农牧渔板块今日（1月26日）强势上攻，全市场唯一农牧渔ETF（159275）开盘短暂于水面附近震荡后 迅速拉升，截至发稿，场内价格涨1.53%，一举收复5日线、10日线、20日线等3根均线。 成份股方面，动保、畜牧养殖等板块部分个股涨幅居前。截至发稿，回盛生物20CM涨停，莱茵生物涨 停，海利生物大涨超7%，金河生物、中牧股份、唐人神等亦涨幅居前。 | | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 日 周 月 更多 | | | | | | | F9 盘前盘玩 最加 九种 面线 工具 @ > | | 农牧渔ETF | | 159275 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 159275(农牧流(TF) 14:19 长 0.993 函数 0.015(1.53%) 均价 0.967 深交量 170 IOPV 0.9941 | | | | | 2026/01/26 | | 0.993 | | +0.015 +1.539 | | | | | | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural and livestock sector, particularly pig farming, continues to show upward momentum, with the highest "pig content" agricultural ETF (159275) experiencing a price increase of 0.71% as of the latest report [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The agricultural ETF (159275) opened with a slight dip but then rose, showing a current increase of 0.71% [1]. - Key stocks in the sector, such as Muyuan Foods, rose over 5%, while other companies like Brother Technology and Wens Foodstuff increased by over 3% and 2%, respectively [1]. Group 2: Industry Trends - Data from the Guangdong Provincial Department of Agriculture indicates a 2.10% month-on-month decrease in the number of breeding sows, marking four consecutive months of decline [1]. - The pig farming industry is entering a regulatory phase, with authorities reducing production capacity to control pig prices, which are under downward pressure due to increased slaughter volumes and large pig inventories [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the supply-demand dynamics in the pig farming industry will improve, with continued pressure on prices expected until mid-2026, followed by a gradual easing of supply pressures [3]. - The agricultural and livestock sector is currently at a relatively low valuation level, presenting a good opportunity for long-term investment [3]. - The pig farming industry is facing three main pressures: falling market prices, rising epidemic risks, and regulatory pressures, which may lead to continued rapid capacity reduction [5].

Group 1 - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector experienced a rise in the market, with the only agricultural ETF (159275) showing an increase of 0.62% as of the report time [1][9] - Key stocks in the sector, including animal health, pig farming, and aquaculture, saw significant gains, with BioShares rising over 4%, and both Luo Niu Mountain and Tian Kang Biological increasing by over 2% [1][9] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasized the need for comprehensive regulation of pig production capacity and dynamic adjustments to the breeding sow inventory target [1][10] Group 2 - Guohai Securities noted that the pig industry is entering a regulatory phase, with authorities reducing production capacity to control prices, which may face downward pressure due to increased market supply [3][11] - The current valuation of the agricultural and fishery sector is relatively low, with the market's highest "pig-related" ETF (159275) having a price-to-book ratio of 2.47, indicating a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3][11] - Dongfang Securities projected a high certainty of capacity reduction in the pig farming industry, with expectations for pig prices to rise by 2026 as the industry stabilizes [4][12] Group 3 - The agricultural ETF (159275) passively tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, which includes leading stocks in pig farming and covers various segments of the agricultural supply chain [4][12] - Investors can also consider agricultural ETF linked funds (Class A 013471/Class C 013472) to gain exposure to the agricultural sector [4][12]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector experienced a market rally on December 10, with the only agricultural ETF (159275) showing a price increase of 0.31% after a peak of 0.51% during trading [1][9]. Market Performance - The agricultural ETF (159275) opened strong, with significant gains in individual stocks such as Luoniushan reaching the daily limit, Shennong Seed rising over 10%, Hainan Rubber increasing by over 3%, and both Shengnong Development and Tianma Technology gaining over 2% [1][9]. - The current market sentiment is characterized by cautious observation, which may present a favorable allocation window for investors [12]. Valuation Insights - The agricultural sector's valuation remains relatively low, with the market's agricultural ETF (159275) showing a price-to-book ratio of 2.48, placing it at the 21.48 percentile of the past decade, indicating a compelling mid-to-long-term investment opportunity [3][10]. Industry Outlook - Analysts from Huaxi Securities suggest that the active reduction of production capacity in the pig farming industry has begun, with expectations for a long-term increase in domestic pig prices [11]. - The industry is currently facing pressures from declining market prices, rising epidemic risks, and policy guidance, which are expected to enhance the motivation for capacity reduction [11]. - The majority of listed pig farming companies are currently valued at historical lows, suggesting significant potential for future appreciation [11]. Investment Strategy - The agricultural ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, which includes leading stocks in pig farming and covers various segments of the agricultural supply chain [11]. - Investors can also consider connecting funds (Class A 013471/Class C 013472) to gain exposure to the agricultural sector [11].

