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基金圆桌 | 利好共振铺就长坡厚雪 基金经理看多创新药板块景气周期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 00:01
Core Insights - The innovative drug sector has shown remarkable performance this year, becoming one of the main driving forces behind market growth [1][17] - Recent overseas news related to innovative drugs has increased market volatility, prompting discussions on the true investment value and fundamental changes within the sector [1][17] Group 1: Driving Factors Behind Performance - The strong performance of the innovative drug sector is driven by favorable fundamentals, including robust policy support and rapid revenue growth in China's innovative drug industry [18] - The industry has accelerated its international development, with numerous product collaboration agreements with overseas multinational companies, leading to record-high transaction amounts [18][19] - The innovative drug sector's significant rise is attributed to a combination of fundamental breakthroughs, policy support, and valuation recovery [19] Group 2: Impact of Policy and Internationalization - The introduction of supportive policies, such as the measures from the National Healthcare Security Administration, has provided a solid foundation for the development of innovative drugs [19][22] - The competitive landscape of the innovative drug industry is being reshaped by overseas licensing and policy support, leading to a shift from homogeneous imitation to differentiated innovation [21][22] - The establishment of a "Class B drug directory" has resolved payment bottlenecks, ensuring payment channels for over 100 innovative drugs and creating a multi-channel payment system [22] Group 3: Stock Selection Strategies - Investment strategies focus on companies with significant growth potential, high industry prosperity, and strong management integrity [23] - Continuous tracking of key pipelines and entering positions when companies are undervalued is emphasized to capitalize on market recognition [23] - A balanced portfolio approach is recommended, combining long-term growth companies with those that have potential for short-term gains [23] Group 4: Future Market Outlook - The innovative drug sector is currently in the early stages of a rebound, with significant growth potential as the market for innovative drugs in China is still underdeveloped compared to developed countries [25] - The sector is expected to transition from a phase of broad increases to a performance-driven structural market, focusing on data and earnings rather than mere expectations [26] - Emerging fields such as innovative medical devices and life sciences are also seen as promising areas for investment [27]