Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The refrigerant industry continues to experience high demand, leading to significant growth in the company's performance. The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.97-2.13 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 136%-155% [1][2]. - The supply of refrigerants is tightening due to the reduction of production quotas for second-generation refrigerants (HCFCs) and the implementation of production quotas for third-generation refrigerants (HFCs) starting in 2024. This, combined with strong downstream demand, is expected to sustain the industry's upward trend [2][3]. Summary by Sections Performance Forecast - For the first half of 2025, the average price of fluorochemical raw materials is expected to be 3,629 yuan/ton, up 10% year-on-year, with sales volume of 188,000 tons, up 12% year-on-year. The average price of refrigerants is projected at 39,372 yuan/ton, up 62% year-on-year, with sales volume of 155,000 tons, down 4% year-on-year [2]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 4.191 billion yuan (up 11%), 5.141 billion yuan (up 10%), and 6.286 billion yuan (up 8%) respectively, translating to EPS of 1.55 yuan, 1.90 yuan, and 2.33 yuan [4][5]. Industry Outlook - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has announced the production and use quotas for ozone-depleting substances and HFCs for 2025, indicating a reduction in second-generation refrigerant quotas by 32,800 tons and third-generation refrigerant quotas exceeding expectations. This orderly reduction in supply, coupled with policies like "old-for-new" exchanges, is expected to support steady growth in demand [3][4]. Financial Metrics - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is 28.197 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 15.26%. The net profit margin is expected to be 14.9%, with a return on equity (ROE) of 19.62% [5][12].

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 06 月 27 日 永和股份（605020.SH） 制冷剂进入长景气周期，关注公司含氟高分子材料及精细化学品布 局 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 4,369 | 4,606 | 5,681 | 6,418 | 6,850 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 14.9 | 5.4 | 23.3 | 13.0 | 6.7 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 184 | 251 | 583 | 774 | 923 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -38.8 | 36.8 | 132.0 | 32.7 | 19.2 | | ROE（%） | 7.0 | 8.9 | 17.5 | 19.2 | 19.0 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.39 | 0.53 | 1.24 | 1.65 | 1.96 | | P/E（倍） | 57.2 | 41.8 | 18.0 | 13.6 | 11.4 | | P/ ...