Group 1 - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector experienced a decline on November 26, with the only agricultural ETF (159275) dropping by 0.5% by the end of the trading day [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector, particularly in aquaculture, faced significant losses, with Zhongshui Fishery hitting the limit down, and Zangzi Island and Guolian Aquatic Products falling by 9.19% and 7.22% respectively [1][2] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has been signaling a focus on capacity regulation, emphasizing the need to stabilize the market for major livestock products [1][3] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities noted that the pig price remains low, and under policy guidance, there is potential for capacity reduction, highlighting the importance of the pig farming sector's expectations [3] - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector's valuation is currently at a relatively low level, suggesting it may be a good time for investment [3] - Huaxi Securities indicated that the pig farming industry is beginning to actively reduce capacity amid losses, with a potential upward shift in domestic pig prices in the medium to long term [4] Group 3 - The industry is facing pressures from falling market prices, rising epidemic risks, and policy guidance, which are expected to enhance the motivation for capacity reduction [4] - Most listed pig farming companies are currently valued at historical lows, indicating significant potential for long-term investment appreciation [4] - The only agricultural ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, which includes leading companies in pig farming and covers various segments of the agricultural supply chain [5]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector continues to rise, with the only agricultural ETF (159275) showing a slight increase of 0.3% as of the report time, driven by gains in specific stocks within the sector [1]. Market Performance - The agricultural ETF (159275) opened with a positive trend, maintaining a red market fluctuation, and recorded a 0.3% increase by the time of reporting [1]. - Key stocks in the sector, such as Luo Niu Shan, Shen Nong Seed, and Hainan Rubber, saw significant gains, with increases of over 5%, 4%, and 2% respectively [1]. Price Trends - The price of live pigs has been declining, leading to losses for breeding companies. As of November 24, 2025, the average price of live pigs was 11.6 CNY/kg, down from 12.25 CNY/kg on September 30, 2025, indicating a decrease of 0.65 CNY/kg [2][3]. - The price of piglets also fell to 21.21 CNY/kg, down 1.01 CNY/kg from 22.22 CNY/kg on September 30, 2025 [2][3]. Industry Outlook - Jiang Hai Securities suggests that due to policy adjustments and production cuts, the industry may experience accelerated capacity reduction, presenting an opportunity for investment in the pig breeding sector [3]. - The agricultural sector is currently at a favorable valuation point, with the agricultural ETF's price-to-book ratio at 2.56, which is at the 28.91% percentile of the last decade, indicating a strong long-term investment potential [3]. Investment Opportunities - The agricultural ETF (159275) is highlighted as the highest "pig content" ETF in the market, tracking the CSI Agricultural Index, which includes leading stocks in pig breeding and other related sectors [4][5]. - Investors can also consider the agricultural ETF linked funds (A class 013471/C class 013472) for exposure to the agricultural sector [4].

