新高!基金经理重构消费投资逻辑
天天基金网· 2025-06-05 05:11
上天天基金APP搜索【777】注册即可 领98元券包 , 优选消费基金10元起投!限量发放!先到先得! 潮玩盲盒、黄金珠宝、量贩零食、宠物经济……2025年以来,一场由新消费引领的资本狂欢正在港股市场 上演。 6月4日,泡泡玛特、蜜雪集团、老铺黄金3家港股新消费企业再度大涨,股价齐创新高,总市值合计突破7300 亿港元,被市场冠以港股"新消费三姐妹"的称号,并带动A股、港股消费板块集体上行。 当新消费点燃资本市场,越来越多消费基金经理正在重构自己的消费股投资逻辑。如何衡量情绪价值,进而合 理定价?如何评估新商业模式,从而理性预期?如何洞察新客群的真正需求,从而预测市场空间?这些都是新 消费投资的难点,却也是其迷人之处。 "港股三姐妹"齐创新高 6月4日,大消费板块再度爆发,被市场称为港股"新消费三姐妹"的蜜雪集团、泡泡玛特、老铺黄金在盘中再创 历史新高。 其中, 泡泡玛特 当天大涨5.13%,盘中最高触及248.8港元/股,市值突破3300亿港元大关,年内涨幅超170%。 拉长周期来看,泡泡玛特已完成自己的20倍之旅。在2022年四季度,泡泡玛特股价最低只有不到10港元/股, 而截至2025年6月4日,其最新 ...
“港股三姐妹”,齐创新高!基金经理重构消费投资逻辑
券商中国· 2025-06-04 15:08
Core Viewpoint - A capital frenzy led by new consumption is unfolding in the Hong Kong stock market since 2025, with significant growth in sectors like trendy toys, gold jewelry, bulk snacks, and pet economy [1] Group 1: New Consumption Companies Performance - On June 4, 2025, three Hong Kong new consumption companies, Pop Mart, Mixue Group, and Laopu Gold, reached new highs, collectively surpassing a market capitalization of 730 billion HKD, earning the title "New Consumption Three Sisters" [2][3] - Pop Mart's stock surged by 5.13% on June 4, reaching a peak of 248.8 HKD per share, with a market cap exceeding 330 billion HKD and a year-to-date increase of over 170%. Its stock price has risen over 2300% since hitting a low of under 10 HKD per share in Q4 2022 [3] - Mixue Group also saw a rise of over 5% on June 4, peaking at 618 HKD per share, with a market cap of 233.7 billion HKD, reflecting a 134.9% increase since its listing on March 3, 2025 [3] - Laopu Gold reached a new high of 996.5 HKD per share on June 4, with a market cap of 171.6 billion HKD, marking a 324.2% increase this year and over 20 times since its listing on June 28, 2024 [3] Group 2: Market Trends and Investment Logic - The new consumption sector is characterized by a shift from traditional consumption patterns, focusing on trendy products like toys, pet products, and cosmetics, indicating a profound restructuring of consumption investment logic [5] - The previous reliance on liquor and home appliance leaders as valuation anchors has shifted, with consumers now prioritizing quality and emotional value over brand loyalty, driven by increased education levels and rational brand choices [5] - New consumption companies are focusing on precise target audience identification and pain point exploration, moving away from traditional channel-driven competition [5] Group 3: Future Outlook and Market Dynamics - The rise of new consumption stocks is driven by product launches, brand influence, and performance realization, with many companies still having significant growth potential from upcoming products and earnings [8] - Despite concerns about market overheating, the overall consumption sector is expected to experience structural growth, with a notable divergence between high-performing stocks and those lagging behind [9] - The market is anticipated to evolve from point-driven growth to broader structural trends, with ongoing opportunities for investors to identify undervalued stocks with high potential returns [9]
恒生指数早盘涨0.72% 稳定币概念股普涨
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 04:10
