Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Dongyue Group's stock has risen over 6%, reflecting strong market sentiment in the refrigerant sector driven by supply-demand balance and pricing power [1] - The refrigerant market is currently characterized by a strong demand-supply balance under quota policies, leading to increased industry concentration and a strong willingness among companies to raise prices [1] - The outlook for the market remains positive, with expectations of continued price increases due to the upcoming traditional stocking season and the anticipated opening of maritime export windows [1] Group 2 - Dongyue Group has previously issued a profit warning, projecting a significant year-on-year increase of approximately 150% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025 [1] - Huatai Securities noted that the company's net profit for the first half of 2025 is in line with their expectations, amounting to 750 million yuan [1] - The company's performance is expected to enter an upward cycle, benefiting from the favorable conditions in the refrigerant market [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has experienced significant growth in performance, benefiting from the improved market conditions for refrigerants [1] - The revenue for 2024 reached 24.462 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.43%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.960 billion yuan, up 107.69% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.556 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.52% [1] Summary by Sections Revenue Growth - The main drivers of revenue growth in 2024 were the expansion of the consolidated reporting scope, increased production, and higher prices. The three main business segments—refrigerants, petrochemical materials, and basic chemical products—continued to contribute significantly [2] - Refrigerant production for the year was 591,400 tons, a year-on-year increase of 21.12%, with external sales of 353,000 tons, up 22.61% [2] - Petrochemical materials production was 607,100 tons, a year-on-year increase of 36.14%, with external sales of 522,100 tons, up 45.70% [2] - Basic chemical products and others produced 3.0402 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 12.90%, with external sales of 1.7852 million tons, up 12.03% [2] Cost Management - The company reduced its sales expense ratio primarily due to decreased leasing costs. The sales/management/financial/R&D expense ratios changed by -0.18%/+0.06%/+0.28%/-0.54% year-on-year [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating the production of new projects and enhancing its global HFCs quota advantage to establish a leading position in the refrigerant market. It has successfully completed the acquisition of Feiyuan Chemical, integrating its annual production capacity of 80,000 tons of HFCs and related facilities [4] - The company has also added new products in fine chemicals, significantly increasing the business proportion of fluorinated refrigerants and fine chemical products [4] - The annual production capacity of 85,700 tons of organic alcohol has been successfully put into operation, steadily increasing the domestic market share of organic alcohol products [4] Profit Forecast - The company’s profit forecast has been adjusted upwards, with expected net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 projected at 3.714 billion, 4.919 billion, and 6.050 billion yuan, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 18.5, 14.0, and 11.4 times for the respective years [9]