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector experienced a significant rise in stock prices, particularly in the ETF that tracks this sector, indicating a positive market sentiment and potential investment opportunities in the industry [1][4]. Market Performance - The agricultural and fishery ETF (159275) opened with a price increase of over 2% at one point, closing with a gain of 1.01% [1]. - Key stocks in the sector, including Zhongshui Fishery and Kaichuang International, reached their daily limit, while Tiankang Biological and others saw increases of over 4% [1]. Industry Insights - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting indicating stable development in livestock production, with the number of breeding sows falling below 40 million by the end of October [1]. - Huaxi Securities noted that pig prices are at low levels, close to industry cash costs, and that capacity reduction is exceeding expectations, suggesting potential for future price increases [1][3]. Price Trends - Current prices for fat pigs have dropped below 12 yuan per kilogram, and weaned piglet prices are around 200 yuan each, indicating that the industry is facing significant losses [3]. - Historical trends suggest that when prices are at such low levels, the industry is likely to undergo market-driven capacity reductions, which could lead to long-term price increases [3]. Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The agricultural and fishery sector may present a favorable investment opportunity, with the ETF's price-to-book ratio at 2.54, which is relatively low compared to historical data [3]. - The ETF (159275) is noted for its high exposure to the pig farming sector, with a 40.25% allocation, making it a key vehicle for investors looking to capitalize on this market [5]. Future Outlook - Guoxin Securities predicts that the official capacity control will improve cash flow for leading companies, potentially transforming them into dividend-paying stocks [4]. - The poultry farming sector is expected to see limited supply fluctuations, with leading companies likely to achieve higher cash flow and dividend returns as demand recovers [4].

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector has seen a midday surge, with the highest "pig content" ETF (159275) experiencing a brief low-level fluctuation before a sudden rise, currently up by 0.2% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery ETF (159275) opened with a slight dip but later rose, reflecting a positive market sentiment [1] - Key stocks in the sector, including Brother Technology, Jin Xin Nong, and Mei Hua Biological, saw significant gains, with Brother Technology rising over 5% and several others increasing by more than 1% [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - Recent trends indicate that national pig prices initially rose to 12.35 yuan/kg, a peak for October, but later fell due to insufficient demand and increased market supply [2] - Analysts predict accelerated de-capacity in the pig farming sector, with a focus on biological breeding and the promotion of genetically modified corn [3] - The poultry industry is expected to benefit from price increases in the white feather chicken supply chain due to overseas avian influenza impacts [3] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery ETF (159275) is highlighted as a key investment opportunity, tracking the comprehensive agricultural index with significant exposure to leading pig farming companies [5] - The ETF's index shows a price-to-book ratio of 2.56, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels, suggesting a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3]

Group 1 - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector showed strong performance, with the only agricultural ETF (159275) rising by 1.21% at the close [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector included edible fungi, pig farming, and seeds, with notable gains from companies like Zhongxing Junye and Luoniushan, both hitting the daily limit [1][3] - The recent rebound in pig prices, with an increase of 6.1% from the previous week, has positively impacted the sector [2][3] Group 2 - Short-term pressure on pig sales has eased, with a decrease in the overall output from large enterprises and an increase in secondary fattening [3][4] - The industry is expected to focus on quality improvement and efficiency, with a gradual elimination of outdated production capacity [4][5] - The agricultural ETF (159275) is currently at a relatively low price-to-book ratio of 2.56, indicating a good long-term investment opportunity [3][5] Group 3 - The agricultural ETF tracks the CSI Agricultural, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index, with a significant concentration in leading companies in the sector, including Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [5][6] - Investors can also access the agricultural ETF through linked funds for broader exposure to the sector [5]

Group 1 - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector experienced a volatile upward trend on October 29, with the highest "pig content" agricultural ETF (159275) reaching a peak intraday increase of 0.81% and closing up 0.51% [1] - Key stocks in the sector included Blue Biological, which hit the daily limit, Meino Biological with over 8% increase, Luoniushan up 6%, and Shennong Seed Industry rising over 5% [1] - The current valuation of the agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector is relatively low, indicating a good time for allocation, with the market's highest "pig content" ETF (159275) having a price-to-book ratio of 2.57, at the 30.08% percentile of the last decade [3] Group 2 - The "anti-involution" measures in the pig industry have been intensified since May, with multiple meetings held by the Ministry of Agriculture, the National Development and Reform Commission, and industry associations to control production capacity and reduce weights [1][4] - It is expected that the pig price will enter a new upward trend in the second half of next year due to accelerated capacity reduction in the fourth quarter [1][4] - The agricultural ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index, with a significant portion (40.25%) of its holdings in the pig farming industry, higher than similar ETFs [8]