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马斯克描绘特斯拉未来:将自建巨型芯片厂、机器人成本仅2万美元
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-07 09:39
Core Insights - Elon Musk presented an ambitious vision for Tesla's future at the 2025 shareholder meeting, including plans for a giant chip factory, details on the Optimus robot's costs, production timelines for the Cybercab, and predictions for Full Self-Driving (FSD) approval in China, leading to a 3% increase in Tesla's stock price after hours [1] Chip Strategy - Musk emphasized the importance of chips for Tesla's autonomous vehicles and robots, stating that the company may need to build a "giant chip factory" to secure low-cost, high-efficiency chips [2] - He indicated a willingness to discuss potential collaboration with Intel, which resulted in a 3% increase in Intel's stock price after his comments [2] - Musk compared Tesla's chip optimization for its own software to Nvidia's broader customer service approach, highlighting Tesla's targeted advantage [2] Robotics and Autonomous Driving - The production cost of the Optimus humanoid robot is currently around $20,000 per unit, with Musk predicting a future demand of hundreds of billions of units globally [3] - Musk revealed that training the Optimus robot will require a significant investment, estimating costs in the "hundreds of billions" [3] - The Cybercab, which will have no steering wheel or pedals, is set to begin production in April 2026, with ambitious production goals of one vehicle every 10 seconds, potentially every 5 seconds [3] - Musk anticipates that FSD will receive full approval in China by February or March 2026, allowing drivers to safely text while driving [3] Supercharging Network - Musk praised the rapid expansion and superior experience of Tesla's Supercharging network, which has led several automakers to adopt Tesla's standards instead of developing their own systems [4] New Generation Roadster - Musk confirmed that the new generation Tesla Roadster, first unveiled in 2017, is on track for a product demonstration on April 1, 2026, with mass production expected to begin 12 to 18 months later [5] - He acknowledged that while the high-performance Roadster may not align perfectly with Tesla's mission of "sustainable abundance," it represents the pinnacle of Tesla's technology and brand aspirations [6] Autonomous Driving Vision - Musk predicted that in a future dominated by autonomous ride-hailing services, the total number of vehicles on the road will decrease due to higher usage efficiency [7] - He expressed gratitude to competitor Waymo for its contributions to the development of autonomous driving technology [7] Space Ambitions - Musk envisioned Tesla vehicles and Optimus robots playing a crucial role in establishing bases on the Moon and Mars, with specific mention of the Cybertruck [8] SpaceX IPO Consideration - Musk acknowledged the challenges of operating a public company and suggested that SpaceX might consider an IPO in the future, expressing a desire for Tesla shareholders to participate in SpaceX's growth [9] Distributed AI Fleet - Musk proposed a revolutionary concept where Tesla vehicles could form a "large-scale distributed AI inference fleet," allowing idle vehicles to contribute to AI computations and generate income for their owners [10] Ultimate Reflection - Musk raised the possibility that if artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence significantly, it may be difficult to envision a world led by humans [11]