Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to show an overall upward trend in 2025, driven by policy support, liquidity, and fundamentals, with significant structural differentiation in performance across sectors [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Major A-share indices saw substantial increases in 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300 Index, and ChiNext Index rising by 18.4%, 17.7%, and 49.6% respectively [1] - The total market capitalization of A-shares at the end of 2025 is approximately 123 trillion RMB, an increase of 24.54 trillion RMB or about 25% from the end of 2024 [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - The A-share market exhibited clear structural differentiation, with strong performances in technology, high-end manufacturing, and non-ferrous metals, while consumer sectors lagged [2] - The best-performing sectors included non-ferrous metals and telecommunications, with gains of 94.7% and 84.7% respectively, while food and beverage and coal sectors declined by 9.7% and 5.3% [2] - The market structure reflects varying industry prosperity and indicates a profound change in China's economic structure, with technology manufacturing becoming a driving force [2] Group 3: Economic Outlook - The Chinese economy is expected to maintain a moderate recovery in 2026, with a deepening trend of structural transformation and upgrading [3] - Policies aimed at boosting consumption are anticipated to be introduced, addressing weak domestic demand and consumer confidence [3] Group 4: Corporate Earnings - In the first three quarters of 2025, the overall revenue growth for A-shares was 1.29%, and profit growth was 4.0%, indicating a stabilization trend in corporate earnings [4] - The return on equity (ROE) for listed companies has stabilized for four consecutive quarters, with a slight improvement noted in Q3 2025 [4] Group 5: Sector Focus - The technology and advanced manufacturing sectors, particularly artificial intelligence, are still in the early stages of development, with significant potential for future growth [5] - The consumer sector faces challenges due to weak domestic demand and demographic shifts, but long-term investment appeal is emerging [6] - The outbound industry chain shows strong competitiveness, with exports performing well, supported by China's robust industrial system and engineer advantages [7]