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销量首破TWh,2025动力电池上升中的八重变化
高工锂电· 2026-01-27 11:21
Core Viewpoint - In 2025, the power battery industry in China experienced rapid growth, with sales surpassing 1 TWh for the first time, reflecting significant structural changes in exports, material composition, vehicle demand, and market competition [1] Group 1: Sales and Growth - In 2025, the total sales of power batteries reached 1200.9 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 51.8%, significantly higher than the 28.4% growth in 2024 [1] - Cumulative installed capacity was 769.7 GWh, up 40.4% year-on-year, with an increase of 221.3 GWh compared to 2024 [1] Group 2: Export Dynamics - Cumulative exports of power batteries in 2025 reached 189.7 GWh, a year-on-year growth of 41.9%, a substantial increase from the 5.0% growth in 2024 [3] - In December 2025, exports of lithium iron phosphate batteries accounted for 51.3% of total monthly exports, marking a 71.1% year-on-year increase and surpassing the previously dominant ternary batteries [3] Group 3: Battery Type Performance - In 2025, the installed capacity of lithium iron phosphate batteries was 625.3 GWh, representing 81.2% of total installed capacity, with a year-on-year growth of 52.9% [5] - The installed capacity of ternary batteries dropped to 18.7%, with a year-on-year growth of only 3.7%, continuing a downward trend from 10.2% in 2024 [5] Group 4: Commercial Vehicle Growth - The growth of commercial vehicles was explosive, with the installed capacity of pure electric trucks increasing to 17.7%, a year-on-year growth of 168.9% [7] - The average battery capacity of new energy vehicles rose to 55.2 kWh, a year-on-year increase of 18.8% [7] Group 5: Market Structure and Competition - The market competition is evolving from a "dual dominance" to a "stable head and diverse rise," with CATL and BYD maintaining their leading positions but seeing their combined market share decrease from 69.8% to 64.9% [10] - Mid-tier companies like Zhongchuang Innovation and Guoxuan High-Tech are gaining market share, with Guoxuan's installed capacity reaching 43.44 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 1.07 percentage points [12] Group 6: Material Demand and Pricing - The demand for core materials such as lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials surged by over 50% in 2025 [14] - By the end of 2025, the price of battery-grade lithium carbonate reached 150,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a more than 60% increase compared to the end of 2024 [14] Group 7: December Performance Highlights - In December 2025, power battery sales reached 143.8 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 49.2%, while installed capacity was 98.1 GWh, up 35.1% year-on-year [16] - The growth was driven by policy incentives and strong end-user demand, with major automakers launching promotional campaigns to stimulate purchases [15]