Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector is experiencing a downturn, with the first agricultural ETF (159275) declining by 1.31% as of market close on October 22, 2023 [1] Industry Analysis - The pig farming industry is facing significant capacity pressure, leading to widespread losses. Current prices for fat and piglets have dropped to yearly lows, suggesting a potential further decline in prices. Historical trends indicate that when both prices are low, the industry may initiate market-driven capacity reduction, which could support long-term price increases for pigs [3] - Despite the current challenges, there is an expectation of increased pig supply in the fourth quarter due to rising slaughter volumes and accelerated weight gain as temperatures drop. This has led to a stronger demand for meat, with pig prices stabilizing at psychological levels, easing the pressure on the breeding sector [3] - The valuation of the agricultural sector remains relatively low, presenting a favorable investment opportunity. As of October 22, 2023, the agricultural ETF's index price-to-book ratio stands at 2.57, placing it in the 29.3 percentile over the past decade, highlighting its mid- to long-term investment value [3] Investment Direction - Analysts are optimistic about the pig farming sector due to policy and market forces driving capacity reduction, which is expected to enhance long-term performance [4] - The agricultural sector plays a crucial role in food security, economic development, ecological balance, and social welfare. The traditional farming industry is undergoing significant supply-side reforms, which are likely to benefit large-scale farming enterprises. The domestic market concentration is increasing, and companies that have expanded into overseas markets are expected to gain a competitive edge [5] - The current upward trend in grain prices and favorable conditions in the planting and seed sectors indicate significant investment opportunities in these areas [6] ETF Overview - The agricultural ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, with major holdings including leading companies in livestock, feed, and planting sectors. The top ten holdings account for over 90% of the index, focusing on agricultural breeding, feed, and planting industries [6]