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小摩:香港交易所(00388)上季纯利胜预期 本年至今日均成交反弹 IPO管线加快
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 06:19
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) reported a net profit of HKD 4.3 billion for Q4 2025, representing a 12% quarter-on-quarter decline but a 15% year-on-year increase, exceeding Morgan Stanley's forecast by 19% [1] - For the fiscal year 2025, the profit is projected at HKD 17.8 billion, a 36% year-on-year increase, which is 2% higher than market expectations [1] - The strong performance is attributed to better-than-expected revenue driven by trading and settlement fees, despite a seasonal decline in trading volume, with average daily turnover in cash equities down 21% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2 - Non-listed equity investment valuations contributed HKD 163 million in non-recurring income, and improved returns on company funds offset increased rebates to market participants, leading to a strong net investment income of HKD 1.2 billion, a 20% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - Even excluding the HKD 163 million gain, the pre-tax profit was HKD 5 billion, still showing a 16% year-on-year increase and exceeding Morgan Stanley's forecast by 15% [1] - Cost control was in line with expectations, with total expenses rising by 7% year-on-year [1] Group 3 - Despite weak trading volumes in Q4, the earnings performance remains robust, and strong net investment income is a positive surprise that may lead to upward revisions in earnings forecasts for FY 2026 [2] - Trading volumes have rebounded since the seasonal weakness in December 2025, with an average daily turnover of approximately HKD 260 billion year-to-date, even accounting for the weaker Lunar New Year period [2] - As HKEX enters 2026, there are over 400 active initial public offering applications, a significant increase from 297 in the previous quarter [2]
小摩:香港交易所上季纯利胜预期 本年至今日均成交反弹 IPO管线加快
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 06:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) reported a net profit of HKD 4.3 billion for Q4 2025, representing a quarterly decline of 12% but a year-on-year increase of 15%, exceeding JPMorgan's forecast by 19% [1] - For the fiscal year 2025, the profit is projected at HKD 17.8 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36%, which is 2% higher than market expectations [1] - The strong performance is attributed to better-than-expected revenue, particularly in trading and settlement fees, despite a seasonal decline in trading volume, with average daily turnover in cash equities down 21% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2 - The net investment income was robust, reaching HKD 1.2 billion, a quarterly increase of 20%, contributing to the profit exceeding expectations [1] - Even excluding the non-recurring income of HKD 163 million from private equity investments, the pre-tax profit was HKD 5 billion, still showing a year-on-year growth of 16% and surpassing JPMorgan's forecast by 15% [1] - The company maintained cost control, with total expenses rising by 7% year-on-year [1] Group 3 - Despite weak trading volumes in Q4, the earnings performance remained strong, and the robust net investment income could lead to upward revisions in earnings forecasts for FY 2026 [2] - Trading volumes have rebounded since the seasonal weakness in December 2025, with an average daily turnover of approximately HKD 260 billion year-to-date [2] - As HKEX enters FY 2026, there are over 400 active initial public offering applications, a significant increase from 297 in the previous quarter [2]
小摩:香港交易所(00388)上季盈利强劲 维持“增持”评级
智通财经网· 2026-02-26 09:13
Group 1 - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) reported a net profit of HKD 4.3 billion for Q4 2025, a 12% quarter-on-quarter decline but a 15% year-on-year increase, exceeding Morgan Stanley's expectations by 19% [1] - For the full fiscal year 2025, HKEX's net profit reached HKD 17.8 billion, a 36% year-on-year increase, surpassing market expectations by 2% [1] - The strong performance was primarily driven by revenue, with trading and settlement fee income experiencing a moderate quarter-on-quarter decline of 14% to 16%, despite a seasonal weakness in trading volume, which saw an average daily turnover decrease of 21% [1] Group 2 - The strong net investment income of HKD 1.2 billion, a 20% quarter-on-quarter increase, was a key factor in the better-than-expected performance [1] - Even excluding the non-recurring income of HKD 163 million, the pre-tax profit of HKD 5 billion still recorded a 16% year-on-year growth, exceeding Morgan Stanley's forecast by 15% [1] - HKEX has over 400 active listing applications entering 2026, a significant increase from 297 in Q3 2025, indicating a recovery in trading volume after a seasonal lull in December 2025 [2]