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.72%, gaining 168 points to close at 23,680 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.01% [1] - The early trading volume in Hong Kong reached 119 billion HKD [1] Group 2: Stablecoin Sector - The stablecoin concept stocks experienced a broad rally following the formal enactment of the "Stablecoin Regulation" in Hong Kong, with Standard Chartered predicting a global market size reaching trillions in the next three years [1] - OSL Group (00863) rose by 4%, Standard Chartered Group (02888) increased by 2.60%, and Lianlian Digital (02598) surged by 6.2% [1] Group 3: Nuclear Energy Sector - China Everbright Holdings (00165) saw a rise of over 15% as US stablecoin giant Circle is set to go public, with the company having previously invested in it [2] - China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) Mining signed a new agreement for natural uranium sales with annual sales caps of 3.944 billion HKD, 4.396 billion HKD, and 4.561 billion HKD over three years [2] - CGN Mining (01164) surged by 24%, while China Nuclear International (02302.HK) rose by 10% [2] Group 4: Biotechnology Sector - Innovent Biologics (01801) increased by over 15% following the release of clinical PoC research data for IBI363, a treatment for advanced non-small cell lung cancer [3] Group 5: Investment and Technology Sector - Jiufang Zhitu Holdings (09636) rose by over 6%, with market activity boosting the company's performance and stock price, as institutions remain optimistic about continued profit growth this year [4] Group 6: Beverage and Lithium Sector - Gu Ming (01364) increased by 7%, reaching a new high, with expectations of being included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect next week, as Goldman Sachs is optimistic about the ready-to-drink beverage benefiting from delivery platform subsidies [5] - Tianqi Lithium (002466) (09696) and Ganfeng Lithium (002460) (01772) both rose by over 5%, with Citigroup noting that the accelerating decline in lithium prices may trigger supply cuts [5] Group 7: Competitive Advantage in Cosmetics - Mao Ge Ping (01318) rose by 6.89%, reaching a new high since its listing, with Citigroup expressing confidence in the company's competitive advantages [6] Group 8: Rare Earth and Technology Sector - Jinli Permanent Magnet (300748) (06680) surged by 10%, with expectations of both volume and price growth for the year, while the impact of rare earth export controls is manageable [7] - Longpan Technology (603906) (02465) increased by 5.93%, with its subsidiary signing a long-term agreement with a related company of EVE Energy (300014), projecting sales exceeding 5 billion HKD [7] Group 9: Pharmaceutical Sector - Fuhong Hanlin (02696) rose by over 6%, with the company presenting multiple research results at the ASCO annual meeting [8]
高盛:料即制饮品受惠内地外卖平台补贴计划 升蜜雪冰城(02097)及古茗(01364)目标价
智通财经网· 2025-06-03 02:50
智通财经APP获悉,高盛发布研报称,自4月11日京东集团-SW(09618)宣布100亿元人民币外卖补贴计划 以来,伴随饿了么和美团-W(03690)加大补贴与投资力道,该行覆盖的即制饮品公司股价平均上升 39%。根据报道与渠道调查,京东外卖订单中有很大一部分流向即制饮品品牌,其中瑞幸和库迪咖啡的 订单量位居前列,其次是一些大型即制茶饮品牌。 渠道调查显示,参与促销活动的门店订单量可能翻倍以上,但影响程度因品牌参与策略、价格定位和外 送占比而异。整体上,参与促销活动的品牌应能受惠,该行认为优质企业如蜜雪冰城(02097)、古茗 (01364)和百胜中国(09987)仍将是长期赢家。 该行根据外送补贴的推动和年内趋势,上调了古茗和蜜雪冰城的盈利预测,并提高了两者的估值倍数, 反映其稳健的短期盈利前景以及与其他新消费品牌的交易倍数一致。古茗2025至2027年盈利预测被上调 5%至9%,反映更快的门店扩张速度以及更强的门店商品成交额增长,2026年预计市盈率从20倍上调至 26倍,仍较即制茶饮行业龙头蜜雪冰城低约20%。目标价由21港元升至29.2港元,维持"买入"评级。 高盛上调蜜雪冰城2025至2027年盈利 ...