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兴业科技(002674):25Q4迎来业绩改善
HUAXI Securities· 2026-01-30 12:49
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has released its performance forecast for 2025, indicating a decline in net profit attributable to the parent company, estimated between 0.98 to 1.2 billion CNY, which represents a year-on-year decrease of 31% to 15% [2] - However, Q4 of 2025 has shown significant improvement, with net profit expected to be between 0.58 to 0.8 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 81% to 150% [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - The main business segments, including the leather goods and automotive interior leather businesses, have shown recovery, with both revenue and net profit improving sequentially [3] - The estimated revenue and net profit from the automotive business for Q4 are 0.8 billion CNY and 0.18 billion CNY respectively, aligning with expectations [3] - The company anticipates a return to profitability in 2026, driven by improved domestic sales and the release of orders from clients like Adidas [4] Earnings Forecast - The revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 31.07 billion CNY, 34.30 billion CNY, and 38.34 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding net profit forecasts of 1.19 billion CNY, 1.62 billion CNY, and 2.15 billion CNY [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the same period are 0.40 CNY, 0.55 CNY, and 0.73 CNY, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 35, 26, and 19 respectively [4] Market Position - The company is expected to benefit from the production of new automotive models and the potential for order contributions from electronic skin technology in the future [4]